{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"geography":["St. Augustine"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'St. Augustine' for facet 'geography' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?geography=St.+Augustine","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"climcent-000304","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climcent-000304","title":"Future Flood Risk: Historic Sites of St. Augustine","publisher":{"name":"Climate Central","organization":"climate-central"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2021-12","source_url":"https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/3hTg6H3oqsBrMCsSQ5u1LF/fd9857f083d1a1bfe8c6f744b2360de5/Climate_Central_PAT_Coastal_Flood_Risk-StAugustine-FL.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"Climate Central's analysis indicates that five historic sites in St. Augustine, Florida—Castillo de San Marcos, Fort Matanzas, Fort Mose, the Lightner Museum, and the Lincolnville District—are all projected to face chronic flood risk by the end of the century. Using the RCP 8.5 emissions scenario, the report finds that several sites already face substantial threats, with some experiencing frequent or chronic risk currently.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000304#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"All five analyzed historic sites in St. Augustine are projected to experience chronic flood risk—defined as at least one expected flood risk event per year—by the end of the century, or potentially sooner.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000304#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Castillo de San Marcos currently experiences frequent risk for much of the building, with chronic flood risk affecting its parking lot and some pathways; parts of the fortification are expected to face chronic flooding within ten years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000304#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Fort Matanzas currently faces chronic coastal flood risk, which is expected to worsen until the base of the fort is below the high tide line in the second half of the century.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000304#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"At Fort Mose Historic State Park, the road entering the park already has occasional flood risk and may reach frequent flood risk by 2050, while the museum is projected to face occasional risk by 2070 and frequent risk by 2090.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000304#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Lightner Museum has approximately half its property already experiencing at least occasional flood risk; by 2030, a third of the area is estimated to face frequent or chronic risk, and by 2050, a quarter of sampled points are expected to have at least one flood risk event annually.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000304#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In the Lincolnville Historic District, areas on the east side and south end currently face occasional or frequent flood risk. By 2030, more than a third of analyzed locations are projected to have at least frequent risk, and by 2050, over half will show exposure to occasional or more frequent risk, with 14 of 81 sites showing chronic risk.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000304#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coastal flood","sea level rise","climate change"],"geography_discussed":["Jacksonville"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["risk assessment"]},{"id":"ucs-001221","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ucs-001221","title":"Matrix of Voices: Insights From Market Experts on the Financial Risks of Sea Level Rise","publisher":{"name":"Union of Concerned Scientists","organization":"union-of-concerned-scientists"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2018-06","source_url":"https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2018/06/underwater-insights-from-market-experts.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report presents a series of expert testimonies and external research findings regarding the economic vulnerability of U.S. coastal properties to sea level rise. Experts from insurance, credit rating, and real estate sectors highlight a disconnect between long-term climate risks and short-term investment horizons. Key concerns include the potential for a collapse in property values, the failure of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) to provide accurate risk signals due to subsidies, and the likelihood of credit downgrades for coastal municipalities. The document identifies critical tipping points, such as the loss of 30-year mortgages and the transition to risk-based insurance pricing, which could trigger a disorderly retreat from vulnerable areas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-001221#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Market experts identify several critical tipping points that could trigger abrupt changes in coastal real estate behavior, including the transition to risk-based flood insurance pricing, the denial of 30-year mortgages in certain areas, and significant 'shock loss' events from severe storms.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-001221#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) is described as a barrier to resilience because its discounted and grandfathered policies subsidize coastal living and mute the price signals that would otherwise discourage development in high-risk areas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-001221#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Real estate investment may follow a pattern similar to leasehold land, where property values remain stable until the risk horizon reaches a certain threshold—estimated by one expert to be between 40 and 50 years—after which values decline markedly and reinvestment drops.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-001221#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Credit rating agencies are beginning to incorporate climate risks into municipal bond assessments, and experts anticipate that credit downgrades for coastal cities will increase the cost of infrastructure bonding and squeeze local tax bases.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-001221#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Zillow research indicates that if sea levels rise by six feet by 2100, approximately 1.9 million U.S. homes worth $882 billion are at risk, with Florida being particularly vulnerable, potentially losing one in eight homes and $400 billion in value.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-001221#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A significant barrier to incorporating climate risk into building and development is the lack of funding for mitigation and adaptation, as most available financing is targeted toward energy efficiency rather than flood resilience.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-001221#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["sea level rise","climate finance","climate change adaptation"],"geography_discussed":["World","Florida","New York City","Miami Beach","Q49231","Hawaii","St. Augustine"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["expert interview","market analysis","literature review"]},{"id":"ucs-000673","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ucs-000673","title":"Monumentos nacionales en riesgo","publisher":{"name":"Union of Concerned Scientists","organization":"union-of-concerned-scientists"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"es","date_published":"2014-06","source_url":"https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2019-09/Florida%20Landmarks%20at%20Risk%20--%20Fact%20Sheet%20%28Spanish%29.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document highlights how human-induced climate change is damaging U.S. cultural heritage, including prehistoric shell mounds in Florida, the historic districts of St. Augustine, and multiple NASA research and launch facilities. It emphasizes that sea-level rise and extreme weather are already causing structural damage and operational disruptions, calling for urgent national resources for adaptation and mitigation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000673#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Prehistoric shell mound complexes in Florida, such as those in the Ten Thousand Islands and Turtle Mound, are severely threatened by sea-level rise, storm surges, and erosion. Turtle Mound, the highest in North America, is currently being protected through 'living shorelines' consisting of submerged oyster mats, mangroves, and spartina grass.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000673#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"St. Augustine, Florida, faces significant risks to its historic districts, including Lincolnville, due to its low altitude and rising sea levels. A projected sea-level rise of three feet could permanently flood parts of the city's historic districts, and the Castillo de San Marcos has required the construction of a 'living seawall' to combat erosion from tropical storms.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000673#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"NASA facilities are highly vulnerable to sea-level rise, with over two-thirds of their installations located within 16 feet of sea level. The Kennedy Space Center identifies sea-level rise as the primary threat to its operational continuity, affecting launch facilities and transport corridors.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000673#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"NASA's Stennis Space Center in Mississippi and the Michoud Assembly Facility in Louisiana are experiencing sea-level rise at five times the global average because the land is sinking while the sea is rising. Hurricane Katrina in 2005 caused an estimated $760 million in damages to these two sites.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000673#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Other NASA centers are facing climate-related disruptions: the Wallops Flight Facility lost 700 feet of protective sand barrier during Hurricane Sandy; the Langley Research Center was closed for a week during Hurricane Isabel in 2003 due to flooding; and the Ames Research Center has suffered from intense storms causing underground flooding and mold growth.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000673#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Johnson Space Center in Texas, home to the Apollo Mission Control Center, is vulnerable to increasing tropical storm winds driven by warming sea surface temperatures, as evidenced by Hurricane Ike in 2008 which damaged over 160 buildings.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000673#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["sea level rise","coastal erosion","flood","wildfire","climate change adaptation","carbon dioxide emissions","storm surge"],"geography_discussed":["Florida","St. Augustine","Virginia","Mississippi","Louisiana","California","Texas"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","impact assessment"]}]}