{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"geography":["Las Tunas Province"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'Las Tunas Province' for facet 'geography' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?geography=Las+Tunas+Province","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"gclifun-005174","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gclifun-005174","title":"Increased climate resilience of rural households and communities through the rehabilitation of production landscapes in selected localities of the Republic of Cuba (IRES)","publisher":{"name":"Green Climate Fund","organization":"green-climate-fund"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025","source_url":"https://www.greenclimate.fund/sites/default/files/document/fp126-interim-evaluation-report-pub.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The IRES project in Cuba is on track to achieve its expected results, though implementation of productive landscape modules is significantly behind schedule due to COVID-19, procurement delays, and fuel shortages. The project has successfully strengthened institutional capacities, improved governance, and contributed to national policy reforms. While it has a strong gender focus, the evaluation recommends moving toward a more gender-transformative approach to better capture and empower women's leadership and economic roles. The project is currently meeting its greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets, but requires improved monitoring and reporting capacities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The project is on track to achieve its expected results and remains highly relevant to national priorities, specifically aligning with the Cuban State Plan to confront climate change known as Tarea Vida and the country's updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Implementation of climate-resilient agricultural systems (Component 1) is significantly behind schedule, with only 6,451 ha implemented as of December 2023, which is 37 percent of the mid-term target of 17,867 ha.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Progress in Component 1 varies by module: agroforestry (CEDPLA and FRUAGR) and silvopastoral (SILLEC and SILSOM) modules reached nearly 50 percent of mid-term targets, while forestry modules (MARFOM and MARREG) showed the least progress due to the time required to remove invasive marabou shrubs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Component 2 has made significant progress in institutional training, reaching 94 percent of its mid-term target with 282 staff trained, though farmer training is at 49 percent of the target (4,509 farmers).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Component 3 has met or surpassed mid-term targets, particularly in strengthening governance and legal frameworks, including the development of a new national Landscape Resilience Fund and the creation of municipal development committees.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project has contributed to the formulation and update of several national laws, including the Food Sovereignty, Food Security and Nutrition Law (2022), the Livestock Promotion and Development Law (2023), and the Natural Resources and Environment Systems Law (2023).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"External factors including the COVID-19 pandemic, procurement challenges for equipment (such as tractors and irrigation systems), and severe fuel shortages have caused significant implementation delays.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project is on track to meet its mitigation targets, with estimated emissions reductions and removals of -327,589 tCO2e as of December 2023, representing 61 percent of the updated mid-term target of -533,027 tCO2e.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project utilizes an innovative geospatial data infrastructure platform developed with the University 'Marta Abreu' of Las Villa and GEOCUBA to provide real-time land use data for monitoring and municipal planning.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"While the project has a strong gender focus and has trained 1,603 women in climate-resilient production, it has not met its mid-term gender targets and lacks a performance measurement system that captures long-term gender-transformative results.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-10","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There are early signs of a paradigm shift from production maximization to climate-resilient production landscapes at both the institutional level (Ministry of Agriculture) and the individual producer level.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-11","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project has fostered synergies with other climate finance initiatives, such as the GCF-funded MI COSTA project and GEF-financed projects ECOVALOR and OP 15, by sharing resources, training, and knowledge on green finance.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-005174#insight-12","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["agroforestry","reforestation","climate change adaptation","greenhouse gas emissions reduction","carbon sequestration","food security","climate resilience","land degradation","ecosystem service","climate finance","Nationally Determined Contributions","climate governance"],"geography_discussed":["Las Tunas Province","Villa Clara Province","Matanzas Province","Jobabo","Colombia","Q2573424","Quemado de Güines","Santo Domingo","Los Arabos"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["mid-term evaluation","formative evaluation","impact assessment"]},{"id":"cdkn-000390","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cdkn-000390","title":"An example of local assessment of future drought. Las Tunas province, Cuba","publisher":{"name":"Climate and Development Knowledge Network","organization":"climate-and-development-knowledge-network"},"document_type":"case study","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Cariwig-case-study-Final-report-Las-Tunas-community-in-Cuba.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study finds that drought events in Las Tunas province, similar to the severe 2003-2005 event, are projected to become more frequent and intense through 2050, driven by reduced precipitation and increased evaporation from rising temperatures.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000390#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Drought events similar to the severe event experienced in Las Tunas from 2003 to 2005 are projected to be more frequent and last longer between 2011 and 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000390#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The SPEI index indicates that droughts will become more intense and prolonged in the second half of the 2011-2050 period, as rising temperatures increase water loss through evaporation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000390#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Projections across seven regional climate model experiments show that the frequency of moderate or extreme drought lasting four or more consecutive months will range from 12 to 18 times between 2011 and 2050, which is higher than the frequencies observed from 1971 to 2000.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000390#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["drought","water management","precipitation","climate change adaptation"],"geography_discussed":["Caribbean"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","climate projection"]},{"id":"cdkn-000544","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cdkn-000544","title":"CDKN-funded research has provided decision makers in the Caribbean with access to climate data specific to the region","publisher":{"name":"Climate and Development Knowledge Network","organization":"climate-and-development-knowledge-network"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Data_infographic_low_res_print_updated280417.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document outlines the CARIWIG online data portal, which provides historical climate data and future projections at a 25km resolution for the Caribbean. It highlights four specific tools: a Weather Generator used in Belize to link rising minimum temperatures to dengue fever risks; a Tropical Storm Model used in Jamaica to predict river discharge timing during category 5 hurricanes; the CARIDRO drought tool used in Cuba to project 12-18 moderate to extreme droughts in Las Tunas province by 2050; and the CCORAL tool for integrating climate change into policy. The research emphasizes implementing adaptation actions that perform well across a wide range of uncertain future conditions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000544#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The CARIWIG online data portal provides historical climate data and future projections based on two Global Climate Models (GCMs) downscaled to a Regional Climate Model (RCM) with a 25km resolution across the Caribbean.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000544#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A Weather Generator tool was applied in Belize to determine that an increase in the number of days where minimum temperatures exceed 18°C is likely to make conditions more favourable for dengue fever.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000544#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Tropical Storm Model (TSM) was used in Jamaica to find that peak river discharge is likely to occur approximately 14 hours after a category 5 hurricane begins.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000544#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The CARIDRO drought tool was used to project that Las Tunas province in Cuba will experience between 12 and 18 moderate to extreme droughts from 2011 to 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000544#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Because climate projections are uncertain, the document recommends that Caribbean decision makers prioritize adaptation actions that are effective across a wide range of current and potential future conditions, supported by the Caribbean Climate Online Risk and Adaptation tool (CCORAL).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000544#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate data","climate change scenario","Climate risk assessment","climate change adaptation","drought","tropical cyclone"],"geography_discussed":["Belize","Jamaica","Cuba","Las Tunas Province"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","tool description"]}]}