{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{},"warnings":[]},"total":{"value":42390,"relation":"eq"},"page":43,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?page=43","next":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?page=44","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"clipolin-000932","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/clipolin-000932","title":"Unlocking Climate Risk Insurance: The Role of Public Development Banks","publisher":{"name":"Climate Policy Initiative","organization":"climate-policy-initiative"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Unlocking-Climate-Risk-Insurance.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report argues that public development banks (PDBs)—including national, regional, and multilateral institutions—are uniquely positioned to overcome structural and market barriers to climate risk insurance in EMDEs. It identifies key barriers such as data gaps, underdeveloped local capital bases, and fragmented regulatory frameworks. The document proposes a tiered approach where National Development Banks (NDBs) focus on local market development and project pipelines, Regional Development Banks (RDBs) coordinate risk pooling and shared data infrastructure, and Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) provide catalytic capital and credit enhancement. Key recommendations include the use of targeted premium subsidies with sunset clauses, the bundling of insurance with loans, and the creation of regulatory sandboxes to foster innovation in parametric insurance.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a significant 'protection gap' in EMDEs, where insurance premiums written accounted for only approximately 2% of GDP in 2023, compared to 12% in advanced economies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Insurance and catastrophe bonds were underutilized as pre-arranged risk finance mechanisms in EMDEs in 2023, representing less than 30% of such tools, while contingent disaster loans and grants made up 68%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Parametric insurance is identified as having the most transformative potential for EMDEs because it offers rapid payouts based on predetermined thresholds, lower administration costs, and reduced moral hazard compared to indemnity insurance.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"National Development Banks (NDBs) can expand insurance access by acting as financial intermediaries, convening stakeholders to align on climate risks, and bundling insurance with concessional lending.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Regional Development Banks (RDBs) are critical for reducing risk correlations and premiums by establishing and scaling regional risk pools and developing interoperable regional data hubs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) can mobilize private capital through risk-sharing mechanisms; for example, the ADB's Master Framework Agreement for Sustainable Infrastructure aims to mobilize up to USD 2.75 billion of private capital by transferring credit risk to insurers.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The World Bank has used its credit rating and issuance systems to provide the Government of Jamaica with USD 150 million in financial protection through a parametric CAT Bond for hurricane seasons.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Five primary barriers hinder insurance uptake in EMDEs: lack of a credible pipeline of insurable projects, underdeveloped local capital bases, outdated regulatory frameworks, poorly designed public subsidies, and significant data gaps.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Public subsidies for insurance premiums can lead to maladaptive behaviors if they lack sunset clauses, potentially encouraging development in high-risk areas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000932#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate finance","national development bank","multilateral development bank","Blended Finance","capacity building","climate change adaptation"],"geography_discussed":["Fiji","Tonga","Caribbean","Jamaica","Brazil","Ethiopia","Kenya","India","People's Republic of China","Mexico","Ecuador","Benin","Ivory Coast","Senegal","Togo","Cape Town"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","financial assessment","case study"]},{"id":"clipolin-001024","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/clipolin-001024","title":"Assessing Climate Risks to India’s Power Sector: A District-Level and Asset-Level Methodology for Climate-Resilient Power Systems","publisher":{"name":"Climate Policy Initiative","organization":"climate-policy-initiative"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Annexure-Assessing-Climate-Risks-to-Indias-Power-Sector.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report details a framework for assessing climate risks to India's power sector, distinguishing between chronic stresses (e.g., temperature, drought) and acute extremes (e.g., floods, cyclones). It introduces the Asset-Specific Climate Risk Factor (ACRF) for spatial screening and Expected Annual Impact (EAI)—measured as Expected Annual Loss (EAL) for generation and Energy Not Served (ENS) for networks—to quantify operational disruptions in MWh. The methodology includes a cost-benefit analysis (CBA) framework to evaluate the economic viability of resilience measures by comparing investment costs against avoided energy losses and repair expenditures.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001024#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The methodology employs a 'hazard–exposure–vulnerability' construct to generate two primary outputs: the Asset-Specific Climate Risk Factor (ACRF), a dimensionless index for spatial risk mapping, and the Expected Annual Impact (EAI), which quantifies energy losses in MWh per year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001024#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate hazards are categorized into chronic and acute pathways based on their physical impact mechanisms. Chronic hazards, including temperature, rainfall, wind speed, and drought-induced water stress, cause gradual performance degradation or operational constraints. Acute hazards, such as floods, cyclones, and landslides, cause sudden physical failures and forced outages.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001024#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Asset exposure is defined differently across the power sector: generation assets are mapped to a single district based on rated installed capacity; transmission assets are distributed across districts based on line length; and distribution assets are mapped to a single district based on average load served.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001024#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The framework quantifies operational impacts through Expected Annual Loss (EAL) for generation assets and Energy Not Served (ENS) for transmission and distribution assets. ENS incorporates a redundancy/load-transfer factor to account for the grid's ability to reroute power, preventing the overestimation of impacts in meshed networks.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001024#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A cost-benefit analysis (CBA) framework is provided to evaluate resilience measures, such as flood protection walls or equipment hardening. It compares the present value of lifecycle costs (CAPEX and O&M) against the discounted stream of avoided energy losses and avoided direct repair and replacement expenditures.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001024#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Climate risk assessment","electric power industry","climate resilience","temperature","flood","tropical cyclone","landslide"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["methodology","risk framework","economic appraisal"]},{"id":"clipolin-001080","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/clipolin-001080","title":"Assessing Climate Risks to India’s Power Sector: A District-Level and Asset-Level Methodology for Climate-Resilient Power Systems","publisher":{"name":"Climate Policy Initiative","organization":"climate-policy-initiative"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Discussion-paper-Assessing-Climate-Risks-to-Indias-Power-Sector.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The paper introduces the Climate Risk Assessment Framework (CRAF), a structured approach to quantify physical climate risks for India's power infrastructure. It addresses gaps in existing literature by moving from qualitative risk ratings to energy-denominated impact estimates, specifically Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and Energy Not Served (ENS). The methodology distinguishes between chronic stressors (causing performance derating) and acute events (causing sudden failure), providing a pathway for cost-benefit analysis of resilience investments to avoid stranded assets and unplanned retrofitting costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"India's climate profile is shifting toward non-linear increases in temperature and precipitation extremes, with mean surface temperature rising approximately 0.9°C between 1901 and 2024.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate-induced extreme weather events have caused significant financial losses for Asian power utilities, totaling USD 6.3 billion (INR 59,850 crore) annually.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The proposed Climate Risk Assessment Framework (CRAF) uses a hazard–exposure–vulnerability (H×E×V) construct to quantify risk across seven analytical stages, moving from district-level hazard indices to financial impact estimates.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The framework identifies two distinct impact pathways: chronic stress, which leads to performance derating (e.g., efficiency loss in solar PV modules), and acute stress, which causes sudden failure and outages (e.g., transmission tower collapse during cyclones).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The methodology generates an Asset-Specific Climate Risk Factor (ACRF), a dimensionless comparative index used for spatial risk mapping and identifying hotspots across India's districts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Operational impacts are quantified as Expected Annual Loss (EAL) for generation assets and Energy Not Served (ENS) for transmission and distribution assets, both expressed in MWh per year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The framework includes a Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) module to evaluate resilience measures by comparing the Present Value of Benefits (avoided energy losses and repair costs) against the Present Value of Costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"As of 2026, India's total installed power capacity is approximately 520 GW, with a target for 60% of cumulative installed capacity to come from non-fossil fuel sources by 2035.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001080#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["electric power industry","climate change adaptation","climate resilience","photovoltaics","wind turbine","electric power transmission","climate finance","extreme weather event","national adaptation plan"],"geography_discussed":["Himachal Pradesh","Jharkhand","Maharashtra","Kerala","Tripura","Andhra Pradesh","Jammu & Kashmir","Ladakh","Bihar","Assam"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["methodological framework","risk assessment"]},{"id":"cmw-000441","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cmw-000441","title":"FAQ: HOW COMPANIES CAN SUPPORT EXTERNAL CLIMATE ACTION","publisher":{"name":"Carbon Market Watch","organization":"carbon-market-watch"},"document_type":"guide","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/2026-05_-FAQ_-HOW-COMPANIES-CAN-SUPPORT-EXTERNAL-CLIMATE-ACTION.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document argues that the traditional carbon offsetting model is fundamentally flawed and misleading, urging companies to adopt Beyond Value Chain Mitigation (BVCM). Unlike offsetting, which claims to 'cancel out' emissions, BVCM involves supporting external climate projects as a contribution to global goals without claiming carbon neutrality. The guide outlines the legal and reputational risks of offsetting—including a September 2026 EU ban on product-level offsetting claims—and provides a five-step implementation framework for BVCM. It suggests diversifying contributions beyond carbon credits into durable carbon removals (CDR), 'high-hanging fruit' technology research, and climate impact funds, while emphasizing that external action must not replace internal decarbonization aligned with a 1.5°C trajectory.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Carbon offsetting is based on the flawed premise that one credit can reliably cancel out one tonne of CO2, a claim unsupported by evidence; one study found that less than 16% of credits from over 2,000 projects represented actual emission reductions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The European Union will implement a ban on product-level offsetting claims, such as 'carbon neutral' or 'climate neutral' logos for goods and services, starting in September 2026.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Beyond Value Chain Mitigation (BVCM) differs from offsetting by supporting external mitigation without claiming to counterbalance the company's own emissions. It can utilize 'money-for-tonne' (internal carbon pricing) or 'money-for-money' (percentage of revenue) approaches rather than 'tonne-for-tonne' logic.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Consumer surveys in the UK, Germany, and the Netherlands indicate that 'carbon neutral' claims are either misunderstood or viewed with skepticism, often leading consumers to feel misled when the role of offsetting is revealed.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To implement BVCM, companies should follow a five-step process: calculate and disclose GHG footprints (Scopes 1, 2, and 3), determine a budget for external action, perform due diligence to select a portfolio of impactful initiatives, finance those initiatives, and communicate these steps while keeping them separate from internal decarbonization.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Companies are encouraged to diversify their BVCM portfolios beyond carbon credits to include durable carbon removals (CDR) for long-cycle emissions, 'high-hanging fruit' initiatives (hard-to-abate technologies), and climate impact funds.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"External climate contributions must not replace internal decarbonization; companies must maintain science-based targets aligned with a 1.5°C trajectory and disclose the financial resources dedicated to in-house mitigation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000441#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["carbon offset","carbon credit","greenwashing","climate finance","decarbonization"],"geography_discussed":["European Union","United Kingdom","Germany","Netherlands"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy guidance","corporate strategy"]},{"id":"cmw-000442","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cmw-000442","title":"Beyond net: a guide on separate permanent removal targets in the EU","publisher":{"name":"Carbon Market Watch","organization":"carbon-market-watch"},"document_type":"guide","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/2026-A-guide-on-separate-permanent-removal-targets-in-the-EU-briefing-combined.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"Carbon Market Watch proposes that the EU replace 'net' climate targets with three distinct targets for emissions reductions, land-based sequestration, and permanent carbon dioxide removals (CDR). The guide argues that current EU governance is inadequate, noting that the Carbon Removal and Carbon Farming (CRCF) Regulation lacks rigour and the Net-Zero Industry Act's goal of 50 Mt of geological CO2 storage does not specify the volume for permanent removals. To implement this, the author suggests integrating permanent removal targets into the Effort Sharing Regulation and strengthening the Governance Regulation to require credible feasibility and sustainability assessments by March 2027. Proposed target designs include a 'floor' for minimum delivery and a 'ceiling' to prevent over-reliance on CDR, with targets expressed in absolute volume (MtCO2) and as a percentage of 1990 gross emissions. Financing should be shared between the public sector and high-polluting companies through progressive taxation or direct removal obligations.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000442#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Net targets are criticized for obscuring actual progress and allowing carbon removals to act as a substitute for effective emission cuts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000442#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Current EU governance of permanent removals is deemed insufficient; specifically, the CRCF Regulation is described as lacking the rigour needed for reliable removals, and the Net-Zero Industry Act's 50 Mt geological storage goal does not distinguish between permanent removals and CCS activities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000442#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The author recommends integrating national permanent removal targets into the Effort Sharing Regulation and using the Governance Regulation to enforce feasibility and sustainability assessments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000442#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Proposed national targets should feature a 'floor' to ensure minimum capacity development and a 'ceiling' to prevent over-investment in CDR from justifying high emission levels in hard-to-abate sectors.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000442#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Targets should be quantified in both absolute volume (MtCO2) and as a percentage of 1990 gross emissions to ensure transparency and fair comparison.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000442#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The document suggests that high-polluting companies should bear the cost of removals through progressive taxation or a direct EU-wide removal obligation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000442#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["carbon capture and storage","Net-zero emissions","European Union Emission Trading Scheme 1","bio-energy with carbon capture and storage","climate finance"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy recommendation","governance framework"]},{"id":"cmw-000524","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cmw-000524","title":"EU ETS scope expansion for aviation","publisher":{"name":"Carbon Market Watch","organization":"carbon-market-watch"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/CE_Delft_260133_EU_ETS_scope_expansion_for_aviation_Def-.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report analyzes the potential demand response to an EU ETS scope expansion for extra-EEA flights. It finds that demand effects are generally small at current price levels, particularly for high-emitting segments such as long-haul flights, business travel, and private aviation, which exhibit low price elasticity. The study highlights that cost pass-through rates are higher in competitive markets and at uncongested airports. Non-price factors, including value of time, airline loyalty, and airport attractiveness, are identified as primary drivers of the observed differences in price sensitivity across market segments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The overall demand response to an EU ETS scope expansion is expected to be relatively small for most segments at current price levels, typically limited to a few percentage points.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Long-haul commercial flights (over 9 hours) are significantly less price-sensitive than short-haul flights (under 1.5 hours), with an average elasticity that is 41% lower.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Business travellers exhibit much lower price sensitivity than leisure travellers, with a difference of 54% for short-haul and 74% for long-haul flights.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Private aviation is the most price-inelastic segment, with elasticities approximately 9 times lower than long-haul commercial leisure flights and 15 times lower than short-haul flights.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Frequent flyers (defined as those flying five or more return trips per year) are less price-sensitive than occasional flyers, by 29% for leisure travel and 52% for business travel.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Cost pass-through rates vary by market conditions: airlines pass through a higher share of costs in more competitive markets and at uncongested airports, while passing through less in less competitive markets or at congested airports.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Non-price factors—specifically value of time, airline loyalty, airport attractiveness, and the availability of substitute transport—significantly dampen the influence of price on passenger choices.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report concludes that the EU ETS price increase will have a relatively low effect on the highest emitters, such as business class and private jet passengers, who are the least price-sensitive.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Demand response for return tickets is expected to be significantly lower (approximately 50% lower) than for one-way tickets because only the departing leg is priced under the EU ETS.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000524#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["European Union Emission Trading Scheme 1","aviation","carbon price","demand response","carbon leakage","Sustainable Aviation Fuel"],"geography_discussed":["Switzerland","United Kingdom","Singapore","Turkey","Thailand","Japan","United Arab Emirates","United States"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic modelling","literature review","case studies"]},{"id":"cmw-000616","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cmw-000616","title":"Trading carbon credits for human rights: Does Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement protect Indigenous Peoples and local communities?","publisher":{"name":"Carbon Market Watch","organization":"carbon-market-watch"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/CMW_Trading-carbon-credits_Report_29.04.26_V02.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report argues that the Article 6.4 Sustainable Development (SD) Tool is primarily procedural and fails to protect Indigenous Peoples and local communities due to an overreliance on national laws, narrow definitions of Indigenous status, and a restrictive approach to Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC). Geospatial analysis reveals that hundreds of projects in the Article 6 pipeline—including both new notifications and transitioning Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects—overlap with or are in close proximity to Indigenous and community lands, particularly in Asia. Documented cases in India, Kenya, Colombia, and Brazil demonstrate that these gaps have already led to involuntary resettlement, inadequate compensation, and long-term land conflicts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The SD Tool's social safeguards are largely procedural and lack a clear hierarchy of legal standards, meaning they do not specify that international human rights norms should prevail when national laws are weak or exclusionary.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The SD Tool employs a narrow definition of 'Indigenous Peoples' and restricts the application of Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC) to specific cases, leaving customary rights-holders and local communities without equivalent procedural protections.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The SD Tool's compensation logic is limited to an economic 'no worse off' standard, which fails to account for the social, cultural, and spiritual value of land for forest-dependent communities and Indigenous Peoples.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Geospatial analysis of the Article 6 pipeline shows substantial risk of land rights infringements: of 663 geolocated projects that submitted a prior consideration notification (PCN), 117 show a high risk of direct overlap with Indigenous and community lands, and 309 transitioning CDM projects show potential overlap.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Regional analysis indicates that Asia hosts the highest number of land-intensive projects with high overlap risks, specifically in India, Southeast Asia, and China.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Real-world evidence from the Article 6 pipeline confirms that projects are associated with involuntary resettlement and inadequate compensation, such as the Sogamoso hydropower project in Colombia and the Lake Turkana wind power project in Kenya.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Many projects are built upon long-standing, unresolved land conflicts, such as the Paracel Carbon Forestry project in Paraguay and the Mau Forest project in Kenya, where communities like the Ogiek face insecure tenure and forced evictions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000616#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["carbon credit","land tenure","indigenous people","Free, Prior and Informed Consent","human rights","hydropower","wind energy","solar energy","reforestation","afforestation","ecological restoration","nature-based solutions"],"geography_discussed":["Asia","India","People's Republic of China","Africa","Kenya","Latin America and the Caribbean","Brazil","Colombia","Paraguay","Vietnam","Philippines","Ethiopia","Mexico","Laos","Pakistan"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["benchmarking","geospatial analysis","systematic review","case study"]},{"id":"cmw-000906","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cmw-000906","title":"Why a weak Turkish ETS fails both the climate and Turkish exporters","publisher":{"name":"Carbon Market Watch","organization":"carbon-market-watch"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Turkish-ETS_final-version.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report argues that the proposed Turkish ETS is fundamentally weak due to its reliance on an intensity-based cap, broad unconditional free allocation, and the use of offsets. These design choices are expected to prevent the system from generating a meaningful carbon price signal, thereby failing to drive emissions reductions aligned with the Paris Agreement and leaving Turkish exporters exposed to significant CBAM fees. The authors recommend transitioning to an absolute declining cap, phasing out offsets, and shifting toward auctioning to retain climate revenues domestically.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000906#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The proposed Turkish ETS uses an intensity-based cap rather than an absolute cap, which the report argues fails to ensure emissions decline over time and lacks a progressive tightening pathway.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000906#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The draft regulation provides unconditional free allocation across all covered sectors, including the power sector, which contradicts the polluter-pays principle and risks rewarding the most polluting installations.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000906#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Turkish ETS allows facilities to meet up to 10% of their compliance obligations using domestic 'Turquoise Credits', which the report claims weakens the carbon price signal and raises environmental integrity concerns due to weak additionality and permanence rules.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000906#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The system's governance is described as highly centralised and opaque, with key decisions made by the Carbon Market Board and the Presidency and no formal role for civil society or independent experts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000906#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report estimates that without a domestic carbon pricing scheme, Turkish exporters could face annual CBAM fees of €1.655 billion, representing nearly 10% of the value of all traded goods.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000906#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Analysis suggests the Turkish ETS is unlikely to align with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C pathway; emissions from covered sectors are projected to reach 197 MtCO₂e by 2035 under maximum policy effort, compared to a compatible level of 123 MtCO₂e.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cmw-000906#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["emission trading","carbon price","Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism","carbon leakage","carbon offset","Paris Agreement","decarbonization","climate finance"],"geography_discussed":["European Union","People's Republic of China"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy assessment","comparative analysis","emissions projection"]},{"id":"fsdafri-000240","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/fsdafri-000240","title":"Why capital market development matters and where the focus should be","publisher":{"name":"FSD Africa","organization":"fsd-africa"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://fsdafrica.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Why-Capital-Market-Development-matters-and-where-the-focus-should-be-FINAL.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report asserts that capital markets are essential for African economies to finance climate adaptation, infrastructure, and demographic shifts amidst declining foreign aid and FDI. It argues that while public equity markets have limited utility for smaller or frontier markets due to high costs and information asymmetries, corporate bond markets and hybrid structures—combining public disclosure with private flexibility—offer more practical pathways. The author emphasizes that macroeconomic stability and pension reforms are foundational to increasing the domestic savings base. The document recommends using guarantees, pooled investment vehicles, and project preparation platforms to increase institutional investor confidence and develop bankable projects in infrastructure, housing, and MSMEs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"fsdafri-000240#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Domestic capital markets have become essential for African economies due to increasing financing needs for climate change, natural capital restoration, and demographic shifts, compounded by a decline in bilateral aid and foreign direct investment since 2018.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"fsdafri-000240#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Pension reforms and macroeconomic stability are critical prerequisites for capital market growth; evidence shows that countries implementing mandatory funded pension programs saw domestic net issuance activity rise from an average of 0.7% to 3.2% of GDP within four years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"fsdafri-000240#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Public equity markets are often an impractical primary route for smaller or frontier African markets because of high fixed costs—such as investment bank and legal fees—and structural challenges like information asymmetries and agency costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"fsdafri-000240#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Developing corporate debt markets is presented as a more immediate alternative to the banking system, provided there is strong political commitment to macroeconomic stability and the establishment of government security benchmark yields.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"fsdafri-000240#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"African economies may benefit from 'hybrid markets' that merge public approval and disclosure processes with regulatory accommodations for alternative assets, supported by first-loss arrangements and pooled investment vehicles.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"fsdafri-000240#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Risk-mitigation tools, specifically local currency guarantees provided by entities like GuarantCo, InfraCredit in Nigeria, and Dhamana in Kenya, are vital for crowding in long-term private institutional capital.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"fsdafri-000240#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate finance","Blended Finance"],"geography_discussed":["sub-Saharan Africa","Chile","Malaysia","People's Republic of China","India","Nigeria","Kenya","South Africa","Rwanda","Ghana","West Africa Economic and Monetary Union"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","strategic framework"]},{"id":"gem-000030","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000030","title":"追踪全球燃煤电厂发展","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"zh","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Chinese%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity grew by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, as coal plants increasingly serve as 'system insurance' rather than primary power sources. This trend is most prominent in China and India, where record-high new capacity is being offset by the rapid expansion of wind and solar energy. While the number of countries proposing new coal plants decreased from 38 in 2024 to 32 in 2025, significant expansion continues in China and India, which together account for 95% of global coal capacity under construction. In the US and EU, energy security concerns and government interventions have delayed planned retirements of coal units.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000030#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"China experienced record-breaking coal development in 2025, with 78 GW of new capacity commissioned (a ten-year high) and 161.7 GW of new or restarted projects proposed. Total capacity under development has exceeded 500 GW, despite a 1.2% drop in annual coal generation to 5,757 TWh.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000030#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"India's coal capacity grew by 3.8% in 2025, with 27.9 GW of new or restarted projects proposed and a government goal to add 100 GW of capacity over the next seven years. However, coal generation in India fell by 2.9% as non-fossil fuel capacity exceeded half of total installed capacity.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000030#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal development is becoming geographically concentrated; only 32 countries proposed or built new coal plants in 2025, down from 38 in 2024 and 75 in 2014. Only 5% of global coal capacity under construction is located outside of China and India.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000030#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesia's coal capacity grew by 7% in 2025, with 25% of that growth linked to captive coal power for nickel and aluminum processing. Indonesia ranks third globally for proposed coal capacity at 11 GW.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000030#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","energy transition","renewable energy","wind power","solar energy","energy security","stranded asset"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","South Korea","Japan","Turkey","Canada","Pakistan","Bangladesh","Southeast Asia","Latin America","Africa","Ukraine","Zimbabwe","Zambia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["statistical analysis","policy assessment","geographic trend analysis"]},{"id":"gem-000031","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000031","title":"Surveillance du portefeuille mondial des centrales de production électrique au charbon","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"fr","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_French%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while production fell by 0.6%, as new plants are increasingly built for backup reliability rather than primary generation. This trend is most prominent in China and India, where renewables are meeting most new demand. While the number of countries developing coal projects fell to 32, political interventions in the US and energy security concerns in the EU have delayed planned closures. The EU continues a terminal decline in coal, with solar and wind producing more energy than all fossil fuels combined for the first time in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a widening divergence between the addition of coal capacity and its actual use; in 2025, global capacity grew by 3.5% while production decreased by 0.6%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India are the primary drivers of new capacity, with 95% of all global coal capacity under construction located in these two countries. In China, new projects and reactivations reached a record 161.7 GW in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal capacity is increasingly being maintained as a backup or 'dépannage' source for grid stability and energy security rather than for daily production, particularly in China, India, and the US.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The geographic footprint of coal development is shrinking, with the number of countries proposing or building new plants dropping from 75 in 2014 to 32 in 2025. Latin America reached a status of having no new coal proposals in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Planned coal plant closures are frequently delayed; nearly 70% of units scheduled for retirement in 2025 remained in service, including 69% in the EU and 59% in the US.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The European Union is experiencing a terminal decline in coal, with coal's share of total electricity production falling to 9.2% in 2025 from 24.6% in 2015. In 2025, solar and wind energy production in the EU exceeded that of all fossil fuels for the first time.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The United States was the only major economy to increase coal production in 2025, attributed to policy changes that hindered clean energy deployment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesia's coal fleet grew by 7% in 2025, with a significant portion of the increase dedicated to 'captive' coal for nickel and aluminum processing.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000031#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","energy transition","renewable energy","solar energy","wind energy","energy security","stranded asset","decarbonization","carbon credit"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","European Union","United States","Indonesia","Latin America","South Korea","Turkey","Africa","Ireland","Spain","Italy","Greece","Germany","Poland","Bulgaria","Croatia","Denmark"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["portfolio monitoring","capacity vs production analysis","policy impact assessment"]},{"id":"gem-000032","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000032","title":"Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"id","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while production fell by 0.6%, as coal is increasingly used as 'system insurance' rather than a primary energy source. This trend is most prominent in China and India, where renewables are meeting new demand despite record coal plant commissioning. Globally, the number of countries proposing new coal plants dropped to 32. In Indonesia, coal expansion continues through 'captive' plants for nickel and aluminium industries, reaching 20 GW, while national energy plans (RUKN and RUPTL) are criticized for maintaining fossil fuel dependency and lacking a clear phase-out roadmap despite official net-zero commitments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"In 2025, there was a widening divergence between the growth of global coal capacity and actual electricity generation; while capacity rose by 3.5%, production decreased by 0.6%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India are the primary drivers of new coal capacity, using it as 'system insurance' for reliability while wind and solar meet most new demand. China saw record new or reactivated capacity of 161.7 GW in 2025, with over 500 GW total in development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The number of countries pursuing new coal power plants is declining, falling from 75 in 2014 to 32 in 2025. Latin America reached a 'No New Coal' status in 2025, and South Korea committed to a coal phase-out by 2040.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesia's coal expansion is dominated by 'captive' power plants for the nickel and aluminium industries, which reached 20 GW in 2025, with 17 GW specifically linked to these minerals in Central Sulawesi and North Maluku.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesian energy planning exhibits significant contradictions: while the government has announced a 2060 Net Zero target and a 2040 coal closure goal, the RUPTL 2025-2034 still plans 6.4 GW of short-term on-grid coal investment and 3.1 GW of long-term capacity.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The planned early retirement of the Cirebon-1 power plant was cancelled in early 2026 due to its technical lifespan and the fiscal rigidity of 'take-or-pay' power purchase agreements (PPA).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Pollution from the 20 most toxic coal plants in Indonesia is projected to cause approximately 156,000 premature deaths between 2026 and the end of their operations, with economic and health costs estimated at US$ 109 billion.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000032#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","energy transition","renewable energy","solar energy","wind energy","Carbon lock-in","stranded asset","carbon neutrality","Just Energy Transition Partnership","power purchase agreement","air pollution","decarbonization"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","South Korea","Japan","Australia","Turkey","Canada","Pakistan","Bangladesh","Southeast Asia","Russia","Central Asia","Latin America","Africa","Western Balkans","Ukraine","Central Sulawesi","North Maluku","Batam","Java","Zimbabwe","Zambia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["trend analysis","policy assessment","environmental impact assessment"]},{"id":"gem-000033","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000033","title":"世界の石炭火力発電所の計画追跡（2026 年5月）","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"ja","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Japanese%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report highlights a growing gap in 2025 where global coal capacity increased by 3.5% despite a 0.6% decrease in generation, signaling a shift where coal serves as a backup rather than a primary power source. While China and India continue to expand capacity for energy security, the total number of countries proposing or building new coal plants fell to 32 in 2025. The document specifically contrasts the policies of South Korea, which has committed to a 2040 coal phase-out and joined the Powering Past Coal Alliance, with Japan, which maintains a large coal fleet and focuses on abatement technologies like ammonia co-firing and CCS without a binding national phase-out date.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000033#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"China recorded a record high of 161.7 GW in new and restarted coal projects in 2025, with total capacity under development exceeding 500 GW, despite government pledges to reduce coal consumption during the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000033#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"India's coal pipeline expanded for the fifth consecutive year, with 107.3 GW in the planning stage and 23.5 GW under construction in 2025, although non-fossil fuel capacity exceeded half of its total capacity that year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000033#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"South Korea has shifted its policy toward a 2040 coal phase-out and joined the Powering Past Coal Alliance, moving away from costly abatement technologies like ammonia co-firing.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000033#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","energy transition","renewable energy","carbon capture and storage","Cofiring","energy security","stranded asset","Nationally Determined Contributions","Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism"],"geography_discussed":["South Korea","Indonesia","Australia","Turkey","Canada","Africa","Zimbabwe","Zambia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","capacity tracking","comparative study"]},{"id":"gem-000034","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000034","title":"전 세계 석탄발전소 추이 조사","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"ko","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Korean%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal power capacity increased by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, reflecting a trend where coal plants act as 'system insurance' rather than primary power sources. This gap is most prominent in China and India, where record-high completions coexist with falling generation due to rapid wind and solar expansion. While the number of countries proposing new coal projects decreased from 38 in 2024 to 32 in 2025, and Latin America reached a state of no new proposals, some regions like the US and EU delayed planned closures due to energy security and political intervention. South Korea has committed to a 2040 coal phase-out, contrasting with Japan's more gradual approach focused on ammonia co-firing and efficiency improvements.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"In 2025, there was a widening gap between coal capacity and actual usage: global coal power capacity rose by 3.5%, while generation decreased by 0.6%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India saw the largest decreases in coal generation despite high completion rates; China's capacity grew by 6% while generation fell 1.2%, and India's capacity grew 3.8% while generation fell 2.9%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China recorded a historic high of 161.7GW in new and resumed coal projects in 2025, with over 500GW of total capacity currently under development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"India proposed 27.9GW of new or resumed coal plants in 2025 and aims to add 100GW of new capacity over the next seven years, even as non-fossil capacity exceeded half of its total installed capacity in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Approximately 70% of coal plants scheduled for closure in 2025 remained operational, including 69% of planned closures in the EU and 59% in the US.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The number of countries proposing or constructing new coal plants fell from 38 in 2024 to 32 in 2025; Latin America reached a status of having no new coal plant proposals in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"South Korea committed to a phase-out of coal power by 2040, noting that about half of its 42GW operating capacity has closure plans before 2040.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Japan continues to operate one of the largest coal fleets in the OECD (53GW) without a binding national phase-out schedule, focusing instead on ammonia co-firing and carbon capture and storage (CCS).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000034#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal power","renewable energy","wind power","solar energy","energy security","carbon capture and storage","Cofiring","phase-out","stranded asset"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","South Korea","Japan","Indonesia","Turkey","Pakistan","Bangladesh","Southeast Asia","Africa","Zimbabwe","Zambia","Latin America","Western Balkans","Ukraine","Australia","Canada"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["trend analysis","policy assessment"]},{"id":"gem-000035","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000035","title":"Rastreamento global das usinas de carvão","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"pt","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Portuguese%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity grew by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, as new plants in China and India are increasingly used as system insurance rather than primary generation. While the number of countries proposing new coal plants decreased to 32, political interventions in the US and EU delayed planned retirements. Latin America and the Caribbean achieved a status of 'No New Coal Plants' in 2025, though several countries, including Brazil and Chile, experienced setbacks in their decommissioning schedules.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a growing gap between the construction of new coal capacity and its actual use; in 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while generation decreased by 0.6%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India are leading the expansion of coal capacity despite falling generation, with China's new and reactivated projects reaching a record 161.7 GW in 2025 and India proposing 27.9 GW of new or reactivated plants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The number of countries proposing or building new coal plants is declining, falling from 75 in 2014 to 32 in 2025, with only 5% of global construction occurring outside China and India.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Planned coal retirements are frequently delayed due to political intervention or energy security concerns; nearly 70% of units scheduled for retirement in 2025 remained operational, including 69% in the EU and 59% in the US.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Latin America and the Caribbean reached a milestone in 2025 with no new coal plants in the pipeline, following Brazil's decision to archive its last remaining proposal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Brazil exhibits contradictory coal trends: while it stopped new plant development, it extended the mandatory purchase of electricity from coal plants like Candiota 3 and the Jorge Lacerda complex until 2040 through Law 15.269/2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Chile has decommissioned 2.4 GW of capacity between 2019 and 2025, but faces setbacks with the Andina and Hornitos units, whose retirement or conversion was pushed to May 2027.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000035#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal power","energy transition","renewable energy","solar energy","wind energy","energy security","stranded asset","climate finance"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","Latin America and the Caribbean","Brazil","Chile","Colombia","Dominican Republic","Mexico","Argentina","Guadeloupe","Guatemala","Panama","Indonesia","Turkey","Pakistan","Bangladesh","Zimbabwe","Zambia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["capacity tracking","policy analysis","regional assessment"]},{"id":"gem-000036","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000036","title":"Отслеживание глобального портфеля угольных электростанций","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"ru","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Russian%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, reflecting a trend where coal plants are increasingly used as backup reserves rather than primary energy sources. This divergence is most acute in China and India, where record capacity additions coexist with falling generation due to the rise of wind and solar power. While the number of countries proposing new coal projects declined from 38 to 32, political interventions in the US and EU delayed planned retirements. Regionally, Latin America reported no new projects, while Russia and Kazakhstan continue to integrate coal into their long-term energy security strategies despite international financing constraints and sanctions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a widening gap between coal capacity and generation; in 2025, global installed capacity rose by 3.5% while generation decreased by 0.6%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India saw the sharpest drops in coal generation despite record capacity additions, as renewables met most of the demand growth. China added 161.7 GW of new and refurbished projects in 2025, while India announced 27.9 GW of new projects.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The number of countries proposing or building new coal plants is shrinking, falling from 75 in 2014 to 32 in 2025. Only 5% of global coal construction now occurs outside of China and India.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Planned coal plant retirements are frequently delayed; nearly 70% of units scheduled for decommissioning in 2025 remained operational, including 69% in the EU and 59% in the US.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Russia's coal sector is under stress due to sanctions, high transport costs, and falling global demand, leading to a sharp drop in new proposals to just 65 MW in 2025. However, the government plans to increase coal production to 662 million metric tons by 2050 to support internal consumption in Siberia and the Far East.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Kazakhstan is pursuing a strategy of expanding coal capacity for energy security while aiming for carbon neutrality by 2060. The government plans to invest over $17 billion in coal expansion by 2030, including 7.6 GW of capacity across six new plants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Mongolia experienced the highest number of coal project cancellations globally in 2025, accounting for 24% of all world cancellations, primarily due to the collapse of the 5.28 GW Shivee-Ovoo export project.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Central Asia, most coal projects in Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan have been frozen due to a lack of financing, particularly following China's 2021 pledge to stop funding new coal plants abroad.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000036#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","energy transition","renewable energy","wind power","solar energy","carbon neutrality","energy security","climate finance"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","Indonesia","Turkey","Latin America","South Korea","Russia","Kazakhstan","Mongolia","Kyrgyzstan","Tajikistan","Uzbekistan","Africa","Zimbabwe","Zambia","Pakistan","Bangladesh"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["portfolio tracking","regional assessment","policy analysis"]},{"id":"gem-000037","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000037","title":"Monitoreo de la generación eléctrica mundial en base a carbón (Mayo 2026)","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"es","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Spanish%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity grew by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, reflecting a trend where coal is increasingly used as system 'insurance' rather than a primary energy source. While Latin America achieved a 'No New Coal' status in 2025, several countries in the region, including Brazil and Chile, experienced delays or reversals in planned plant retirements. China and India continue to lead global capacity expansions, accounting for 95% of all coal capacity under construction worldwide.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a widening gap between the construction of coal capacity and its actual use; in 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while generation decreased by 0.6%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India are the primary drivers of global coal expansion, with only 5% of the world's coal capacity under construction located outside these two countries.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China's coal projects reached a record high of 161.7 GW in 2025, with over 500 GW of total capacity currently in development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"India has a goal to add 100 GW of new coal capacity over the next seven years, despite non-fossil capacity representing more than half of its total installed energy capacity in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Global coal retirements are frequently delayed; nearly 70% of coal units scheduled for retirement in 2025 remained in operation, including 69% in the EU and 59% in the United States.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Latin America and the Caribbean reached 'No New Coal' status in 2025 after Brazil abandoned its last proposed coal plant, though the region faces inconsistent retirement trajectories.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Brazil, political interventions have extended the life of coal plants; Law 15.269/2025 extended mandatory electricity purchases from coal plants, including Candiota 3, until 2040.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Chile retired 2.4 GW of coal capacity between 2019 and 2025, but the revised National Decarbonization Plan from October 2025 shows some units may remain until 2040.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000037#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["energy transition","renewable energy","solar energy","wind energy","decarbonization","stranded asset","energy security","climate finance","just transition","environmental regulation"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","Latin America and the Caribbean","Brazil","Chile","Colombia","Dominican Republic","Mexico","Argentina","Guadeloupe","Guatemala","Panama","Indonesia","Turkey","South Korea"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["trend analysis","policy assessment","geographic comparison"]},{"id":"gem-000038","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000038","title":"Küresel Kömürlü Termik Santral Takibi","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"tr","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Turkish.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while coal-generated electricity decreased by 0.6%, reflecting a shift where coal serves as backup capacity rather than a primary source. This trend is most prominent in China and India, where record capacity additions coexist with falling production due to the rise of renewables. While the number of countries planning new coal projects fell to 32 in 2025, some nations like the US and EU delayed plant closures for energy security. In Turkey, planned coal capacity has plummeted from 57.5 GW in 2015 to 0.7 GW by 2025, though tensions remain between social demand for transition and government policies such as guaranteed purchase mechanisms for coal plants through 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a growing gap between coal plant capacity and actual electricity production globally; in 2025, global installed capacity rose by 3.5% while coal-generated electricity fell by 0.6%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India are leading the trend of adding coal capacity as backup for system security while simultaneously seeing a decline in coal-based generation as renewables meet increasing demand.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China reached a historical peak in 2025 with 161.7 GW of new and reopened coal plant projects, and has over 500 GW in the planning stage, risking a 'lock-in' of coal capacity through 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The number of countries planning or constructing new coal plants continues to decline, dropping from 75 in 2014 to 32 in 2025, with Latin America reporting no new coal projects in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Approximately 70% of coal plants scheduled for closure globally in 2025 were not closed as planned, with failure rates of 69% in the EU and 59% in the US due to energy security and federal interventions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Turkey has seen a massive reduction in planned coal capacity, falling from 57.5 GW in 2015 to 0.7 GW in 2025, leaving only one active project: the expansion of the Afşin-Elbistan A Thermal Power Plant.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Despite the decline in planned projects, the Turkish government announced a guaranteed purchase mechanism for coal plants valid until 2030 in September 2025, and is considering long-term guarantees until 2045.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000038#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","energy transition","renewable energy","solar energy","wind energy","energy security","stranded asset","just transition","carbon dioxide emissions","air pollution","climate target"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","Turkey","Indonesia","South Korea","Pakistan","Bangladesh","Africa","Zimbabwe","Zambia","Australia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["trend analysis","policy assessment","capacity tracking"]},{"id":"gem-000039","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000039","title":"Відстеження глобального портфеля вугільних електростанцій","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"uk","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Ukrainian%20layout.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, driven largely by record additions in China and India. These countries are building coal plants for system reliability and energy security, even as renewables displace coal's role in meeting demand. The report notes a geographic narrowing of coal expansion, with only 32 countries proposing or building new plants, and highlights the specific challenges facing Ukraine's energy recovery following Russian attacks on its infrastructure.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000039#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a growing gap between the installation of coal capacity and its actual use; in 2025, global coal capacity rose by 3.5% while generation decreased by 0.6%. Coal is increasingly viewed as \"system insurance\" for critical moments rather than a primary source of daily generation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000039#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China and India are the primary drivers of coal expansion. China added a record 161.7 GW of new and unfrozen projects in 2025 and has over 500 GW in development. India added 27.9 GW of new or revived plants in 2025 and aims to add 100 GW over the next seven years, despite non-fossil capacity exceeding half of its total installed capacity.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000039#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The global coal portfolio is narrowing geographically. Only 32 countries proposed or built new coal plants in 2025, down from 38 in 2024 and 75 in 2014. Latin America reached a status of having no new coal plant proposals, and South Korea committed to phasing out coal power by 2040.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000039#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Many planned coal plant retirements in 2025 were not executed, with 69% of planned closures in the EU and 59% in the US delayed. In the EU, delays were linked to the 2022–2023 energy crisis, while in the US, they were caused by government intervention to keep aging plants operational.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000039#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Ukraine, Russian attacks have severely damaged energy infrastructure, leaving an estimated 15.7 GW of coal capacity mothballed or damaged. There is a debate regarding the recovery of these plants; critics argue that restoring old coal blocks would contradict EU environmental norms and increase vulnerability to military attacks, suggesting a shift toward decentralized, flexible energy solutions instead.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000039#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","energy security","renewable energy","energy transition","carbon dioxide emissions","distributed generation"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","United States","European Union","Ukraine","Indonesia","South Korea","Japan","Australia","Turkey","Canada","Pakistan","Bangladesh","Southeast Asia","Russia","Central Asia","Latin America","Africa","Western Balkans","Zimbabwe","Zambia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["global assessment","policy analysis","infrastructure tracking"]},{"id":"gem-000157","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000157","title":"Pedal to the Metal 2026","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Pedal%20to%20the%20Metal%202026.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The global iron and steel industry faces a 'coal lock-in crisis' as blast furnace (BF) capacity continues to expand despite decarbonization targets. While electric arc furnace (EAF) and direct reduced iron (DRI) capacities are growing, the transition is slowed by massive legacy assets in China and aggressive new coal-based developments in India. Green hydrogen remains a critical but underutilized bottleneck, with only 2% of operating DRI capacity using it as a primary reductant. The report highlights a significant gap between announced net-zero goals and actual industrial investment, particularly regarding the relining of existing blast furnaces.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Global blast furnace (BF) capacity is projected to increase despite decarbonization goals, with 319 mtpa under development. Net additions are projected at 73 mtpa by 2030 and 88 mtpa by 2035.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Electric arc furnace (EAF) capacity is increasing its share of the global operating fleet, rising from 31% in 2022 to 34% (727 mtpa) in 2026. EAFs now represent 50% of all developing steel capacity.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"India is the primary driver of new coal-based capacity, developing over 60% of upcoming BF-BOF capacity globally. Approximately 93% of India's developing ironmaking capacity will use coal-based technology, though only 5% has broken ground.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China's transition is constrained by its massive legacy fleet; 94% of its blast furnace capacity has no retirement plan. While China's EAF share of developing capacity (39%) is higher than its existing share (17%), the overall impact is limited by the scale of its operating fleet.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Direct reduced iron (DRI) capacity is expanding rapidly and could grow by 141% if all developments proceed, reaching 296 mtpa by 2035. However, 83% of operating DRIs with known reductants still use gas and 17% use coal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Green hydrogen is a major bottleneck for decarbonization; only 2% (4 mtpa) of operating DRI capacity uses green hydrogen as a primary reductant, although 19% of planned capacity with a known reductant intends to use hydrogen upon startup.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The relining of existing blast furnaces is a significant 'lock-in' signal, with 80 mtpa of capacity having planned or ongoing relining, indicating an intention to operate these coal-based units long-term.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Induction furnaces (IFs) may have higher emissions profiles than EAFs because they rely more heavily on sponge iron from coal-based rotary kilns; IF production uses 73% sponge iron compared to 21% for EAFs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The United States has the world's oldest blast furnace fleet, with an average age of 80 years in 2026. Recent policy shifts under the Trump administration have led to the cancellation of hydrogen-based modernization projects, such as those by Cleveland-Cliffs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000157#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["green hydrogen","carbon capture and storage","Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism","Net-zero emissions"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","Russia","South Korea","Turkey","Iran","Germany","Brazil","Australia","European Union"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["capacity assessment","technology trend analysis","policy review","emissions intensity analysis"]}]}