Independent Assessment of Carbon Pricing Systems in Canada Modeling Appendix
Summary
The document outlines the gTech-IESD modeling framework used to assess Canadian carbon pricing. It details ten policy scenarios ranging from 'No policy' to 'Announced policies with binding LETS systems', alongside sensitivity analyses for oil prices and technology costs. The report specifies macroeconomic inputs from the PBO and CER, and provides a comprehensive inventory of legislated and announced federal and provincial climate policies, including fuel charges, Large Emitter Trading Systems (LETS), and various investment tax credits.
Key insights
- Navius Research employed the gTech-IESD model to simulate ten distinct policy scenarios to determine the emissions reductions attributable to fuel charges and Large Emitter Trading Systems (LETS) between 2020 and 2035.
- The modeling framework includes a sensitivity matrix that varies global oil prices (Low, Reference, and High) and low-carbon technology costs (Low, Reference, and High) to account for exogenous uncertainties.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Canadian Climate Institute (2024). Independent Assessment of Carbon Pricing Systems in Canada Modeling Appendix. https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Navius-Research-Modelling-Report.pdf
- Chicago
- Canadian Climate Institute. Independent Assessment of Carbon Pricing Systems in Canada Modeling Appendix. 2024. https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Navius-Research-Modelling-Report.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Canadian Climate Institute |title=Independent Assessment of Carbon Pricing Systems in Canada Modeling Appendix |date=10 June 2024 |url=https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Navius-Research-Modelling-Report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{canadianclimateinstitute2024independent, author = {{Canadian Climate Institute}}, title = {{Independent Assessment of Carbon Pricing Systems in Canada Modeling Appendix}}, institution = {Canadian Climate Institute}, year = {2024}, month = jun, url = {https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Navius-Research-Modelling-Report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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