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The Production Gap: The discrepancy between countries’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C

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The Production Gap report by the International Institute for Sustainable Development and its partners analyzes the discrepancy between planned government fossil fuel production and the levels required to limit global warming to 1.5°C or 2°C, highlighting that current plans are inconsistent with Paris Agreement pledges.

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  • By 2030, governments plan to produce fossil fuels at levels significantly exceeding those consistent with climate goals: approximately 50% more than a 2°C pathway and 120% more than a 1.5°C pathway.
  • Planned fossil fuel production levels contradict collective climate pledges made under the Paris Agreement, resulting in a global production gap that exceeds the existing global emissions gap.
  • The expansion of fossil fuel production and the resulting production gap are driven by public finance, government subsidies to producers, and ambitious national plans.

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APA
Analytics,CICERO,UNEP,, S. (2019). The Production Gap: The discrepancy between countries’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C. International Institute for Sustainable Development. https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/production-gap-discrepancy-between-countries-planned-fossil-fuel-production-and
Chicago
Analytics,CICERO,UNEP,, SEI,IISD,ODI,Climate. The Production Gap: The discrepancy between countries’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C. International Institute for Sustainable Development, 2019. https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/production-gap-discrepancy-between-countries-planned-fossil-fuel-production-and.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Analytics,CICERO,UNEP, |first1=SEI,IISD,ODI,Climate |title=The Production Gap: The discrepancy between countries’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C |publisher=International Institute for Sustainable Development |date=20 November 2019 |url=https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/production-gap-discrepancy-between-countries-planned-fossil-fuel-production-and |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{analyticscicerounep2019production, author = {Analytics,CICERO,UNEP,, SEI,IISD,ODI,Climate}, title = {{The Production Gap: The discrepancy between countries’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C}}, institution = {International Institute for Sustainable Development}, year = {2019}, month = nov, url = {https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/production-gap-discrepancy-between-countries-planned-fossil-fuel-production-and}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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