Summary
Turkey needs to commission 8 GW of new wind and solar capacity annually to meet its 2035 goals, requiring an estimated $28 billion in additional grid investment. The report identifies critical bottlenecks in grid connection capacity, particularly for unlicensed and storage-based projects, and suggests accelerating permitting through the 2025 "super permit" legislation. It recommends diversifying energy sources via floating solar and offshore wind, leveraging hybrid solar installations at hydroelectric plants to mitigate drought risks, and increasing regional interconnection capacity to enhance grid flexibility. Additionally, it argues that the $8.7 billion purchase guarantee for domestic coal plants contradicts renewable goals and complicates system management.
Key insights
- To achieve its 2035 targets, Turkey must commission 8 GW of new wind and solar plants every year, surpassing the 6.5 GW level first reached in 2025.
- Grid connection capacity is a major constraint: no vacant capacity existed in any Turkish province for unlicensed plants from July 2025, and new capacity allocations for storage-based wind and solar projects have been halted since 2023.
- Reaching 120 GW of wind and solar capacity requires an estimated $28 billion in additional grid investment, which may be supported by international institutions like the World Bank, EIB, ADB, and EBRD, or through bilateral agreements such as the February 2026 deal with Saudi Arabia for a 2 GW solar plant.
- The 2025 "super permit" legislation aims to reduce permitting times for wind (from four years) and solar (from two years) to 18 months, which is critical for the 33 GW of pending storage-based projects.
- Turkey has significant untapped potential for floating solar (53 GW if 10% of dam reservoir surfaces are covered) and an estimated 8 GW of economically viable hybrid solar potential at existing wind and hydroelectric plants.
- The $8.7 billion purchase guarantee announced in 2025 for domestic coal plants contradicts renewable energy goals and may hinder grid management, especially during peak solar production hours.
- Turkey plans to increase its interconnection capacity by 2035 to 6.75 GW for exports and 6.6 GW for imports, up from 2025 levels of 2.1 GW and 1.35 GW respectively.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Ember (2026). Politika önerileri. https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/politika-onerileri-2/
- Chicago
- Ember. Politika önerileri. 2026. https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/politika-onerileri-2/.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Ember |title=Politika önerileri |date=8 April 2026 |url=https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/politika-onerileri-2/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{ember2026politika, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Politika önerileri}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2026}, month = apr, url = {https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/politika-onerileri-2/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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