{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"climate_tags":["coal decommissioning"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'coal decommissioning' for facet 'climate_tags' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?climate_tags=coal+decommissioning","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"cer-001404","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cer-001404","title":"INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN 2018","publisher":{"name":"Centre for Environmental Rights","organization":"centre-for-environmental-rights"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2018-08","source_url":"https://cer.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Thabametsi-Answering-Affidavit-105-304.pdf?x21779","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) 2018 is a strategic update to South Africa's electricity infrastructure development plan, extending the planning horizon to 2050. It evaluates various energy mix scenarios to balance security of supply, cost, and environmental impact, specifically focusing on the transition from coal to renewable energy and gas. The document also includes a Medium-Term System Adequacy Outlook (MTSAO) for 2018-2023 and a specific climate change and water resources assessment for the proposed Thabametsi coal-fired power station.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#summary","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The IRP 2018 update was necessitated by changes in key assumptions from the IRP 2010-2030, including electricity demand that \"did not increase as envisaged\", Eskom plant performance falling \"way below the 80% availability factor\", and significant declines in technology costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"For the period ending 2030, the committed Renewable Energy Independent Power Producers Programme (REIPPP) and Eskom's capacity rollout (ending with Kusile in 2022) are expected to provide sufficient capacity to cover demand and plant decommissioning until approximately 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"Scenario analysis indicates that removing annual build limits on renewable energy (RE) provides the least-cost electricity path for both the 2030 and 2050 horizons.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"Post-2030 projections show a significant decline in coal's contribution to the energy supply, falling to less than 30% by 2040 and less than 20% by 2050, driven by the decommissioning of 35GW of coal plants by 2050 and emission constraints.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The recommended plan for the period ending 2030 adopts a least-cost approach but retains annual build limits of 1000MW for PV and 1600MW for wind to ensure a \"smooth roll out of RE\" and sustain the industry.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The recommended plan includes the addition of 1000MW of coal-to-power in 2023-2024 and 2500MW of hydro power by 2030, the latter to facilitate the RSA-DRC treaty on the Inga Hydro Power Project.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The Medium-Term System Adequacy Outlook (MTSAO) for 2018-2023 concludes that the system is adequate for all demand scenarios if the Energy Availability Factor (EAF) is 75% or above, but inadequate at 71% regardless of demand growth.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The proposed Thabametsi coal-fired power station (1200MW) is projected to have a high GHG emission intensity of 1.23 tons of CO2e per MWh, which is 17% higher than the average of Eskom's current fleet.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The Thabametsi project faces high risks regarding water availability in the water-scarce Lephalale region, relying on the Mokolo Crocodile (West) Water Augmentation Project (MCWAP) phases 1 and 2.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The Thabametsi project utilizes circulating fluidised bed (CFB) technology and dry cooling, which reduces water demand by up to 15 times compared to conventional wet-cooled stations, but results in higher N2O emissions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-001404#insight-10","date_modified":"2026-08-17"}],"climate_tags":["energy transition","decarbonization","renewable energy","coal decommissioning","ghg emissions","water scarcity","climate resilience"],"geography_discussed":["Limpopo","Democratic Republic of the Congo"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["scenario analysis","least-cost optimization","system adequacy study","environmental impact assessment"]},{"id":"cer-000641","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cer-000641","title":"ADDITIONAL WRITTEN COMMENTS ON THE INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN (IRP) UPDATE: ASSUMPTIONS, BASE CASE RESULTS AND OBSERVATIONS, REVISION 1 AND ON THE DRAFT INTEGRATED ENERGY PLAN (IEP)","publisher":{"name":"Centre for Environmental Rights","organization":"centre-for-environmental-rights"},"document_type":"statement","language":"en","date_published":"2017-11-20","source_url":"https://cer.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/CER-Letter-to-DOE-20-11-17.docx.pdf?x21779","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The Centre for Environmental Rights (CER), representing the Life After Coal/Impilo Ngaphandle Kwamalahle Campaign, submitted additional comments to the South African Department of Energy regarding the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) and Integrated Energy Plan (IEP). The CER argues that these plans must incorporate missing cost calculations for coal and nuclear energy, as well as findings from recent studies suggesting that accelerating the decommissioning of coal plants and cancelling new coal and nuclear capacity is the most cost-effective path for Eskom and the national grid.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000641#summary","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The CER identifies several critical omissions in the Department of Energy and CSIR's modelling, including the failure to account for health and water costs of coal investments, the greenhouse gas nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from circulating fluidised bed combustion (CFB) technology used by IPPs like Thabametsi and Khanyisa, and the exclusion of nuclear decommissioning, used fuel storage, and insurance risk costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000641#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"A study by Meridian Economics suggests that Eskom could save up to R17 billion by accelerating the decommissioning of the Grootvlei, Komati, and Hendrina coal-fired power stations and curtailing the completion of Kusile units 5 and 6, without compromising the security of supply.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000641#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"Analysis from the CSIR Energy Centre and the Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies indicates that new coal and nuclear plants are no longer competitive. The Frankfurt study specifically finds that a system based on wind and solar PV is 10%-30% cheaper than one based on new coal and nuclear, even when accounting for grid and transmission investments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000641#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The CER highlights that the health costs associated with Eskom's coal-fired power stations are significant, estimated at USD 2,372.78 annually according to a study commissioned by groundWork.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000641#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-08-17"}],"climate_tags":["energy transition","coal decommissioning","renewable energy","greenhouse gas emissions","least-cost electricity mix"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy comment","economic analysis","environmental impact"]},{"id":"cer-000380","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/cer-000380","title":"annexure-a-26333ba73b763b35.pdf","publisher":{"name":"Centre for Environmental Rights","organization":"centre-for-environmental-rights"},"document_type":"statement","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://cer.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Annexure-A.pdf?x21779","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"A formal request sent on 29 November 2016 by the Life After Coal Campaign and other environmental organisations to the South African Minister of Energy, seeking an extension for public comment on the Integrated Energy Plan (IEP) and the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) Update and demanding the release of critical supporting documents.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000380#summary","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The Life After Coal Campaign and associated organisations requested that the public comment deadline for the IEP and IRP Update be extended from 15 February 2017 to 31 March 2017. They further requested at least 60 additional days for comment on scenarios and 30 days for comment on the policy-adjusted IRP.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000380#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The organisations argue that the Department of Energy failed to provide all promised annexures by 29 November 2016. While the EPRI Report on Technology Costs and the CSIR Demand Forecast Report were available, documents regarding decommissioning dates, technology learning rates, discount rates, and additional assumptions were missing.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000380#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The petitioners requested access to several specific documents to enable meaningful submissions, including recommendations from the Ministerial Advisory Council on Energy (MACE) IRP Working Group, a study by the Department's Nuclear branch, detailed decommissioning plans and cost estimates for Eskom and Kelvin coal-fired power stations, and a list of coal mines that would close due to decommissioning.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000380#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The organisations criticised the planned public participation process as inadequate, noting that only 8 workshops in 8 cities across 8 of the 9 provinces were scheduled. They specifically highlighted the need for more workshops in coal-impacted areas such as the Mpumalanga Highveld.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000380#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The document asserts that the current process violates the Promotion of Administrative Justice Act, 2000 (PAJA) and the Constitution of the Republic of South Africa, 1996, because it does not provide a fair or transparent opportunity for public participation in policy-making.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000380#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-08-17"},{"text":"The IRP 2010, promulgated in May 2011, was intended to be revised every two years, meaning an update should have occurred by 2012; however, the current IRP Update and IEP are described as long overdue.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"cer-000380#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-08-17"}],"climate_tags":["energy transition","coal decommissioning","public participation","energy policy","climate change vulnerability"],"geography_discussed":["Johannesburg","Cape Town","Durban","Gqeberha","Mpumalanga Highveld","Gauteng","Western Cape","Eastern Cape","KwaZulu-Natal","Northern Cape","North West","Limpopo","Mpumalanga"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy critique","legal request"]}]}