{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"geography":["Belize City"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'Belize City' for facet 'geography' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?geography=Belize+City","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"cdkn-000391","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cdkn-000391","title":"Dengue Fever in the Belize District","publisher":{"name":"Climate and Development Knowledge Network","organization":"climate-and-development-knowledge-network"},"document_type":"case study","language":"en","date_published":"2015-08-10","source_url":"http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Cariwig-Case-Study-Health-Sector-DF-Report-Final.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study identifies a positive association between dengue fever occurrence in the Belize District and both precipitation and minimum temperature. Projections for the 2050s suggest a general warming trend with an increase in the frequency of days where minimum temperatures exceed 18°C, which may increase DF occurrence. Conversely, a projected increase in days where maximum temperatures exceed 32°C may create less favourable conditions for the disease. The report emphasizes that non-climate factors, including changes in health reporting structures and socio-economic drivers, also influence DF trends.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Statistical analysis of data from 2007-2014 indicates that rainfall and minimum temperature (Tmin) are major factors contributing to dengue fever (DF) in the Belize District, showing positive associations during the Sept-Nov and Dec-Feb periods.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Dengue fever occurrence is most prevalent in urban areas of the Belize District, with the highest rates per 100 people found in Belize City, followed by San Pedro Town on Ambergris Caye.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate projections for the 2050s indicate a general warming trend, with an expected increase in both maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures across all months.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In the 2050s, the number of days where Tmin exceeds 18°C is projected to increase considerably, particularly from January to March and November to December, which may lead to increased DF occurrence.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Projections for the 2050s show a decrease in the number of days where Tmax is between 20°C and 32°C, primarily because there is a major increase in days exceeding 32°C, which is associated with a decline in DF incidence.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Precipitation patterns in the 2050s are projected to change, with a decrease in mean wet-day precipitation from May to September and an increase in heavy rainfall and variability during October and November.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Observed increases in DF may be influenced by non-climate factors, such as population growth, socio-economic drivers, and significant changes in how the Ministry of Health classified and reported DF cases between 2007 and 2014.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["precipitation","temperature","climate variability","climate change","public health","urbanization"],"geography_discussed":["Belize City","San Pedro Town","Ambergris Caye","Mexico"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","statistical analysis","climate projection"]},{"id":"cdkn-000996","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cdkn-000996","title":"Analyzing Vulnerability of the Belize Coastal Tourism Sector","publisher":{"name":"Climate and Development Knowledge Network","organization":"climate-and-development-knowledge-network"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2014","source_url":"http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Vulnerability-assessment-report_final.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report identifies high-risk hotspots in Belize's coastal tourism sector, particularly Ambergris Caye, Caye Caulker, and the Central and South Central regions, which face significant threats from sea-level rise, thermal stress on coral reefs, and hurricane intensity. It highlights that 86% of tourism facilities are highly vulnerable to sea-level rise, with potential GDP losses of over US $61 million from a 1m rise. While some regions like the Northern and Southern areas show medium vulnerability, the overall outlook suggests a high potential impact on the industry's future viability.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The highest potential impact from climate change is projected for the popular tourism destinations of Ambergris Caye, Central Region, Caye Caulker, Turneffe Atoll, Lighthouse Reef Atoll, and South Central Region.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Sea-level rise poses a severe threat to tourism infrastructure, with 86% of identified tourism facilities being highly vulnerable and 6% moderately vulnerable. Approximately 94% of accommodation facilities and 79% of tourist attractions are located in low-elevation areas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A sea-level rise of 1 meter is estimated to result in a GDP loss of over US $61,373,301.00 for Belize, primarily due to losses in the tourism sector.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Projected sea-level rise scenarios indicate extreme beach area losses for specific sites: at a 1m rise, Caye Caulker would lose 96% of its beach area, Rocky Point 90%, and San Pedro 45%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coral reefs are highly sensitive to rising sea surface temperatures; projections for 2090-2099 indicate the entire study area will be under increasing thermal stress, potentially leading to high coral mortality and reduced appeal for underwater recreation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Hurricane exposure is most significant for the cayes and coastal areas, including San Pedro on Ambergris Caye, Caye Caulker, and Placencia. The report notes that while frequency may not increase, the intensity of North Atlantic hurricanes has appeared to increase over the last 30 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Northern Region, South Northern Region, and Southern Region are identified as less vulnerable hotspots, suggesting they could be prioritized for future climate-compatible tourism development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["sea level rise","sea surface temperature","coral bleaching","coastal erosion","coral reef restoration","climate finance"],"geography_discussed":["Ambergris Caye","Caye Caulker","Belize City","Turneffe islands","Lighthouse Reef Atoll","Placencia","Dangriga","Corozal"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["vulnerability assessment","spatial analysis","impact projection"]},{"id":"cdkn-000386","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cdkn-000386","title":"Flood risk and Urban development in Belize City, Belize","publisher":{"name":"Climate and Development Knowledge Network","organization":"climate-and-development-knowledge-network"},"document_type":"case study","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/CARIWIG-Belize-City-Case-Study-Final-Report-April-2015.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document assesses future climate projections for Belize City using a Weather Generator tool, finding that while June, July, and August may see decreased rainfall and increased temperatures, October and November are projected to experience higher intensity and more variable rainfall. These changes, combined with the city's flat elevation and poor drainage infrastructure, increase the risk of severe flooding and associated health hazards. The study emphasizes the need for updated building codes, better land-use planning, and integrated climate change considerations in infrastructure design to mitigate these risks.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000386#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Climate projections for the 2050s indicate a substantial increase in temperature and a decrease in rainfall during June, July, and August, with maximum temperatures expected to rise by approximately 2°C.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000386#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Rainfall intensity and variability are projected to increase in the final months of the year, particularly October and November, which may be compounded by hurricanes and tropical storms.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000386#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Belize City is highly susceptible to flooding due to its flat elevation (essentially at sea level) and a history of unplanned urban growth and inadequate drainage planning.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000386#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Increased rainfall intensity is expected to heighten the risk of severe flooding, which may threaten poorly constructed buildings and roads and increase health risks in impoverished areas due to poor solid waste management.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000386#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Decreased rainfall in June, July, and August could paradoxically increase flood risk because drainage channels may become blocked with garbage and debris, reducing the natural flushing effect of rain.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000386#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Stakeholders indicate that the Belize City Master Plan (BZCMP) often results in short-term 'quick-fixes' rather than sustainable management, such as dredging the Belize River mouth, which may cause 'spill over' effects during strong storms.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000386#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["flood risk","urban development","extreme rainfall","climate change","land-use planning","building code","hurricane","tropical cyclone","sea level rise","storm surge"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","climate projection analysis","stakeholder survey"]}]}