Cadre pour les plans de réduction des émissions du Canada

The Canadian Climate Institute outlines a three-pillar framework for Canada's emission reduction plans: establishing net-zero aligned emission trajectories, implementing credible policies with concrete measures, and creating responsive governance processes for continuous improvement. The report emphasizes the need for transparent modeling, sector-specific trajectories, and independent annual monitoring to fill gaps in the current legislative framework. It includes modeling for various sectors, noting that the oil and gas sector exhibits the highest variability and significantly influences the emissions budget for other sectors.

• The Net-Zero Accountability Act requires the federal government to publish emission reduction plans for the milestone years 2030, 2035, 2040, and 2045, with the first plan for 2030 due by March 2022.
• A credible emission reduction plan must define national milestone years consistent with a trajectory to reach net-zero by 2050, utilizing integrated economy-wide modeling to avoid risky technological bets or dead-ends.
• The report identifies a gap in Canada's climate governance: the lack of an annual independent monitoring mechanism, as the Commissioner of the Environment and Sustainable Development only reports every five years.
• For policies to be considered credible, they must be detailed and categorized by their stage of development: legislated policies, policies under development, and announced policies, each with specific requirements for reporting emissions coverage and implementation timelines.
• The oil and gas sector is the largest emitter in Canada and shows the greatest emission variability in simulations, meaning its performance largely determines the available emission envelope for other sectors like heavy industry.
• The electricity sector's emissions are consistently well below the 2030 reference target across all scenarios due to the phase-out of coal plants and the increase in renewable energy.
• Achieving net-zero by 2050 will require 'risky bets' on technologies that are not yet deployed at scale, particularly for sectors like cement and gypsum, as 'safe bets' alone provide a more difficult path to net-zero.
• The building sector requires a significant shift from its historical growth in emissions, with electrification being the primary reduction source for 2030, supplemented by renewable natural gas and construction efficiency.
• In the transport sector, light-duty vehicle trajectories are similar across scenarios, driven by electric vehicle sales and efficiency, whereas heavy-duty freight transport has higher uncertainty due to a lack of available 'safe bet' technologies.

APA

Sawyer, D., Griffin, B., Kanduth, A., & Beugin, D. (2022). Cadre pour les plans de réduction des émissions du Canada. Canadian Climate Institute. https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/ERP-Report-FRENCH-Final-Final.pdf

Chicago

Sawyer, Dave, Brad Griffin, Anna Kanduth, and Dale Beugin. Cadre pour les plans de réduction des émissions du Canada. Canadian Climate Institute, 2022. https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/ERP-Report-FRENCH-Final-Final.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Sawyer |first1=Dave |last2=Griffin |first2=Brad |last3=Kanduth |first3=Anna |last4=Beugin |first4=Dale |title=Cadre pour les plans de réduction des émissions du Canada |publisher=Canadian Climate Institute |date=March 2022 |url=https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/ERP-Report-FRENCH-Final-Final.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{sawyer2022cadre, author = {Sawyer, Dave and Griffin, Brad and Kanduth, Anna and Beugin, Dale}, title = {{Cadre pour les plans de réduction des émissions du Canada}}, institution = {Canadian Climate Institute}, year = {2022}, month = mar, url = {https://institutclimatique.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/ERP-Report-FRENCH-Final-Final.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }