{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["time-series analysis"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'time-series analysis' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":5,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=time-series+analysis","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"iai-000147","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iai-000147","title":"Síntesis de las tendencias de los parámetros oceanográficos y ópticos en la estación serie de tiempo CARIACO enero 1996-diciembre 2013","publisher":{"name":"Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research","organization":"inter-american-institute-for-global-change-research"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"es","date_published":"2025-01-13","source_url":"https://iai.int/es/pub_acad/sintesis-de-las-tendencias-de-los-parametros-oceanograficos-y-opticos-en-la-estacion-serie-de-tiempo-cariaco-enero-1996-diciembre-2013/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"Analysis of the CARIACO station (1996–2013) reveals a significant increase in sea surface temperature, a decrease in pH, and a decline in chlorophyll a and phytoplankton abundance, alongside a reduction in upwelling intensity linked to lower wind speeds.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000147#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Between 1996 and 2013, the sea surface temperature at the CARIACO station increased significantly by 0.9 °C.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000147#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The study recorded a decrease in pH at a rate of 0.0024 ± 0.0003 units per year and an increase in dissolved inorganic carbon concentration of 1 ± 0.29 µmol kg-1 year-1.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000147#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Upwelling intensity showed a decreasing trend associated with a reduction in wind speed, while chlorophyll a concentration, primary production, and phytoplankton abundance also declined significantly, leading to a shift in dominant communities and a change in water optical characteristics toward more blue rather than green tones.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000147#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["sea surface temperature","ocean acidification"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["time-series analysis","trend analysis"]},{"id":"iai-000042","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iai-000042","title":"Drivers of fire anomalies in the Brazilian Amazon: lessons learned from the 2019 fire crisis","publisher":{"name":"Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research","organization":"inter-american-institute-for-global-change-research"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2025-01-09","source_url":"https://iai.int/es/pub_acad/drivers-of-fire-anomalies-in-the-brazilian-amazon-lessons-learned-from-the-2019-fire-crisis/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study identifies a strong correlation between active fire anomalies in the Brazilian Amazon and deforestation, noting that the 2019 crisis was particularly severe in the states of Acre, Amazonas, and Roraima.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000042#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The 2019 fire crisis was characterized by abnormally high monthly fire counts in the states of Acre, Amazonas, and Roraima, which were also distinguished by extreme levels of deforestation that year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000042#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Areas experiencing active fire occurrence significantly above the biome average in 2019 showed a strong link to historical and current deforestation: they had six times more deforestation in 2019, five times more in the five previous years, and three times more active fires in the three previous years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000042#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Analysis of the 2003-2019 period shows that roughly one-third of yearly active fires occurred within 1 km of deforested areas in the same year, and one-third of deforested areas were within 500 m of areas deforested the previous year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iai-000042#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["wildfire","deforestation"],"geography_discussed":["Acre","Amazonas","Roraima"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["time-series analysis","spatial analysis"]},{"id":"prio-001303","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/prio-001303","title":"Correlates of Sexual Violence in Protest Spaces","publisher":{"name":"Peace Research Institute Oslo","organization":"peace-research-institute-oslo"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2021","source_url":"https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/a6ffdccb-3f30-4fc5-80ee-04f313c0566b/Correlates of Sexual Violence in Protest Spaces Evidence from the Egyptian Revolution.pdf?inline=true","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study finds that sexual violence in Tahrir Square was more likely to occur during large, static protests and less likely during transient demonstrations. The author identifies a shift from single-perpetrator to multiple-perpetrator assaults, specifically the 'circle of hell' phenomenon, suggesting a learned behavioral pattern or strategy. While the study found no statistically significant link between the specific political aim of a protest (anti-regime or anti-military) and the occurrence of sexual violence in the main model, it highlights the historical use of sexual violence as a tool of repression by the Egyptian state.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Protest size is a significant predictor of sexual violence, with larger crowds increasing the likelihood of assaults due to anonymity and a violent crowd mentality.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The type of protest tactic influences the risk of sexual violence; specifically, transient demonstrations are associated with a lower likelihood of assaults compared to static protests.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There was a temporal shift in the nature of assaults, where single-perpetrator violence decreased and multiple-perpetrator violence, such as the 'circle of hell,' increased over time.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Sexual violence in Tahrir Square exhibited spatial clustering, with a high concentration of assaults occurring in the South-East corner of the square near fast-food restaurants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The study found no statistically significant relationship between the specific political target of the protest (Mubarak, the Muslim Brotherhood, or SCAF) and the occurrence of sexual violence in the primary mixed-effects model.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The presence of women at protests did not have a statistically significant effect on the occurrence of sexual violence, although the direction of the relationship suggested a possible mitigating effect.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Historically, the Mubarak regime weaponized sexual violence and gender tropes to delegitimize political opposition and control dissenting bodies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001303#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":[],"geography_discussed":["Myanmar","Hong Kong","Iran","Belarus","Syria","Honduras","Yemen","Tunisia","Sudan"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["quantitative analysis","case study","spatial analysis","time-series analysis"]},{"id":"climstra-000267","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climstra-000267","title":"HOW MANY PEOPLE DOES IT TAKE TO ADMINISTER LONG-TERM CLIMATE FINANCE?","publisher":{"name":"Climate Strategies","organization":"climate-strategies"},"document_type":"policy brief","language":"en","date_published":"2010-09-17","source_url":"https://climatestrategies.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/ecbi-cs-how-may-people-does-it-take.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The policy brief analyzes the staffing intensity of twelve major international development agencies to estimate the personnel needed to manage increased climate finance flows. It finds that agencies typically employ between 25 and 40 full-time equivalent staff per USD 100 million in disbursements. The authors conclude that administering USD 30 billion annually would require 7,500 to 12,000 new administrators, while USD 100 billion would require 25,000 to 40,000. The report argues against the existence of economies of scale for larger agencies and suggests delegating administrative duties to recipient countries to improve cost-effectiveness and local ownership.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000267#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Based on a survey of twelve international development agencies, the average staffing intensity is 25.4 official full-time equivalent staff per USD 100 million in disbursements.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000267#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Case studies of JICA, DFID, and USAID indicate that official staffing figures often underestimate actual needs due to the exclusion of contract workers and the channelling of funds through other entities. Adjusted data suggest a realistic staffing range of 25 to 40 staff per USD 100 million managed.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000267#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is no evidence that larger funding entities benefit from economies of scale that allow them to use fewer staff per unit of disbursement compared to smaller agencies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000267#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A time-series analysis of seven agencies showed that, in the short term, agencies increased staff by only 13.4 full-time equivalents for every USD 100 million increase in disbursements, suggesting some elasticity. However, the authors argue this is an artificially low figure for predicting needs for large-scale climate fund influxes.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000267#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The estimated number of additional administrators needed to process new climate funds varies by the annual volume: USD 30 billion would require 7,500 to 12,000 staff; USD 50 billion would require 12,500 to 20,000; and USD 100 billion would require 25,000 to 40,000 staff.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000267#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To maximize cost-effectiveness and ensure country ownership of mitigation and adaptation projects, the authors recommend delegating the administration of climate funds to entities within the recipient countries.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000267#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate finance","climate change adaptation","climate change mitigation","capacity building"],"geography_discussed":["Japan","United Kingdom","United States","Canada","France","Germany"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["staffing intensity analysis","case study","time-series analysis"]},{"id":"prio-001163","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/prio-001163","title":"Weaponomics","publisher":{"name":"Peace Research Institute Oslo","organization":"peace-research-institute-oslo"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2006-09","source_url":"https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/6275f661-5fcd-4b6c-8878-ed5b6df3c29f/2006-13text.pdf?inline=true","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The research introduces the first quantitative effort to document the small arms market using a dataset of AK-47 prices across 117 countries from 1986 to 2005. By applying a simultaneous equations model, the author finds that regulatory effectiveness and supply costs—specifically neighbours' military expenditure and border porousness—are the primary drivers of weapon prices. The study concludes that the collapse of the Soviet Union did not cause a supply shock as significant as commonly believed, and that regional trade dynamics, particularly in Africa, play a critical role in price determination.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001163#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Regulatory effectiveness is a significant determinant of weapon prices, with better enforceability of laws and regulations increasing the cost of acquiring weapons.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001163#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The average military expenditure of neighbouring countries is a robust predictor of lower weapon prices, likely due to the leakage of official stocks through corruption or seizure and strategic spillovers to rival forces.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001163#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"African countries experience a significant 'Africa-discount' where assault rifles are on average over US$200 cheaper than elsewhere, attributed to highly porous borders that create a nearly deregulated regional market.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001163#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Contrary to common belief, the collapse of the Soviet Union did not act as a major supply shock that significantly lowered global weapon prices when other factors are controlled.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001163#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The stock of weapons remaining from previous conflicts, termed 'civil war legacy', has a negative significant effect on prices, meaning more plentiful weapons lead to lower costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001163#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Transport costs from the initial source of weapons affect pricing, as evidenced by a positive correlation between the distance from Moscow and the price of Kalashnikovs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001163#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":[],"geography_discussed":["Africa","Soviet Union","Moscow"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["econometric analysis","time-series analysis","cross-country panel study"]}]}