Draft national targets put EU just short of REPowerEU

Analysis of draft NECPs indicates that while EU member states have significantly increased wind and solar targets since 2019, the current trajectory falls short of REPowerEU goals. Renewables are projected to generate 66% of EU electricity by 2030, missing the 72% target. The report highlights a lack of data transparency in the drafts, particularly regarding power system flexibility and post-2030 decarbonisation pathways.

• EU member states are on track for renewables to generate 66% of electricity by 2030, which is an increase from 44% in 2023 but fails to meet the REPowerEU target of 72%.
• National capacity targets for 2030 have risen by an average of 45% for wind and approximately 70% for solar since 2019. The EU is projected to reach 650 GW of solar and 450 GW of wind by 2030, though these figures remain below the European Commission's requirements of 750 GW for solar and 500 GW for wind.
• While eleven EU Member States have committed to decarbonising their power sectors by 2035, most draft NECPs lack the data or scenarios to explain how this will be achieved. Only Denmark, Italy, and the Netherlands provided sufficient data to estimate carbon intensity post-2030, and only Denmark, Lithuania, and Estonia have drafts aligned with their 2035 pledges.
• The draft NECPs exhibit poor data transparency and quality, particularly regarding power system storage and flexibility. Only eleven drafts quantify deployment for storage technologies by 2030, and only Spain has an explicit technology-neutral storage target.

APA

Ember (2024). Draft national targets put EU just short of REPowerEU. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/draft-necps-put-eu-shortofrepowereu

Chicago

Ember. Draft national targets put EU just short of REPowerEU. 2024. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/draft-necps-put-eu-shortofrepowereu.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Ember |title=Draft national targets put EU just short of REPowerEU |date=23 May 2024 |url=https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/draft-necps-put-eu-shortofrepowereu |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{ember2024draft, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Draft national targets put EU just short of REPowerEU}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2024}, month = may, url = {https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/draft-necps-put-eu-shortofrepowereu}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }