Exploring the Nexus Between Oil and Gas Investments and Development in Tanzania

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The report examines how Tanzania's extractive industries, particularly natural gas and gold, have created economic enclaves and contributed to a 'sub-national resource curse' in regions like Mtwara and Lindi. It analyzes the country's rising debt-to-GDP ratio, which grew from 28% to 40% in four years, and the role of resource-backed loans from China for infrastructure like the Standard Gauge Railway. While Tanzania possesses significant renewable energy potential in solar, wind, and hydropower, the report notes a continued reliance on fossil fuels and a lack of gender-sensitive policies in the energy sector. It concludes with recommendations to diversify the economy, strengthen governance, and develop a domestic downstream sector for critical minerals.

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  • Tanzania exhibits signs of a 'sub-national resource curse' where extractive wealth is concentrated, leading to local economic deterioration. In the village of Likong’o, land re-settlement compensation of $2-$3 million caused locals to abandon cashew crop cultivation in favor of rent-seeking, while youth in Mtwara and Lindi have left the agro-economy for sectors supporting the oil and gas industry.
  • The country's national debt has increased significantly, with the central government debt stock reaching TZS 91,708.33 billion (USD 35,688.90 million) as of March 2024. The debt-to-GDP ratio surged from 28% to 40% over four years, partly driven by large-scale infrastructure projects like the $10 billion Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) funded by the Exim Bank of China.

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APA
African Forum and Network on Debt and Development (n.d.). Exploring the Nexus Between Oil and Gas Investments and Development in Tanzania. https://afrodad.org/sites/default/files/publications/Exploring%20the%20Nexus%20Between%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20Investments%20and%20Development%20in%20Tanzania_0.pdf
Chicago
African Forum and Network on Debt and Development. Exploring the Nexus Between Oil and Gas Investments and Development in Tanzania. n.d. https://afrodad.org/sites/default/files/publications/Exploring%20the%20Nexus%20Between%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20Investments%20and%20Development%20in%20Tanzania_0.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=African Forum and Network on Debt and Development |title=Exploring the Nexus Between Oil and Gas Investments and Development in Tanzania |url=https://afrodad.org/sites/default/files/publications/Exploring%20the%20Nexus%20Between%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20Investments%20and%20Development%20in%20Tanzania_0.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{africanforumandnetworkondebtanddevelopmentndexploring, author = {{African Forum and Network on Debt and Development}}, title = {{Exploring the Nexus Between Oil and Gas Investments and Development in Tanzania}}, institution = {African Forum and Network on Debt and Development}, url = {https://afrodad.org/sites/default/files/publications/Exploring%20the%20Nexus%20Between%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20Investments%20and%20Development%20in%20Tanzania_0.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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