WILD CARDS SAFE BETS
Summary
The document distinguishes between 'safe bets'—commercially available solutions with few constraints—and 'wild cards'—solutions with uncertain prospects. It asserts that safe bets will drive most reductions by 2030, while wild cards will increase in importance by 2050.
Key insights
- The document defines 'safe bets' as emission-reducing technologies and solutions that are currently commercially available and do not face major constraints for widespread implementation. 'Wild cards' are defined as solutions that could be significant for reaching net zero, but whose ultimate prospects are uncertain.
- Safe bets are expected to provide the majority of emissions reductions by 2030, as wild cards will not be developed enough to provide more than a supporting role by that date. By 2050, the role of safe bets becomes more variable as wild cards begin to contribute more significantly.
- Specific technologies are categorized as safe bets, including electric vehicles, energy-efficiency equipment, methane capture in oil and gas, high-concentration carbon capture, utilization, and storage, non-emitting electricity, and hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) reductions. Technologies categorized as wild cards include direct air capture, unconcentrated carbon capture, land use, hydrogen for fuel cells and heating, and second-generation liquid biofuels and renewable natural gas.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Canadian Climate Institute (n.d.). WILD CARDS SAFE BETS. https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-A-Safe-Bets-Wild-Cards-ENG-1.pdf
- Chicago
- Canadian Climate Institute. WILD CARDS SAFE BETS. n.d. https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-A-Safe-Bets-Wild-Cards-ENG-1.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Canadian Climate Institute |title=WILD CARDS SAFE BETS |url=https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-A-Safe-Bets-Wild-Cards-ENG-1.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{canadianclimateinstitutendwild, author = {{Canadian Climate Institute}}, title = {{WILD CARDS SAFE BETS}}, institution = {Canadian Climate Institute}, url = {https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Visual-A-Safe-Bets-Wild-Cards-ENG-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
Full text
Collected · Record updated