Can NDCs reconcile objectives of ensuring universal access to affordable energy services, energy security and fostering sustainable energy systems?

The document analyzes the energy transition in North Africa, noting that electricity generation must nearly double by 2030 to meet growing demand. While the region is expanding renewable energy capacity and implementing efficiency regulations, natural gas is projected to remain the dominant power source by 2030 unless international financial support and technology transfer accelerate. The author highlights a tension between the region's low historical emissions and its high vulnerability to climate change, warning that insufficient climate finance from developed countries risks the region's ability to meet its Paris Agreement commitments.

• To satisfy increasing energy demand from households, industry, services, and transport, North Africa must nearly double its electricity generation by 2030, increasing from 325 TWh to 618 TWh.
• Renewable energy capacity in North Africa grew by 20% between 2010 and 2015 and by 33% between 2015 and 2018; as of 2015, hydropower accounted for 6.5 GW of the 8.5 GW total installed capacity.
• Despite renewable energy targets in Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), natural gas is expected to provide more than 50% of power generation in North Africa by 2030.
• Morocco is leading the regional energy transition with a goal to have renewable energy exceed 52% of its national electricity mix by 2030.
• The failure of developed countries at COP25 to ensure adequate and predictable finance for vulnerable nations threatens the ability of North African countries to achieve their Paris Agreement pledges by 2030.

APA

Ouedraogo, N. (2020). Can NDCs reconcile objectives of ensuring universal access to affordable energy services, energy security and fostering sustainable energy systems? Climate Strategies. https://climatestrategies.org/can-ndcs-reconcile-objectives-of-ensuring-universal-access-to-affordable-energy-services-energy-security-and-fostering-sustainable-energy-systems/

Chicago

Ouedraogo, Nadia. Can NDCs reconcile objectives of ensuring universal access to affordable energy services, energy security and fostering sustainable energy systems? Climate Strategies, 2020. https://climatestrategies.org/can-ndcs-reconcile-objectives-of-ensuring-universal-access-to-affordable-energy-services-energy-security-and-fostering-sustainable-energy-systems/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Ouedraogo |first1=Nadia |title=Can NDCs reconcile objectives of ensuring universal access to affordable energy services, energy security and fostering sustainable energy systems? |publisher=Climate Strategies |date=26 January 2020 |url=https://climatestrategies.org/can-ndcs-reconcile-objectives-of-ensuring-universal-access-to-affordable-energy-services-energy-security-and-fostering-sustainable-energy-systems/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{ouedraogo2020can, author = {Ouedraogo, Nadia}, title = {{Can NDCs reconcile objectives of ensuring universal access to affordable energy services, energy security and fostering sustainable energy systems?}}, institution = {Climate Strategies}, year = {2020}, month = jan, url = {https://climatestrategies.org/can-ndcs-reconcile-objectives-of-ensuring-universal-access-to-affordable-energy-services-energy-security-and-fostering-sustainable-energy-systems/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }