{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"geography":["Ambergris Caye"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'Ambergris Caye' for facet 'geography' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?geography=Ambergris+Caye","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"gclifun-004935","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gclifun-004935","title":"Building Climate Resilience into the Water and Wastewater Systems of Ambergris Caye, Belize, Central America (AC-CReWS)","publisher":{"name":"Green Climate Fund","organization":"green-climate-fund"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2023-07-17","source_url":"https://www.greenclimate.fund/sites/default/files/document/29700-building-climate-resilience-water-and-wastewater-systems-ambergris-caye-belize-central-america.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The AC-CReWS project aims to enhance climate resilience on Ambergris Caye, Belize, by upgrading water and wastewater infrastructure and governance. The project focuses on transitioning to low-carbon systems through the installation of a 3 MW grid-tied PV system, upgrading sewage treatment to tertiary levels for reclaimed water reuse, and implementing SCADA for automated monitoring and leak detection. With a total indicative cost of USD 49.893 million, the project targets 40,000 direct beneficiaries and expects to mitigate 148,140 tCO2eq over a 30-year lifespan. It also proposes a Revolving Adaptation and Mitigation Fund Facility (RAMFF) to sustain small-scale climate initiatives.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Ambergris Caye faces significant water insecurity and scarcity driven by climate change, specifically through sea level rise and drying effects, which are exacerbated by a rapidly growing tourism sector.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project's primary infrastructure goals include upgrading the San Pedro Sewage Treatment Facility to a tertiary level to produce reclaimed water for non-potable uses and expanding potable water supply via new Sea Water Reverse Osmosis (SWRO) desalination plants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To reduce the carbon footprint of water operations, the project will install a 3 MW grid-tied PV system and retrofit strategic pumps with solar panels.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project will implement Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) and smart meters to improve operational efficiency, leak detection, and revenue collection.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The project aims to mitigate 148,140 tCO2eq over its 30-year lifespan and provide direct benefits to approximately 40,000 vulnerable people.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A new financial mechanism called the Revolving Adaptation and Mitigation Fund Facility (RAMFF) will be established to provide funding for small and medium-scale climate initiatives using savings or revenue from project activities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The total indicative cost of the project is USD 49.893 million, with the Green Climate Fund (GCF) requested to provide USD 42.831 million as a grant, and the Government of Belize/BWS contributing USD 7.062 million.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Current wastewater management on Ambergris Caye is inadequate, with many residents relying on septic systems and reports of illegal raw sewage dumping, particularly in the north of the island.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Belize's water governance is hindered by outdated legislation, with key documents like the National Integrated Water Resources Policy dating back to 2008-2010 and lacking integration of the water-energy nexus.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gclifun-004935#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["water security","wastewater treatment","photovoltaics","climate resilience","sea level rise","greenhouse gas emissions","Integrated Water Resources Management","climate finance","Small Island Developing States"],"geography_discussed":["San Pedro","Caribbean"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["project proposal","vulnerability assessment","financial planning"]},{"id":"cdkn-000391","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cdkn-000391","title":"Dengue Fever in the Belize District","publisher":{"name":"Climate and Development Knowledge Network","organization":"climate-and-development-knowledge-network"},"document_type":"case study","language":"en","date_published":"2015-08-10","source_url":"http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Cariwig-Case-Study-Health-Sector-DF-Report-Final.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study identifies a positive association between dengue fever occurrence in the Belize District and both precipitation and minimum temperature. Projections for the 2050s suggest a general warming trend with an increase in the frequency of days where minimum temperatures exceed 18°C, which may increase DF occurrence. Conversely, a projected increase in days where maximum temperatures exceed 32°C may create less favourable conditions for the disease. The report emphasizes that non-climate factors, including changes in health reporting structures and socio-economic drivers, also influence DF trends.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Statistical analysis of data from 2007-2014 indicates that rainfall and minimum temperature (Tmin) are major factors contributing to dengue fever (DF) in the Belize District, showing positive associations during the Sept-Nov and Dec-Feb periods.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Dengue fever occurrence is most prevalent in urban areas of the Belize District, with the highest rates per 100 people found in Belize City, followed by San Pedro Town on Ambergris Caye.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate projections for the 2050s indicate a general warming trend, with an expected increase in both maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures across all months.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In the 2050s, the number of days where Tmin exceeds 18°C is projected to increase considerably, particularly from January to March and November to December, which may lead to increased DF occurrence.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Projections for the 2050s show a decrease in the number of days where Tmax is between 20°C and 32°C, primarily because there is a major increase in days exceeding 32°C, which is associated with a decline in DF incidence.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Precipitation patterns in the 2050s are projected to change, with a decrease in mean wet-day precipitation from May to September and an increase in heavy rainfall and variability during October and November.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Observed increases in DF may be influenced by non-climate factors, such as population growth, socio-economic drivers, and significant changes in how the Ministry of Health classified and reported DF cases between 2007 and 2014.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000391#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["precipitation","temperature","climate variability","climate change","public health","urbanization"],"geography_discussed":["Belize City","San Pedro Town","Ambergris Caye","Mexico"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","statistical analysis","climate projection"]},{"id":"cdkn-000996","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cdkn-000996","title":"Analyzing Vulnerability of the Belize Coastal Tourism Sector","publisher":{"name":"Climate and Development Knowledge Network","organization":"climate-and-development-knowledge-network"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2014","source_url":"http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Vulnerability-assessment-report_final.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report identifies high-risk hotspots in Belize's coastal tourism sector, particularly Ambergris Caye, Caye Caulker, and the Central and South Central regions, which face significant threats from sea-level rise, thermal stress on coral reefs, and hurricane intensity. It highlights that 86% of tourism facilities are highly vulnerable to sea-level rise, with potential GDP losses of over US $61 million from a 1m rise. While some regions like the Northern and Southern areas show medium vulnerability, the overall outlook suggests a high potential impact on the industry's future viability.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The highest potential impact from climate change is projected for the popular tourism destinations of Ambergris Caye, Central Region, Caye Caulker, Turneffe Atoll, Lighthouse Reef Atoll, and South Central Region.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Sea-level rise poses a severe threat to tourism infrastructure, with 86% of identified tourism facilities being highly vulnerable and 6% moderately vulnerable. Approximately 94% of accommodation facilities and 79% of tourist attractions are located in low-elevation areas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A sea-level rise of 1 meter is estimated to result in a GDP loss of over US $61,373,301.00 for Belize, primarily due to losses in the tourism sector.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Projected sea-level rise scenarios indicate extreme beach area losses for specific sites: at a 1m rise, Caye Caulker would lose 96% of its beach area, Rocky Point 90%, and San Pedro 45%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coral reefs are highly sensitive to rising sea surface temperatures; projections for 2090-2099 indicate the entire study area will be under increasing thermal stress, potentially leading to high coral mortality and reduced appeal for underwater recreation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Hurricane exposure is most significant for the cayes and coastal areas, including San Pedro on Ambergris Caye, Caye Caulker, and Placencia. The report notes that while frequency may not increase, the intensity of North Atlantic hurricanes has appeared to increase over the last 30 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Northern Region, South Northern Region, and Southern Region are identified as less vulnerable hotspots, suggesting they could be prioritized for future climate-compatible tourism development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cdkn-000996#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["sea level rise","sea surface temperature","coral bleaching","coastal erosion","coral reef restoration","climate finance"],"geography_discussed":["Ambergris Caye","Caye Caulker","Belize City","Turneffe islands","Lighthouse Reef Atoll","Placencia","Dangriga","Corozal"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["vulnerability assessment","spatial analysis","impact projection"]}]}