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The report analyzes the economic and environmental consequences of delaying the liberalisation of Poland's 10H distance rule for onshore wind energy. It finds that each year of delay reduces potential installed capacity by 1.5 GW and increases cumulative electricity costs between 2026 and 2030 by approximately 6-7 billion PLN. The study highlights that while the proposed government changes could unlock up to 27 GW of additional potential and increase available land to 7.1% of Poland's area, administrative barriers remain. Faster implementation of these changes would reduce CO2 emissions by 5 million tonnes per year of acceleration and decrease reliance on energy imports and fossil fuels.

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  • The 10H distance rule has effectively blocked the development of new onshore wind projects since 2016, except for those already in progress.
  • Each year of delay in relaxing the 10H rule results in a cumulative cost of approximately 6-7 billion PLN for electricity between 2026 and 2030.
  • Depending on when the distance law is amended, total onshore wind capacity in Poland by 2030 is projected to be between 20.5 and 23.5 GW, with each year of delay reducing capacity by 1.5 GW.
  • The maximum economic potential for onshore wind by 2030 is estimated at 27 GW, provided that grid constraints are resolved and the investment process is simplified.
  • Proposed amendments to the distance law could increase the land area available for wind farms to 7.1% of Poland's total area, potentially unlocking 27 GW of additional capacity.
  • Accelerating the amendment of the distance law would avoid 5 million tonnes of CO2 emissions for each year of acceleration between 2026 and 2030.
  • The total net electricity demand in Poland is projected to rise to 188 TWh by 2030, driven by GDP growth and the electrification of heating and transport.
  • The government's draft amendment includes a default 10H distance, a requirement for local authorities to conduct public consultations to reduce this distance, and a minimum absolute distance of 500 meters.

Cite the original document

APA
ClientEarth (2022). Wpływ zmiany zasady 10H na ceny energii w Polsce. https://www.clientearth.pl/media/km5gt50c/2022-12-14-wp%C5%82yw-zmiany-zasady-10h-na-ceny-energii-w-polsce.pdf
Chicago
ClientEarth. Wpływ zmiany zasady 10H na ceny energii w Polsce. 2022. https://www.clientearth.pl/media/km5gt50c/2022-12-14-wp%C5%82yw-zmiany-zasady-10h-na-ceny-energii-w-polsce.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=ClientEarth |title=Wpływ zmiany zasady 10H na ceny energii w Polsce |date=14 December 2022 |url=https://www.clientearth.pl/media/km5gt50c/2022-12-14-wp%C5%82yw-zmiany-zasady-10h-na-ceny-energii-w-polsce.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{clientearth2022wpyw, author = {{ClientEarth}}, title = {{Wpływ zmiany zasady 10H na ceny energii w Polsce}}, institution = {ClientEarth}, year = {2022}, month = dec, url = {https://www.clientearth.pl/media/km5gt50c/2022-12-14-wp%C5%82yw-zmiany-zasady-10h-na-ceny-energii-w-polsce.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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