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The document outlines a strategy for Canada's emissions reductions, distinguishing between 'safe bet' solutions for short-term results and 'wild card' solutions for long-term, cost-effective reductions. By 2030, safe bets are expected to provide at least two-thirds of reductions, while wild cards provide less than one-third. By 2050, this dynamic may reverse, with wild cards potentially providing up to two-thirds of the reductions needed to reach the net zero target if they prove scalable and cost-effective.

Key insights

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  • Short-term emissions reductions in 2030 are expected to be driven primarily by 'safe bet' solutions, which would likely account for at least two-thirds of the reductions, while 'wild cards' would generate less than one-third.
  • The proportion of emissions reductions provided by different solution types could shift by 2050; if wild card solutions are scalable and cost-effective, they could provide up to two-thirds of Canada's reductions by that date.

Cite the original document

APA
Canadian Climate Institute (n.d.). A winning hand. https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-B-Winning-hand-ENG.pdf
Chicago
Canadian Climate Institute. A winning hand. n.d. https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-B-Winning-hand-ENG.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Canadian Climate Institute |title=A winning hand |url=https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-B-Winning-hand-ENG.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{canadianclimateinstitutendwinning, author = {{Canadian Climate Institute}}, title = {{A winning hand}}, institution = {Canadian Climate Institute}, url = {https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-B-Winning-hand-ENG.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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