Phaseout Pathways for Fossil Fuel Production Within Paris-Compliant Carbon Budgets

This executive summary outlines research by the Tyndall Centre at The University of Manchester on phaseout pathways for oil and gas production to align with Paris-compliant carbon budgets and the 1.5°C goal.

• To maintain the 1.5°C goal, wealthy countries must cease oil and gas production by 2034, while the poorest nations are granted until 2050 to end production, provided they receive significant financial support for economic transition.
• The Paris goals prohibit any increase in oil and gas production for any nation, requiring significant output cuts by 2030: the richest countries must reduce production by 74% and the poorest by 14%.
• There is a general consensus that coal must be phased out from power generation by 2030 in developed countries and by 2040 or 2050 in developing countries.

APA

Anderson, K., & Calverley, D. (2022). Phaseout Pathways for Fossil Fuel Production Within Paris-Compliant Carbon Budgets. International Institute for Sustainable Development. https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/phaseout-pathways-fossil-fuel-production-within-paris-compliant-carbon-budgets

Chicago

Anderson, Kevin, and Dan Calverley. Phaseout Pathways for Fossil Fuel Production Within Paris-Compliant Carbon Budgets. International Institute for Sustainable Development, 2022. https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/phaseout-pathways-fossil-fuel-production-within-paris-compliant-carbon-budgets.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Anderson |first1=Kevin |last2=Calverley |first2=Dan |title=Phaseout Pathways for Fossil Fuel Production Within Paris-Compliant Carbon Budgets |publisher=International Institute for Sustainable Development |date=22 March 2022 |url=https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/phaseout-pathways-fossil-fuel-production-within-paris-compliant-carbon-budgets |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{anderson2022phaseout, author = {Anderson, Kevin and Calverley, Dan}, title = {{Phaseout Pathways for Fossil Fuel Production Within Paris-Compliant Carbon Budgets}}, institution = {International Institute for Sustainable Development}, year = {2022}, month = mar, url = {https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/phaseout-pathways-fossil-fuel-production-within-paris-compliant-carbon-budgets}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }