TRÊS VIAS PARA UMA TRANSIÇÃO JUSTA PARA LONGE DOS COMBUSTÍVEIS FÓSSEIS

The briefing compares three pathways for a just transition from fossil fuels. It notes that while the UNFCCC provides a universal framework for emissions, it lacks explicit obligations for fossil fuel production. Brazil's COP30 'Roadmap' serves as a non-binding political dialogue to identify transition barriers. The proposed Fossil Fuel Treaty aims to fill governance gaps through binding commitments to end new project expansion, implement science-based phase-outs, and provide financial support for affected communities.

• The UNFCCC and Paris Agreement lack explicit obligations to address the production of fossil fuels, with the terms 'fossil fuels', 'oil', 'gas', and 'coal' entirely absent from the Paris Agreement text.
• The UNFCCC's consensus-based decision-making process allows any single party to effectively veto actions, which restricts the level of ambition regarding fossil fuel supply.
• Brazil, as the COP30 Presidency, is developing a 'Roadmap for a Just, Orderly and Equitable Transition away from Fossil Fuels' to facilitate political dialogue and identify transition barriers, though it is a non-negotiated reference document without binding obligations.
• Current government production plans are incompatible with the 1.5 °C limit, as they project a 120% increase in fossil fuel production by 2030.
• The proposed Fossil Fuel Treaty is based on three pillars: a legal obligation to end the expansion of new fossil fuel projects, a science-based and equitable phase-out of existing projects (with developed countries moving first), and a just transition for dependent countries and workers via concessional finance and debt relief.
• The Fossil Fuel Treaty proposes a plurilateral agreement using majority decision-making to avoid the vetoes found in the UNFCCC, and it currently has the support of 18 nations.

APA

Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative (2026). TRÊS VIAS PARA UMA TRANSIÇÃO JUSTA PARA LONGE DOS COMBUSTÍVEIS FÓSSEIS. https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-PT.pdf

Chicago

Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative. TRÊS VIAS PARA UMA TRANSIÇÃO JUSTA PARA LONGE DOS COMBUSTÍVEIS FÓSSEIS. 2026. https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-PT.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative |title=TRÊS VIAS PARA UMA TRANSIÇÃO JUSTA PARA LONGE DOS COMBUSTÍVEIS FÓSSEIS |date=April 2026 |url=https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-PT.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{fossilfuelnonproliferationtreatyinitiative2026trs, author = {{Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative}}, title = {{TRÊS VIAS PARA UMA TRANSIÇÃO JUSTA PARA LONGE DOS COMBUSTÍVEIS FÓSSEIS}}, institution = {Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative}, year = {2026}, month = apr, url = {https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/Developing-an-International-Regime-PT.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }