İklim Değişikliği ve Göç: Mitler ve Gerçekler

The author argues that the term 'climate refugee' is legally inaccurate and oversimplifies the multi-causal nature of migration, where climate change acts as a 'threat multiplier'. The text disputes the narrative of mass migration from the Global South to Europe, noting that most climate-induced movement is internal. It suggests that planned, voluntary migration can be a 'triple win' for migrants, origin communities, and destination areas. The document calls for integrated governance and the use of tools like the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration to address displacement.

• The term 'climate refugee' is contested because the 1951 Geneva Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees does not include environmental degradation or climate change as grounds for refugee status.
• Climate change does not act in isolation but serves as a 'threat multiplier' that interacts with social, political, economic, and demographic factors to drive migration.
• Quantitative predictions of future climate migration vary wildly and are often viewed with skepticism by scientists, though they gain traction in media and political circles. For example, a 2002 estimate suggested up to 200 million people could be displaced, while a 2018 World Bank report projected up to 143 million internal climate migrants in Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, and South Asia by 2050.
• Scientific evidence suggests that most people affected by climate change tend to migrate within their own countries rather than moving internationally to Europe.
• Environmental displacement is not exclusive to the Global South; modeling suggests that floods could displace an average of 15,000 people per year in Spain and over 28,000 in France.
• Voluntary, planned migration can function as an adaptation strategy, potentially creating a 'triple win' by improving the lives of migrants, providing remittances for resilience in origin communities, and addressing demographic or economic needs in destination areas.
• Several nations are implementing specific strategies for climate-induced mobility, such as Kiribati's 'Migration with Dignity' policy to facilitate skilled labor migration to countries like New Zealand, and planned relocations in Viet Nam, Sierra Leone, and Fiji.
• Effective management of climate migration requires multi-level governance and the integration of climate, environment, and migration policies, including the application of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration.

APA

Zickgraf, C. (2021). İklim Değişikliği ve Göç: Mitler ve Gerçekler. Green European Journal. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/iklim-degisikligi-ve-goc-mitler-ve-gercekler/

Chicago

Zickgraf, Caroline. İklim Değişikliği ve Göç: Mitler ve Gerçekler. Green European Journal, 2021. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/iklim-degisikligi-ve-goc-mitler-ve-gercekler/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Zickgraf |first1=Caroline |title=İklim Değişikliği ve Göç: Mitler ve Gerçekler |publisher=Green European Journal |date=7 April 2021 |url=https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/iklim-degisikligi-ve-goc-mitler-ve-gercekler/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{zickgraf2021iklim, author = {Zickgraf, Caroline}, title = {{İklim Değişikliği ve Göç: Mitler ve Gerçekler}}, institution = {Green European Journal}, year = {2021}, month = apr, url = {https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/iklim-degisikligi-ve-goc-mitler-ve-gercekler/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }