Une évaluation indépendante du Plan de réduction des émissions pour 2030

The Canadian Climate Institute concludes that the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan is credible and puts Canada on a path toward its 2050 net-zero goal, though a slight gap remains for the 2030 target. Independent modeling suggests that while the plan is transparent and ambitious, its success depends on the rapid implementation of five priority policies—carbon pricing, an oil and gas emissions cap, a clean electricity standard, a clean fuels standard, and land-use emission reductions—which together would account for 62% of the necessary reductions. The report emphasizes that the primary risk is no longer the plan's design but the speed and effectiveness of its execution.

• The 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan is considered credible and aligns Canada with its 2026 interim goal and its 2050 net-zero trajectory, although a small gap exists regarding the 2030 target.
• Five specific policies are identified as essential, as they are projected to deliver approximately 62% of Canada's required emission reductions by 2030: carbon pricing, an oil and gas sector cap, a clean electricity standard, a clean fuels standard, and land-use emission reductions.
• Independent modeling shows that policies already enacted in law or under development would lead to emissions of 522 megatonnes by 2030, representing a 29% reduction below 2005 levels.
• Under the most stringent scenario for announced policies, emissions would drop to 454 megatonnes by 2030, which is a 39% reduction from 2005 levels, still slightly short of the 40% target.
• The report highlights that the plan is the most transparent federal climate plan produced to date, providing detailed modeling and sectoral projections that facilitate accountability and future adjustments.
• The primary risk to achieving the 2030 targets is the speed of implementation, as a significant portion of the required reductions (at least 43%) rely on policies that have been announced but not yet fully developed.

APA

Sawyer, D., Beugin, D., Griffin, B., Förg, F., & Smith, R. (2022). Une évaluation indépendante du Plan de réduction des émissions pour 2030. Canadian Climate Institute. https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/ERP-Volume-2-French-FINAL.pdf

Chicago

Sawyer, Dave, Dale Beugin, Brad Griffin, Franziska Förg, and Rick Smith. Une évaluation indépendante du Plan de réduction des émissions pour 2030. Canadian Climate Institute, 2022. https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/ERP-Volume-2-French-FINAL.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Sawyer |first1=Dave |last2=Beugin |first2=Dale |last3=Griffin |first3=Brad |last4=Förg |first4=Franziska |last5=Smith |first5=Rick |title=Une évaluation indépendante du Plan de réduction des émissions pour 2030 |publisher=Canadian Climate Institute |date=April 2022 |url=https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/ERP-Volume-2-French-FINAL.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{sawyer2022une, author = {Sawyer, Dave and Beugin, Dale and Griffin, Brad and Förg, Franziska and Smith, Rick}, title = {{Une évaluation indépendante du Plan de réduction des émissions pour 2030}}, institution = {Canadian Climate Institute}, year = {2022}, month = apr, url = {https://climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/ERP-Volume-2-French-FINAL.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }