Feedback on the JETP CIPP
Summary
Ember provides formal feedback on Indonesia's Comprehensive Investment and Policy Plan (CIPP) under the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP), arguing that the current plan underestimates emissions by excluding captive power and lacks sufficient ambition in solar and wind deployment. The organization calls for a re-evaluation of bioenergy risks, more transparent financing details regarding GFANZ, and a stronger commitment to coal retirement that aligns with the IEA's 1.5 degree scenario.
Key insights
- The exclusion of captive power from the CIPP creates a significant emissions gap. Ember estimates that captive coal power generation could add 153 - 187 MT CO2 annually by 2030, which, combined with on-grid emissions of 250 MT CO2, would result in total power sector emissions of 402 - 437 MT CO2. This exceeds the target cap of 290 MT CO2 by 2030 and is inconsistent with the 2050 NZE pathway's 250 MT CO2 limit before 2030.
- Ember suggests the CIPP under-utilizes solar and wind energy, which are projected to contribute only 14% of total power generation in 2030 (8% solar and 6% wind). The organization recommends increasing solar targets due to its widespread availability and suggests reassessing wind deployment areas, noting that priority projects are currently concentrated in Java-Madura-Bali (JAMALI) despite higher wind potential in South Sulawesi, Maluku, and NTT.
- The CIPP's reliance on bioenergy, with a projected share of 8% in 2030 and 17% in 2050, is questioned by Ember. The organization highlights risks regarding the sustainability of feedstock, the technical feasibility of using biomass in plants designed for coal (which may compromise boiler efficiency), and the economic viability of bioenergy compared to solar, wind, and storage.
- Ember identifies a weakness in the coal retirement strategy, noting that the CIPP plans to retire only 1.7 GW by 2040 via the ADB's Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM), which is significantly lower than the government's goal of retiring 5.2 GW by 2030 and 2.3 GW by 2040. Furthermore, the plan indicates that no funding from the International Partners Group (IPG) will be used for coal retirement, deviating from the original JETP intent and the IEA's 1.5 degree scenario requiring a net zero power sector by 2045.
- There is a lack of transparency and certainty regarding financing. Ember notes that IPG countries have not yet fulfilled coal retirement financing commitments and that the CIPP lacks comprehensive details on the financing scenario from the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ). Additionally, Ember recommends a risk assessment regarding the potential for the US to pull out of the JETP deal following the upcoming general elections.
- Ember emphasizes that financial support must be accompanied by policy reforms. While local content requirements for solar panels have been relaxed, other proposed changes to power purchase agreement bankability and renewable energy financing remain unimplemented. Ember specifically calls for a change in the 2015-2035 national industrial development plan to ensure no new coal plants are built, including those for off-grid industrial complexes.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Ember (2023). Feedback on the JETP CIPP. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf
- Chicago
- Ember. Feedback on the JETP CIPP. 2023. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite press release |author=Ember |title=Feedback on the JETP CIPP |date=13 November 2023 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @misc{ember2023feedback, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Feedback on the JETP CIPP}}, publisher = {Ember}, year = {2023}, month = nov, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Ember-JETP-CIPP-Formal-Feedback-Submission.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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