Feedback on the JETP CIPP

Ember's feedback on the JETP CIPP highlights critical gaps in the plan, particularly the exclusion of captive power emissions, which may lead to 2030 emissions exceeding the 290 MT CO2 target. The organization recommends increasing solar targets, reassessing wind deployment locations, and questioning the sustainability and viability of bioenergy. Ember also criticizes the coal retirement timeline, noting that the CIPP's plan to retire only 1.7 GW by 2040 contradicts the Indonesian government's more ambitious goals and the IEA's 1.5 degree scenario. Additionally, the document calls for greater transparency in GFANZ financing, comprehensive risk assessments regarding US political stability, and urgent policy reforms to end coal subsidies and prohibit new coal plants in the industrial sector.

• The exclusion of captive power from the CIPP creates a risk that total power sector emissions will exceed the 290 MT CO2 target by 2030. Ember estimates that captive coal power alone could generate 153 - 187 MT CO2 by 2030, which, combined with on-grid emissions of 250 MT CO2, would result in total emissions of at least 402 - 437 MT CO2.
• Ember suggests the CIPP over-relies on dispatchable renewables and underestimates the potential of solar and wind. It recommends increasing solar targets and reassessing wind deployment, noting that priority wind projects are currently concentrated in the Java-Madura-Bali (JAMALI) area despite higher wind potential in South Sulawesi, Maluku, and NTT.
• The CIPP's reliance on bioenergy, which is projected to reach a 17% share of the power mix by 2050, is questioned regarding its sustainability, technical feasibility in coal-designed plants, and economic viability compared to solar and wind plus storage.
• The coal retirement strategy in the CIPP is viewed as a weakness because it only plans to retire 1.7 GW by 2040 via the ADB Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM), which is significantly lower than the Indonesian government's goal of retiring 5.2 GW by 2030 and 2.3 GW by 2040.
• There is a lack of transparency regarding the financing strategy from the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ) and uncertainty over whether International Partners Group (IPG) countries will fulfill their financial commitments for coal retirement.
• Ember recommends a risk assessment regarding the potential for the US to withdraw from the JETP deal following the upcoming general elections, as well as other geopolitical risks.
• Critical policy reforms are needed to ensure the transition's success, specifically the removal of coal subsidies and the prohibition of new coal-fired power plants, including those serving off-grid industrial complexes under the 2015-2035 national industrial development plan.
• The CIPP should be expanded to include mechanisms for e-waste management, specifically for PV panels, and should ensure transparency and public consultation for regulations that make the early retirement of coal plants a "lawful act".

APA

Ember (2023). Feedback on the JETP CIPP. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf

Chicago

Ember. Feedback on the JETP CIPP. 2023. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite press release |author=Ember |title=Feedback on the JETP CIPP |date=13 November 2023 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@misc{ember2023feedback, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Feedback on the JETP CIPP}}, publisher = {Ember}, year = {2023}, month = nov, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }