The Paris Agreement goes ahead, with or without Trump
Summary
The authors assert that the Paris Agreement's universal and flexible design allows it to persist despite the United States' withdrawal. While the US exit is described as a historical mistake that could increase global temperatures by up to 0.3°C, the authors note that key players like China, the EU, and India remain committed. They highlight that the transition to clean energy is driven by economic opportunities, with major US companies and financial institutions like Blackrock divesting from fossil fuels and supporting the agreement for the sake of stability. Additionally, internal US opposition from governors in California, New York, and Washington suggests a continued domestic effort to reduce emissions.
Key insights
- The Paris Agreement is characterized as a universal and flexible framework designed to stabilize the global average temperature increase at below 2°C, utilizing a variety of funding mechanisms for developing countries.
- The withdrawal of the United States from the agreement is viewed as a significant error that could lead to a global temperature increase of up to 0.3°C beyond the current 1°C rise, while potentially isolating the US internationally and hindering its own clean energy job creation.
- There is no evidence of a 'domino effect' causing other nations to leave the agreement; instead, major emitters including China, India, and the European Union have expressed their determination to proceed.
- Economic and financial drivers are supporting the energy transition regardless of US federal policy, evidenced by the 25 leading US companies supporting the agreement and Blackrock removing all coal-associated investments.
- Subnational opposition within the United States is strong, with the governors of Washington, New York, and California forming a coalition to maintain their own emission reduction plans.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Sanz, M. J., Eguino, M. G., & Galarraga, I. (2017). The Paris Agreement goes ahead, with or without Trump. Basque Centre for Climate Change. https://www.bc3research.org/es/2017/06/the-paris-agreement-goes-ahead-with-or-without-trump-articulo-de-opinion-de-los-investigadores-de-bc3-maria-jose-sanz-mikel-gonzalez-eguino-e-ibon-galarraga-publicado-por-campusa-euskal-herriko/
- Chicago
- Sanz, Maria Jose, Mikel Gonzalez Eguino, and Ibon Galarraga. The Paris Agreement goes ahead, with or without Trump. Basque Centre for Climate Change, 2017. https://www.bc3research.org/es/2017/06/the-paris-agreement-goes-ahead-with-or-without-trump-articulo-de-opinion-de-los-investigadores-de-bc3-maria-jose-sanz-mikel-gonzalez-eguino-e-ibon-galarraga-publicado-por-campusa-euskal-herriko/.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite press release |last1=Sanz |first1=Maria Jose |last2=Eguino |first2=Mikel Gonzalez |last3=Galarraga |first3=Ibon |title=The Paris Agreement goes ahead, with or without Trump |publisher=Basque Centre for Climate Change |date=9 June 2017 |url=https://www.bc3research.org/es/2017/06/the-paris-agreement-goes-ahead-with-or-without-trump-articulo-de-opinion-de-los-investigadores-de-bc3-maria-jose-sanz-mikel-gonzalez-eguino-e-ibon-galarraga-publicado-por-campusa-euskal-herriko/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @misc{sanz2017paris, author = {Sanz, Maria Jose and Eguino, Mikel Gonzalez and Galarraga, Ibon}, title = {{The Paris Agreement goes ahead, with or without Trump}}, publisher = {Basque Centre for Climate Change}, year = {2017}, month = jun, url = {https://www.bc3research.org/es/2017/06/the-paris-agreement-goes-ahead-with-or-without-trump-articulo-de-opinion-de-los-investigadores-de-bc3-maria-jose-sanz-mikel-gonzalez-eguino-e-ibon-galarraga-publicado-por-campusa-euskal-herriko/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
Full text
Collected · Record updated