{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"geography":["East Kalimantan"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'East Kalimantan' for facet 'geography' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":54,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?geography=East+Kalimantan&page=1","next":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?geography=East+Kalimantan&page=2","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"trendas-000140","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/trendas-000140","title":"Letter to the OECD Working Party on Responsible Business Conduct Concerning Its Technical Review of Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"Trend Asia","organization":"trend-asia"},"document_type":"statement","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05","source_url":"https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Letter_to_OECD_WP_2026.05_with_signatories.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document argues that Indonesia's legal framework fails to align with OECD Guidelines on Responsible Business Conduct, specifically regarding the recognition of Indigenous Peoples' land rights and the requirement for free, prior, and informed consent (FPIC). It highlights how 'national strategic projects' and the 'Omnibus Law' facilitate investment at the expense of human rights, often supported by military deployment. The coalition recommends that the OECD demand a timeline for the Indigenous Peoples’ Rights Bill, accelerated land recognition, and the cessation of military involvement in development projects.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Indonesia lacks a comprehensive national law to protect Indigenous Peoples' rights, leaving communities to navigate inconsistent regulations. While the 'Customary Law Communities Bill' was renamed the 'Indigenous Peoples Bill', there is no clear timeline for its ratification.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The process for recognizing Indigenous land rights is hindered by a requirement for local government affirmation, which is subject to discretionary power. As of November 2025, only 169 out of 552 subnational government entities had recognized Indigenous communities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Indonesian government's commitment to recognize 1.4 million hectares of customary forest by 2029 is criticized for lacking transparency and being geographically concentrated, with 73.7% of the target located in North Kalimantan.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesian law does not adequately guarantee the right to free, prior, and informed consent (FPIC). Existing laws in the plantation and mining sectors either assume recognized status or frame land settlements as 'compensation' rather than requiring FPIC before operations begin.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The 'Omnibus Law' (Job Creation Law) facilitates investment by easing permitting for 'national strategic projects' (PSNs), which can lead to forced displacement and weakened environmental and social impact assessments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Large-scale infrastructure and energy projects have led to human rights violations. Examples include the new capital city (IKN) in East Kalimantan and a biomass power plant in West Papua funded by the Indonesian Environment Fund, which reportedly caused malnutrition and death among Marind children.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Indonesian government has increasingly deployed the military to support development projects and suppress protests, such as the use of force against community protests against a geothermal power plant in Poco Leok, Flores.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000140#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["indigenous rights","land tenure","Free, Prior and Informed Consent","renewable energy","geothermal power","nickel mining","environmental impact assessment","Just Energy Transition Partnership"],"geography_discussed":["North Kalimantan","East Kalimantan","South Papua","Flores Island","Sumatra"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","legal review","human rights assessment"]},{"id":"iisd-000383","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-000383","title":"Coal Transition Impacts and the Approach to Inclusive Just Transition Policies in Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025-12-01","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/publications/report/just-transition-coal-indonesia","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report examines the impacts of coal phase-outs in East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, South Sumatra, Central Kalimantan, and Jambi, emphasizing the need for proactive investment in high-multiplier industries and green sectors to prevent economic shocks. It advocates for a combination of quantitative modelling and qualitative community research to design social protections and reskilling programs that specifically include women, youth, and informal workers.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-000383#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Provinces with high exposure to coal decline, specifically East Kalimantan and South Sumatra, can achieve economic renewal and job creation through targeted investments in green industries and food and beverage manufacturing.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-000383#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Jambi is characterized as a more diversified region that is already well-positioned to benefit from the transition opportunities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-000383#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Evidence from East Kutai indicates that local communities are open to alternatives, provided there is inclusive planning, workforce reskilling, and strengthened social protection.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-000383#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To ensure a just transition, the report recommends combining quantitative economic models with qualitative, community-based methods such as focus groups, participatory mapping, and ethnography.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-000383#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report proposes specific governance measures to embed inclusion, including the mandate of inter-ministerial coordination and the assignment of focal points for social inclusion and gender equality.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-000383#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Coal phase-out","just transition","economic diversity","green economy","social protection","gender equality","social inclusion","Paris Agreement"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","East Kutai"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic modelling","qualitative field research","policy analysis"]},{"id":"ember-000361","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ember-000361","title":"Response to Indonesia’s Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) Progress Report 2025","publisher":{"name":"Ember","organization":"ember"},"document_type":"policy brief","language":"en","date_published":"2025-11-24","source_url":"https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/11/Policy-paper-–-Indonesia-JETP-2025.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"Ember argues that Indonesia's JETP 2025 scenario is insufficiently ambitious, particularly regarding the captive power sector, where it suggests that integrating solar PV could significantly reduce emissions. The brief calls for the inclusion of captive power in peaking emission targets, the removal of solar quotas, and the redirection of JETP investments toward coal-producing provinces to mitigate fiscal vulnerabilities and job losses.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000361#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The JETP 2025 scenario for the captive sector is less ambitious than previous proposals, considering only 1.6 GW of coal power plants for early retirement and reuse, compared to 5.5 GW proposed in 2023.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000361#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Integrating 9.4 GW of new solar capacity to replace 6.8 GW of ageing captive coal plants could reduce emissions by 35%, or approximately 4.4 megatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000361#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Current JETP scenarios for on-grid and captive power result in total power sector emissions of at least 349 MtCO2e by 2030, which exceeds the 290 MtCO2e cap announced in 2023.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000361#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal-producing provinces have faced significant declines in provincial fiscal transfers between 2023 and 2025: East Kalimantan by 41%, South Kalimantan by 30%, and South Sumatera by 23%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000361#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Approximately 17,000 coal-related jobs are projected to be lost by 2050 due to mine closures, while potential renewable projects and CFPP substitution could create nearly 100,000 jobs in major coal provinces.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000361#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To accelerate the transition, Ember recommends abolishing the Domestic Price Obligation (DPO) scheme, removing solar quotas, and implementing the second phase of the emissions trading system (ETS) to include captive power facilities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000361#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["renewable energy","photovoltaics","onshore wind farm","Coal phase-out","emission trading","carbon price","just transition","economic diversity","climate finance","methane emissions","carbon capture and storage","energy efficiency"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","South Sumatera","Brunei"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","economic assessment"]},{"id":"ember-000277","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ember-000277","title":"Chasing volume, losing value: the cost of coal over expansion in Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"Ember","organization":"ember"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025-11-06","source_url":"https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/11/EN-Chasing-volume-losing-value-the-cost-of-coal-over-expansion-in-Indonesia-PDF.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"Indonesia's coal sector is facing a downturn as production records in 2024 are met with declining export demand from China and India and rising production costs. This oversupply has eroded company profits and state non-tax revenues. Simultaneously, coal mine methane (CMM) emissions are significantly underreported and are projected to rise by 25% by 2030, driven by the expansion of underground mining in South Kalimantan. The report recommends a moratorium on new mines, improved methane monitoring, and a just transition framework for coal-dependent regions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000277#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Indonesia's coal production reached a record high of 836 million tonnes in 2024, but total demand is projected to fall by approximately 10% to 756 million tonnes in 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000277#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Export markets are contracting as major importers China and India reduce reliance on Indonesian coal due to their own domestic production increases and the growth of solar and wind power.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000277#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The strategy of increasing output to offset falling prices has failed, with average net profits for coal companies dropping by 67% from their 2022 peak due to rising production costs and lower market prices.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000277#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"State non-tax revenues from the mineral and coal subsector have declined since 2022, leading to significant reductions in provincial fiscal transfers to East Kalimantan (41%), South Kalimantan (30%), and South Sumatra (23%) between 2023 and 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000277#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Actual coal mine methane (CMM) emissions in 2024 are estimated at 722 kt CH4, which is more than four times the official government reported figure of 168 kt CH4.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000277#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"CMM emissions are projected to increase by 25% by 2030, primarily driven by the expansion of underground coal mining in South Kalimantan, where one mine's production is expected to grow from 2.6 million tonnes in 2024 to 20 million tonnes by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000277#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["greenhouse gas emissions","energy transition","just transition","renewable energy","solar energy","wind power","climate finance","Nationally Determined Contributions"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","South Kalimantan","East Kalimantan","South Sumatra","ASEAN","Malaysia","Vietnam","Bangladesh","Australia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic assessment","environmental impact analysis","policy recommendation"]},{"id":"ember-000486","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ember-000486","title":"How coal oversupply erodes company profits and state revenues","publisher":{"name":"Ember","organization":"ember"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025-11-06","source_url":"https://ember-energy.org/chapter/how-coal-oversupply-erodes-company-profits-and-state-revenues/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report details a downturn in Indonesia's coal sector, where a strategy of increasing production volumes to offset falling global prices is contributing to market oversupply. This trend, combined with rising operational costs from inflation and new biodiesel mandates (B40), has led to a decline in net income for producers. Consequently, state non-tax revenues and provincial fiscal transfers to coal-dependent regions like East Kalimantan and South Sumatra have dropped significantly since the 2022 price peak.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000486#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Global coal oversupply was driven by production increases in China (147 million tonnes) and India (104 million tonnes) between 2022 and 2023, alongside the removal of Australia's coal export ban.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000486#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesian producers attempted to maintain revenue by expanding exports—by 53 million tonnes in 2023 and 37 million tonnes in 2024—which further increased global inventories by 44 million and 48 million tonnes respectively.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000486#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Nine major coal companies planned a combined production increase of 26.6 million tonnes for 2025, with Bayan Resources and Bukit Asam planning the largest increases of 13.5 million and 6.7 million tonnes respectively, though actual production as of June 2025 reached only 357.6 million tonnes (48% of the annual target).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000486#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Company profits are being squeezed by falling prices and rising costs, including a mandatory biodiesel blending increase to 40% (B40) starting January 2025, which the ICMA estimates could increase annual production costs by 1 trillion IDR.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000486#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"State non-tax revenues from the mineral and coal subsector peaked at 183 trillion IDR in 2022 but fell by 4.4% in 2023 and 18.6% in 2024 as average coal prices dropped from 201 USD/ton in 2023 to 121 USD/ton in 2024.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000486#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Provincial fiscal transfers from coal royalties declined between 2023 and 2025 by 41% for East Kalimantan, 30% for South Kalimantan, and 23% for South Sumatra.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000486#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["energy transition"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","Australia","East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","South Sumatra"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic analysis","fiscal analysis"]},{"id":"iisd-001724","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-001724","title":"Navigating Inclusive Just Transitions in Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"policy brief","language":"en","date_published":"2025-11","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2025-11/just-transition-coal-indonesia-summary.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document examines the challenges of Indonesia's transition away from coal, highlighting the severe economic risks to coal-dependent provinces and vulnerable groups. It advocates for a mixed-method approach to planning that combines quantitative economic modelling with qualitative social analysis to ensure that women, youth, and informal workers are not marginalized. Key recommendations include strategic investment in labour-intensive green sectors, tailored social protection, and the empowerment of local governments to manage the transition.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-001724#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Coal dependence is a major obstacle to Indonesia's 2030 emissions targets under the Paris Agreement, with some regencies deriving up to 80% of their gross domestic product from mining.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-001724#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Quantitative analysis indicates that coal mine closures will lead to projected economic losses in output, sectoral income, and employment, with the most severe impacts occurring in East Kalimantan Province.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-001724#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Informal workers, particularly women and youth in sectors like logistics and food service, are disproportionately vulnerable to mine closures and often lack access to reskilling, social protection, and the digital economy.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-001724#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a significant gap in vertical coordination, as local governments are often excluded from national energy planning despite being responsible for managing the local economic and social impacts of the transition.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-001724#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Standard quantitative economic models are insufficient for just transition planning because they fail to capture gender and social inclusion (GEDSI) impacts, necessitating a mixed-method approach that includes qualitative research.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-001724#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To mitigate economic shocks, the government should prioritize strategic investment in labour-intensive, regionally relevant sectors such as food processing, sustainable agriculture, and green construction.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-001724#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Coal phase-out","just transition","green economy","climate change mitigation","gender equality","social protection","economic diversity","Paris Agreement"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","South Sumatra","Jambi","Central Kalimantan","East Kutai"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic analysis","qualitative study","policy analysis"]},{"id":"iisd-003193","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-003193","title":"Coal Transition Impacts and the Approach to Inclusive Just Transition Policies in Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025-11","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2025-11/just-transition-coal-indonesia.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report analyzes the potential economic shocks of phasing out coal in Indonesia, identifying East Kalimantan as the most vulnerable province. Using a mixed-methods approach, it demonstrates that while mine closures cause significant losses in output and employment, targeted stimulus in the food and beverage and green sectors can drive recovery. The study emphasizes the disproportionate impact on informal workers and women, recommending a transition roadmap that integrates gender equality, disability, and social inclusion (GEDSI) principles and expands social safety nets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"East Kalimantan is the most economically vulnerable province to coal phase-out, with projected output losses of IDR 628.35 trillion (USD 41.89 billion), sectoral income declines of IDR 82.65 trillion (USD 5.51 billion), and employment losses exceeding 490,000 jobs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"At the regency level, East Kutai and Muara Enim are the most economically exposed. East Kutai faces output losses exceeding USD 18 billion and employment losses over 18,000, while Muara Enim faces an output loss of USD 10 billion and higher job losses of approximately 24,500.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Scenario 2, which targets sectors with the highest output multipliers (specifically food and beverage), is the most effective for maximum GRDP recovery, though it requires the highest fiscal stimulus.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Scenario 3, focusing on green sector development, is the most cost-efficient for restoring output and maximizing employment gains, creating millions of jobs in provinces like South Sumatra (3.14 million) and East Kalimantan (2.58 million).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Informal workers are highly prevalent in coal-dependent communities; in the studied area of Swarga Bara village, 58.8% of respondents were informal workers, primarily in food and beverage services and retail.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Women in coal mining communities often occupy dual roles, managing households while earning lower median incomes (IDR 1.25 million) through informal work, such as small food stalls or catering.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Existing Indonesian social protection tools, such as Kartu Prakeja and BPJS Ketenagakerjaan, are insufficient for a just transition because they were not designed for green jobs and often exclude informal or precarious workers.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A mixed-methods research approach is recommended for just transition planning because quantitative modelling alone cannot capture gender and social inclusion (GEDSI) impacts, which require qualitative methods like focus group discussions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003193#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Coal phase-out","just transition","green economy","renewable energy","carbon dioxide emissions","economic diversity","nature restoration"],"geography_discussed":["South Kalimantan","Central Kalimantan","South Sumatra","Jambi","East Kutai","Tanah Bumbu","North Barito","Sarolangun","Swarga Bara","Sangatta"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic modelling","socio-economic impact assessment","policy scenario analysis","qualitative field research"]},{"id":"wmbco-000266","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/wmbco-000266","title":"Peran Dunia Usaha dalam Mewujudkan NDC Indonesia 2035","publisher":{"name":"We Mean Business Coalition","organization":"we-mean-business-coalition"},"document_type":"report","language":"id","date_published":"2025-11","source_url":"https://www.wemeanbusinesscoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/IBCSD-WMBC-2025-Peran-Dunia-Usaha-dalam-Mewujudkan-NDC-Indonesia-2035.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document examines the alignment of Indonesia's business sector with the 2035 NDC, highlighting a potential investment opportunity of USD 3.8 trillion. While over 100 Indonesian companies have adopted science-based targets, the report identifies significant barriers including regulatory uncertainty, fragmented institutional responsibility, and a lack of a standardized 'green investment' definition. It proposes solutions such as 'power wheeling' for renewable energy access, blended finance mechanisms, and sectoral decarbonization roadmaps for energy, industry, and transport to ensure the NDC is 'investible' and supports the national goal of net-zero by 2060.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Indonesia's transition to net-zero by 2060 presents a massive economic opportunity, with BNEF estimating potential investment opportunities of USD 3.8 trillion.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The 2035 NDC outlines two emission scenarios where emissions peak in 2030: a higher emission scenario (LCCP_H) projecting 1,489 MtCO2e by 2035, and a lower emission scenario (LCCP_L) projecting 1,258 MtCO2e by 2035.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Initial estimates suggest that implementing the 2035 climate targets will require a total investment of Rp7,552.5 trillion (USD 472.6 billion).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The RUPTL 2025–2034 targets adding approximately 70 GW of new power generation capacity by 2034, with about 76% coming from new and renewable energy, including solar, hydro, wind, geothermal, and some nuclear power.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a significant financing gap for the net-zero 2060 goal, with a requirement of approximately Rp795 trillion (USD 50 billion) per year, while the current gap is around Rp458 trillion (USD 30 billion) per year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Private sector investment is hindered by fragmented institutional responsibilities, such as the Ministry of Investment (BKPM) lacking authority over the financial or oil and gas sectors.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"More than 100 Indonesian companies across sectors such as cement, mining, food, and manufacturing have adopted net-zero or science-based targets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wmbco-000266#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Nationally Determined Contributions","Net-zero emissions","renewable energy","energy transition","sustainable finance","climate finance","decarbonization","circular economy","electric vehicle","nature-based solutions","Blended Finance","Industrial decarbonization"],"geography_discussed":["Jakarta","Java","Madura Island","Bali Island","Sumatra","Borneo","Sulawesi","South Sumatra","East Kalimantan","Central Java","Lesser Sunda Islands"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","investment assessment","sectoral review"]},{"id":"trendas-000076","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/trendas-000076","title":"Kesimpulan Perkara Nomor 112/PUU-XXIII/2025","publisher":{"name":"Trend Asia","organization":"trend-asia"},"document_type":"statement","language":"id","date_published":"2025-10-14","source_url":"https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/KESIMPULAN-PEMOHON-112.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The petitioners argue that the 'ease and acceleration' of National Strategic Projects (PSN) under the Job Creation Law creates vague norms that allow for arbitrary government power, the marginalization of public participation, and the violation of constitutional rights. They claim these provisions facilitate land grabbing, the conversion of sustainable agricultural land, and the removal of legislative oversight over forest area changes, primarily benefiting private capital over public welfare. The document details specific impacts in regions such as Rempang, Merauke, and North Kalimantan, citing losses of indigenous lands, food insecurity, and environmental degradation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The phrase 'ease and acceleration of national strategic projects' in Article 3 letter d of Law No. 6 of 2023 is considered a vague norm that lacks concrete conceptual or operational boundaries, potentially leading to arbitrary power and a lack of legal certainty.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The expansion of the 'public interest' category to include industrial areas initiated or controlled by the government or state/regional enterprises allows private entities to seek profit while utilizing state facilities for land acquisition.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Allowing private business entities to conduct land acquisition for PSNs under the guise of public interest is argued to erode the State's Right of Control (HMN) and prioritize private capital accumulation over public service.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Provisions allowing the conversion of sustainable agricultural and food land for PSNs are claimed to violate the constitutional right to food and nutrition by cutting off access to productive land for small-scale producers and indigenous peoples.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The removal of the requirement for House of Representatives (DPR) approval for changes in forest area designation (DPCLS) eliminates the system of checks and balances, increasing the risk of unchecked deforestation and environmental damage.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The ability to bypass Spatial Plans (RTR) and Zoning Plans (RZ) for PSNs is described as an 'executive-centric' approach that ignores environmental carrying capacity and facilitates the rapid seizure of living spaces for investors.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Specific PSN implementations have resulted in documented human rights violations, including forced evictions in Rempang, loss of indigenous forests in Merauke, and the destruction of coastal ecosystems in North Kalimantan and South Sulawesi.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000076#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["deforestation","food security","environmental degradation","indigenous rights","climate change","carbon neutrality","sustainable agriculture"],"geography_discussed":["Rempang Island","Merauke","North Kalimantan","East Kalimantan","South East Sulawesi","Central Java","Lombok Island"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["legal analysis","constitutional challenge","human rights assessment"]},{"id":"gem-000019","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000019","title":"Solar’s opportunity to reclaim coal’s footprint","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025-06-29","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/research/bright-side-mine","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"This report by Global Energy Monitor (GEM) analyzes the potential for repurposing abandoned and soon-to-be-closed surface coal mines into solar photovoltaic (PV) power plants. It argues that these sites are ideal for solar development due to their existing proximity to grid infrastructure and the need for land reclamation, offering a pathway to align clean energy goals with local job creation and environmental restoration.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#summary","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Surface coal mines closed since 2020 and those expected to close by the end of 2030 could support nearly 300 GW of solar PV capacity. Specifically, over 300 recently closed mines could house 103 GW, while 127 upcoming closures could host an additional 185 GW.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"Abandoned coal mines are highly suitable for solar siting because of their proximity to the electrical grid. For mines closed since 2020, 96% are within 10 km of the grid and 91% are within 10 km of a grid connection point like a substation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The transition from coal to solar could generate significant employment, including 259,700 permanent jobs in professional services, wholesale trade, distribution, and manufacturing, plus 317,500 temporary construction jobs. Combined, these exceed the number of global coal mining jobs expected to be lost by 2035.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"China is leading the coal-to-solar transition with 90 operational conversions providing 14 GW of capacity and another 46 projects in the planning phase with a capacity of 9 GW.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"Repurposing mines for solar helps mitigate environmental hazards and climate threats. It can stabilize unsettled ground and reduce methane emissions from abandoned seams by creating a physical barrier of soil or gravel that seals methane pathways.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"Despite the potential, several obstacles exist, including complex land ownership chains, burdensome permitting processes, and higher capital costs compared to greenfield sites due to the need for soil remediation and terrain leveling.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"Beyond solar, former mines are being used for other energy transition technologies, such as pumped hydropower storage, geothermal heat extraction from flooded tunnels, and 'floatovoltaics' on pit lakes.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000019#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-08-17"}],"climate_tags":["solar energy","energy transition","coal phase-out","land reclamation","methane emissions","just transition"],"geography_discussed":["South Africa","Germany","Greece","United Kingdom","Shanxi","Inner Mongolia","Queensland","New South Wales","East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","Jharkhand","Chhattisgarh","Texas","Kentucky","West Virginia","Pennsylvania"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["Potential assessment","Socio-economic impact analysis","Environmental impact analysis"]},{"id":"trendas-000070","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/trendas-000070","title":"Indonesia’s LNG Investment: A Step Back from Climate Commitment","publisher":{"name":"Trend Asia","organization":"trend-asia"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025-03","source_url":"https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Indonesias-LNGInvestment-A-Step-Back-from-Climate-Commitment.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report argues that Indonesia's promotion of natural gas as a 'transitional fuel' and the continued financing of gas projects by Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) lock the country into fossil fuel dependence and hinder its climate commitments. It highlights significant environmental, social, and governance risks associated with gas infrastructure, including methane emissions, corruption, and human rights violations, while calling for an immediate shift toward renewable energy.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000070#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) such as the World Bank Group (WBG) and Asia Development Bank (ADB) are providing financing for gas projects that may prevent Indonesia from meeting its Paris Agreement commitments, despite their own public pledges to align financial flows with the agreement.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000070#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesia's gas infrastructure requires massive investment, estimated at USD 32.42 billion until 2025, covering pipelines (USD 8.5 billion), LNG and regasification (USD 8 billion), city gas networks (USD 2.5 billion), gas filling stations (USD 1.3 billion), and LPG infrastructure (USD 0.42 billion).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000070#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report identifies a gap between MDB climate pledges and their actual financial activities; for example, the ADB approved approximately USD 4.7 billion for gas projects since the Paris Agreement, and the World Bank's IFC disbursed around USD 3.7 billion for oil and gas trade finance by 2022.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000070#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Gas infrastructure development in Indonesia is linked to significant governance failures and corruption, exemplified by a case where the former President Director of PT Pertamina (Persero) was named a suspect in an LNG procurement case that resulted in state losses of approximately USD 140 million.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000070#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The expansion of gas infrastructure has caused severe environmental damage and social conflict, including the pollution of 1.6 million cubic meters of soil with hazardous waste in the Rokan Block by PT Chevron Pacific Indonesia and the threat to mangrove forests and sacred temples in Sanur, Bali.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000070#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report challenges the narrative of gas as a 'bridge' to clean energy, noting that methane emissions from fossil fuels are responsible for about 30% of global temperature rise since the industrial revolution and that Indonesia is one of the world's largest global methane emitters.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000070#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["liquefied natural gas","methane emissions","energy transition","climate finance","Paris Agreement","greenhouse gas emissions","renewable energy","multilateral development bank","Just Energy Transition Partnership","decarbonization"],"geography_discussed":["World","Aceh","East Kalimantan","Bali","Riau","People's Republic of China","United States"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy assessment","financial mapping","environmental impact analysis"]},{"id":"sei-002226","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-002226","title":"Transición energética justa y carbón en Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"policy brief","language":"es","date_published":"2025-02","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/coal-indonesia-energytransition-sei2025.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document analyzes the economic, political, and governance challenges of phasing out coal in Indonesia, emphasizing the need for multi-level coordination, economic diversification for affected workers, and the removal of coal subsidies to enable a just energy transition.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Coal is deeply embedded in Indonesia's economy, representing nearly 2% of the GDP in 2022 and providing approximately 67% of the country's electricity generation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The phase-out of coal is hindered by artificially low prices caused by government-mandated price caps (around USD 70 per metric ton for the power sector) and export bans conditioned on domestic supply obligations.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Political and economic 'lock-in' occurs because local governments may rely on mining royalties for up to 40% of their budgets, and 'revolving doors' exist between the coal industry and political sectors.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Stakeholder perspectives on the transition are divided: industry actors and some government agencies favor technological solutions like carbon capture and storage, while NGOs and international organizations advocate for an accelerated phase-out focusing on social and environmental impacts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a significant gap in government capacity for planning, characterized by weak communication between national and regional agencies, high staff turnover at the regional level, and a lack of technical or budgetary support for subnational governments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The document recommends establishing a Just Energy Transition Support Mechanism managed by the Ministry of National Development Planning (Bappenas) to coordinate knowledge, talent, and resource mobilization.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To accelerate the transition, the report suggests removing harmful coal subsidies, reforming electricity pricing to include negative externalities, and easing bureaucratic hurdles for renewable energy companies to integrate with the sole distributor, PLN.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002226#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["just transition","Coal phase-out","renewable energy","economic diversity","carbon capture and storage","energy subsidy","climate finance","Carbon lock-in"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Sumatra","Colombia","South Africa"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","stakeholder analysis"]},{"id":"sei-002353","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-002353","title":"Just energy transitions and coal in Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"policy brief","language":"en","date_published":"2024-10","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/just-transitions-coal-indonesia-policy-recommendations-sei2024-037.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document examines the economic, political, and governance challenges hindering Indonesia's transition away from coal, emphasizing the need for multi-level governance and social protections. It highlights the role of artificial price caps and political 'lock-in' as primary barriers, while noting a significant gap in planning capacity between national and subnational governments. The brief recommends establishing a Just Energy Transition Support Facility under Bappenas, implementing economic diversification for coal-dependent workers, and reforming electricity markets to eliminate coal subsidies and facilitate renewable energy integration.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Coal remains artificially cheap in Indonesia due to government-mandated price caps, currently around USD 70 per metric ton for the power sector, and market controls such as export bans tied to domestic market obligations.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal is deeply embedded in the Indonesian economy and politics, contributing almost 2% of national GDP and 67% of electricity in 2022. Some regional governments rely on mining royalties for up to 40% of their budgets, and in East Kalimantan, coal employs approximately 11% of the labour force.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A 'revolving door' between the coal industry and the political establishment entrenches coal interests, making a phase-out difficult as former industry leaders enter politics or finance political parties.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a significant gap in governance and planning capacity; decision-making is concentrated at the national level, while subnational governments have limited authority, lack budget or technical assistance, and suffer from weak communication with national agencies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Stakeholder visions for the transition diverge: industry players and some government agencies advocate for technological fixes like carbon capture and storage or coal derivatives, while NGOs and international organizations push for an accelerated phase-out focused on environmental and social impacts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The document recommends that the Ministry of National Development Planning (Bappenas) manage a Just Energy Transition Support Facility focused on three pillars: knowledge and information, a talent pool for workers, and finance mobilization.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To enable renewable energy growth, the brief suggests eliminating coal subsidies, revising inflexible power purchasing contracts for PLN, and allowing the Central Agency of Statistics (BPS) to include environmental degradation in national economic balance sheets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002353#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Coal phase-out","just transition","renewable energy","carbon capture and storage","economic diversity","energy policy","climate finance"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Sumatra","Colombia","South Africa"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","governance assessment","stakeholder analysis"]},{"id":"ember-000022","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ember-000022","title":"Indonesia’s expansion of clean power can spur growth and equality","publisher":{"name":"Ember","organization":"ember"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2024-08-14","source_url":"https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/indonesias-expansion-of-clean-power-can-spur-growth-and-equality","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"Indonesia's electricity sector remains heavily dependent on fossil fuels, with coal contributing 62% of generation in 2023. The report highlights a risk of stranded assets if new coal plants are built, as improving existing plant efficiency could lead to a 42 TWh surplus by 2030. It advocates for the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) targets, which aim for a 44% renewable share by 2030. Specifically, the report argues for shifting renewable investments toward coal-producing provinces like East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, and South Sumatra to mitigate job losses and economic decline, estimating that expanding solar projects in these areas could create 96,000 high-skilled jobs and attract $9.4 billion USD in investment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000022#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Fossil fuels dominate Indonesia's electricity generation, with coal specifically contributing 62% (217 TWh) in 2023. Power sector emissions rose by 86 million tonnes of CO2 (MtCO2) between 2013 and 2023, driven by significant coal capacity buildup.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000022#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesia faces a high risk of stranded assets if it continues building new coal plants. If coal power plant capacity factors are improved to 64% by 2030, electricity generation will likely exceed demand by 42 TWh.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000022#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) targets a renewable energy share of 44% by 2030 and 66% by 2035. To meet the 2030 target, Indonesia would need to add 8.9 GW of solar and 2.9 GW of wind annually beyond the current RUPTL targets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000022#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal-producing regions—specifically East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, and South Sumatra—are highly vulnerable to the energy transition. In East Kalimantan, coal contributes over 44% of the gross regional domestic product (GRDP), and the province could see an economic decline of 65% if mining and oil and gas sectors were completely depleted.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000022#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Strategic allocation of renewable energy projects in coal-producing provinces can mitigate economic risks. Tapping into 2.7 GW of existing renewable pipelines and adding 5.8 GW of solar projects could attract over $9.4 billion USD in investment and create 96,000 high-skilled jobs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000022#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal mine methane (CMM) represents a significant but overlooked emission source in producing regions. In 2022, CMM emissions in East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, and South Sumatra were estimated at 516 kilotonnes of CH4, equivalent to approximately 15.4 million tonnes of CO2e, yet these are not included in subnational mitigation plans.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000022#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal","renewable energy","solar energy","wind power","hydropower","bioenergy","geothermal energy","energy transition","just transition","greenhouse gas emissions","stranded asset","climate finance","smart grid","carbon neutrality"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","South Sumatra","Java"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","economic impact assessment","emissions modeling"]},{"id":"ember-000329","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ember-000329","title":"Ekspansi energi bersih Indonesia dapat mendorong pertumbuhan dan kesetaraan","publisher":{"name":"Ember","organization":"ember"},"document_type":"report","language":"id","date_published":"2024-08-14","source_url":"https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/08/ID-Laporan-Ekspansi-energi-bersih-Indonesia-dapat-mendorong-pertumbuhan.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report examines Indonesia's energy transition, highlighting the risk of stranded assets due to coal overcapacity and the potential for renewable energy to revitalize coal-dependent provinces. It compares the RUPTL 2021-2030 and JETP frameworks, suggesting that replacing planned coal capacity with solar power in regions like East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, and South Sumatra could create 96,000 high-skilled jobs and attract $9.4 billion in investment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000329#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Indonesia's reliance on fossil fuels for electricity has increased significantly over the last decade, with fossil fuels accounting for 81% of electricity in 2023. Between 2013 and 2023, electricity sector emissions rose by 86 million tonnes of CO2 (MtCO2), primarily driven by coal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000329#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a significant risk of stranded assets in the coal sector. If the capacity factor of coal plants increases from 49% in 2023 to 64% by 2030, electricity production would exceed demand by 42 TWh by 2030, based on RUPTL projections.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000329#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) targets a renewable energy share of 44% by 2030 and 66% by 2035. To meet these goals, Indonesia would need to add 8.9 GW of solar and 2.9 GW of wind capacity annually beyond the RUPTL targets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000329#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal-producing provinces—East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, and South Sumatra—face high economic risks from the energy transition, including job losses and reduced regional GDP. For example, East Kalimantan's economy could decline by 65% if the mining and oil/gas sectors are completely exhausted.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000329#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal mining in Indonesia generates significant methane emissions (CMM) that are often omitted from subnational greenhouse gas inventories. In 2022, CMM emissions from the three main coal provinces were estimated at 516 kilotonnes of CH4, equivalent to 15.4 million tonnes of CO2e.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000329#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Transitioning to renewable energy in coal-producing regions can mitigate economic shocks. Replacing 2,328 MW of planned coal capacity with 5.8 GW of solar power in these provinces could attract over $9.4 billion in investment and create 96,000 high-skilled jobs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000329#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["renewable energy","coal","energy transition","just transition","solar energy","wind energy","greenhouse gas emissions","methane emissions","stranded asset","climate finance","green job","bioenergy","hydropower","geothermal energy","smart grid","carbon capture and storage"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","South Sumatra","Java","Sulawesi","Inner Mongolia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","economic impact assessment","emissions analysis"]},{"id":"clipolin-000309","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/clipolin-000309","title":"Electrifying the Last Mile: Community-Based Renewable Energy for Eastern Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"Climate Policy Initiative","organization":"climate-policy-initiative"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2024-07-31","source_url":"https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/electrifying-the-last-mile-community-based-renewable-energy-for-eastern-indonesia/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report analyzes the implementation of renewable energy (RE) mini-grids in Eastern Indonesia, specifically in East Nusa Tenggara and East Kalimantan. It finds that while private sector interest in small-scale RE projects is low due to high costs and perceived risks, community-driven approaches—characterized by local ownership and the use of Village-Owned Enterprises (VOEs)—are critical for sustainability. Through case studies in Muara Enggelam, Watukarere, Mata Redi, and Treweng, the document highlights that success depends on community consensus, capacity building, and the integration of energy access with local economic development. It recommends that the Indonesian government prioritize inclusive, community-based frameworks and streamlined investment mechanisms to achieve universal energy access.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000309#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Private sector investment in small-scale renewable energy projects in Indonesia is hindered by high unit costs, high interest rates, perceived investment risks, and a lack of de-risking instruments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000309#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Successful renewable energy implementations in the studied regions share a common reliance on community-driven approaches, featuring full ownership and consensus on management and financing, even without private sector involvement.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000309#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Muara Enggelam, a 35 kWp communal solar grid (later expanded to 45 kWp) funded by a Special Allocation Fund of IDR 3.9 billion enabled the local Village-Owned Enterprise (VOE) to diversify into swallow's nest farming and reduced household electricity costs from IDR 80,000 to IDR 50,000 per month.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000309#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project in Watukarere failed to achieve sustainability due to a lack of community ownership, insufficient technical capacity, and the inability of low-income residents to pay for operations and maintenance (O&M).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000309#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Mata Redi project, funded by the UK's MENTARI program, utilizes two solar units (60 kWp and 35 kWp) to power 220 households and public facilities, while fostering economic growth in ginger and lemongrass cultivation and empowering women through farmer groups.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000309#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Treweng Island illustrates the risk of stranded assets; a 30 kWp communal solar grid was abandoned after the state-owned utility PLN established a larger 110 kWp grid in 2020, as there was no budget for the old grid's O&M and PLN was reluctant to acquire the existing assets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000309#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["renewable energy","photovoltaics","Mini-grids","energy access","climate finance","just transition","public–private partnership"],"geography_discussed":["Sumba Island","Muara Enggelam","Watukarere","Mata Redi","Treweng Island","Indonesia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","policy analysis"]},{"id":"ember-000488","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ember-000488","title":"The risks of ignoring Indonesia’s methane emissions in coal mining","publisher":{"name":"Ember","organization":"ember"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2024-07-29","source_url":"https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/the-risks-of-ignoring-methane-emissions-in-coal-mining","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report highlights a significant gap in emissions reporting among Indonesia's ten largest coal mining companies, where six fail to include coal mine methane (CMM) in their inventories. Despite national regulations and international standards, CMM emissions are often overlooked in favour of carbon dioxide reductions, potentially doubling the reported emissions of some companies. The document warns that increasing coal production quotas amidst declining global demand creates stranded asset risks and environmental impacts. It recommends that companies adopt comprehensive GHG inventories, re-assess investment risks in light of global methane pricing trends, and implement technical abatement measures such as pre-mine drainage.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000488#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Six out of ten of Indonesia's largest coal mining companies do not include coal mine methane (CMM) in their emissions inventories. For these companies, CMM emissions are estimated to be equal to or greater than their reported emissions from purchased electricity and fossil fuel combustion combined.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000488#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is significant inconsistency and a lack of transparency in the CMM reporting of the four companies that do disclose it (Indo Tambangraya Megah, Bukit Asam, Golden Energy Mines, and Indika Energy). They use different Global Warming Potential (GWP) values ranging from 21 to 28 and do not provide the emission factors used, making independent verification difficult.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000488#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"While Indonesian coal companies have initiated some decarbonisation measures—such as solar photovoltaic projects and electric vehicles—none of the assessed companies have included CMM mitigation in their targets or plans, including those with net zero commitments like Indika Energy (2050) and Adaro Energy (2060).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000488#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Indonesian government's 2024 coal production quota of 922 million tonnes is 30% higher than the January 2024 target of 710 million tonnes. This expansion contrasts with a long-term decline in global demand and potential reductions in imports from major buyers like China and India.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000488#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that 26% of Indonesian CMM emissions could be technically abated using existing technologies, such as pre-mine drainage and ventilation air methane (VAM) mitigation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000488#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal companies face increasing financial risks from the lack of methane reporting, as other jurisdictions implement methane pricing, such as the US Inflation Reduction Act (USD 900-1,500 per tonne) and the EU Methane Regulation (recommended fine of EUR 6,000 per tonne).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000488#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["greenhouse gas inventory","decarbonization","carbon neutrality","photovoltaics","electric vehicle","renewable energy","stranded asset","carbon price","energy transition"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","East Kalimantan","South Sumatra","North Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","United States","European Union","Australia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","corporate reporting analysis","risk assessment"]},{"id":"gem-000139","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000139","title":"Scraping By: Global Coal Miners and the Urgency of a Just Transition","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2023-10","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/migration/reports/GEM_Coal_Mine_Employment_2023_11.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"Global Energy Monitor identifies nearly 2.7 million coal miners worldwide, with the majority in Asia. The report warns that 414,200 jobs could be lost by 2035 and 990,200 by 2050 due to the industry's own 'life of mine' closure schedules, regardless of climate policies. It highlights that current climate pledges cover only 6% of the thermal coal workforce, leaving millions vulnerable. The report emphasizes the need for just transition mechanisms, such as the Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETPs), and suggests bridging employment through mine reclamation and renewable energy repurposing.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The global coal mining workforce consists of nearly 2.7 million workers across 70 countries, with over 80% located in Asia. China, India, and Indonesia together employ three times as many miners as the rest of the world combined.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Significant job losses are expected based on the industry's own 'life of mine' (LOM) schedules, independent of climate pledges. Approximately 414,200 jobs (15% of the workforce) may be lost by 2035, and 990,200 jobs (37% of the workforce) could disappear by 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China's Shanxi Province is identified as the most vulnerable region, with 587,900 coal mining jobs, of which 241,900 are projected to be lost by 2050 due to LOM closures.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The world's ten largest coal producers employ approximately 694,800 miners and could see up to 243,100 layoffs by 2050. State-owned operators like Coal India, Jinneng Group, and Shandong Energy are expected to be particularly impacted.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Current national climate pledges to phase out coal power are insufficient to cover the majority of the workforce. Only 148,900 miners (6% of the global workforce) at thermal and mixed-grade mines are covered by these pledges.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To limit global warming to 1.5°C by 2040, coal production would need to be reduced so drastically that only 252,200 miners would be required worldwide, based on current average labor productivity of 337 workers per million tonnes.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Mechanization is reducing the need for labor, particularly in the U.S. and Australia, where fewer than 100 employees are needed per million tonnes of coal. In contrast, Poland requires 822 workers per million tonnes due to a reliance on underground operations and strong trade unions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETPs) provide financial support to coal-dependent nations, but the funding is far below the estimated requirements. For example, South Africa's JETP provided US$ 8.5 billion against an estimated requirement of US$ 98.7 billion, and India is expected to need US$ 900 billion over 30 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Mine reclamation and the repurposing of abandoned sites for renewable energy (such as solar installations in Virginia and Anhui Province) are proposed as critical bridges to maintain employment during the transition.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000139#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["just transition","energy transition","climate finance","renewable energy","Net-zero emissions","Just Energy Transition Partnership","methane emissions"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","Indonesia","Shanxi","South Africa","Poland","United States","Australia","Russia","Zimbabwe","Spain","Canada","Germany","East Kalimantan","Mpumalanga","Silesia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["employment forecasting","policy assessment","geographic vulnerability analysis"]},{"id":"sei-002726","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-002726","title":"A just coal transition in Indonesia","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2023-10","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/sei2023-051-coal-indonesia.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report analyzes the complexities of Indonesia's transition away from coal, highlighting a conflict between government/industry priorities—which focus on economic stability and coal derivatives—and the social and environmental priorities of civil society. It identifies significant barriers, including a quasi-monopoly on electricity by the state-owned PLN, deep political ties between coal oligarchs and policymakers, and a lack of coordination between national and regional governments. While initiatives like the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) and Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM) show progress, the report argues that a truly just transition requires economic diversification, reskilling of the workforce, and the reclamation of abandoned mines.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Indonesia's energy sector is characterized by a centralized structure where the state-owned Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) holds a quasi-monopoly on electricity distribution and owns most generation capacity, which hinders the competitiveness of renewable energy independent power producers (IPPs).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a significant divergence in how a 'just transition' is framed: government and private sector actors prioritize economic and technological aspects, while civil society organizations (CSOs) and international organizations emphasize social and environmental justice.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Indonesian government and industry associations are promoting coal derivatives (such as coal gas and liquid coal) as an economic diversification strategy, despite scientific evidence that these pathways remain carbon-intensive and may contradict net-zero targets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coal mining is deeply embedded in the political economy, with strong networks of interconnections where former government officials work for coal companies and industry actors exert significant influence over policymaking.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Illegal mining operations, known as Penambangan Tanpa Izin (PETI), are widespread, providing livelihoods for millions of people and supplying coal to local industries and international markets, particularly China.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A major policy barrier is the lack of coordination and coherence between the national government and regional/provincial authorities, particularly following the 2020 'recentralization' of mining permit authority.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Environmental degradation from coal is severe, with many post-mining sites left without proper reclamation, creating hazards for local communities; however, local governments often lack the authority to enforce rehabilitation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"International finance, particularly from China, has played a critical role in expanding Indonesia's coal capacity, often creating a 'policy feedback effect' that encourages further coal exploitation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) and the Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM) are the primary large-scale initiatives aimed at phasing out coal, with JETP targeting a 34% renewable energy share by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-002726#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Coal phase-out","just transition","renewable energy","carbon capture and storage","climate finance","environmental degradation","energy justice","greenhouse gas emissions"],"geography_discussed":["East Kalimantan","South Kalimantan","West Sumatra","South Sumatra","People's Republic of China"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["stakeholder analysis","policy review","socio-economic assessment"]},{"id":"iisd-003112","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-003112","title":"What Can Indonesia Learn from South Africa Experience of the Just Energy Transition Process?","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"policy brief","language":"en","date_published":"2023-07","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2023-07/indonesia-south-africa-jetp-lessons.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document analyzes the organizational structure, funding, and implementation challenges of South Africa's JETP, highlighting the gap between policy targets and practical execution. It compares the energy landscapes of South Africa and Indonesia, emphasizing the critical need for transmission grid upgrades and the social protection of coal-dependent regions. Key recommendations for Indonesia include ensuring broad government consensus, translating commitments into legislation, and prioritizing social benefits to ensure a truly 'just' transition.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003112#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"South Africa's JET Investment Plan (JET IP) identifies a total investment requirement of ZAR 1,48 trillion (USD 98 billion) over five years, with the electricity sector receiving the highest priority at 48% of the total budget allocation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003112#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The South African JETP process has faced a 'policy implementation gap' driven by a lack of civil society consultation, misestimation of the political landscape, and internal government opposition to the phase-out of coal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003112#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A significant challenge in the South African JETP is the imbalance between funding for energy infrastructure and funding for social support; grants and technical assistance make up less than 4% of the commitment, while concessional loans account for 63%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003112#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Both South Africa and Indonesia face critical transmission grid constraints that hinder the integration of renewable energy; South Africa has prioritized grid investment by allocating 20% of its electricity infrastructure funds to this area.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003112#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The transition in South Africa focuses heavily on the Mpumalanga Province, which contains 12 of Eskom's 15 coal-fired power plants and employs approximately 90,000 people in mines and plants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003112#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Indonesia's energy transition is complicated by its role as the world's largest coal exporter since 2005 and a high reliance on coal royalties, which accounted for over 80% of non-tax revenue from the minerals and mining sector in 2022.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003112#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Just Energy Transition Partnership","Coal phase-out","renewable energy","climate finance","electric power transmission","energy transition","green hydrogen","decarbonization"],"geography_discussed":["Mpumalanga","East Kalimantan","Java","Sumatra","Bali"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy brief","comparative analysis"]}]}