{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"geography":["Merced River Basin"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'Merced River Basin' for facet 'geography' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?geography=Merced+River+Basin","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"sei-000160","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-000160","title":"Potential Impacts of Climate Warming on Water Supply Reliability in the Tuolumne and Merced River Basins, California","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2014-01-27","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/publications/potential-impacts-of-climate-warming-on-water-supply-reliability-in-the-tuolumne-and-merced-river-basins-california/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study uses the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) platform to model the Tuolumne and Merced River Basins, finding that temperature increases of 2°C to 6°C shift hydrology timing earlier by 5–21 days and increase agricultural water demands by up to 5.8%, leading to a decrease in surface water reliability for agriculture from 0.84–0.90 to 0.75–0.79 under the 6°C scenario.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000160#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Temperature warming causes the timing of hydrology to shift earlier in the water year by between 5 and 21 days.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000160#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Agricultural water demands increase in correlation with temperature rises: a 2°C increase leads to a 1.4–2.0% rise, 4°C leads to 2.8–3.9%, and 6°C leads to 4.2–5.8%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000160#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The combination of shifted hydrology and higher demand reduces the reliability of surface water for agricultural use, with quantity-based reliability metrics dropping from 0.84–0.90 under historical conditions to 0.75–0.79 under a 6°C warming scenario.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000160#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","hydrology"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["simulation model","sensitivity analysis"]}]}