{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["technological roadmap analysis"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'technological roadmap analysis' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=technological+roadmap+analysis","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"gem-000247","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/gem-000247","title":"PEDAL TO THE METAL","publisher":{"name":"Global Energy Monitor","organization":"global-energy-monitor"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2021-06","source_url":"https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/migration/reports/Pedal-to-the-Metal_11.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The global steel sector, responsible for 11% of CO2 emissions, remains heavily reliant on carbon-intensive blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) pathways. While over 75% of global capacity is now covered by net-zero pledges, the report warns of significant stranded asset risks—estimated between 47 and 70 billion USD—due to the continued construction of BF-BOF plants. The analysis emphasizes a transition toward electric arc furnaces (EAF), green hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (DRI), and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), while leveraging existing global overcapacity to retire inefficient plants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The global steel industry is a major emitter, accounting for 11% of carbon dioxide emissions and 7% of greenhouse gas emissions globally.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) pathway is the most carbon-intensive method and dominates both current operations and new developments; it represents 61.3% of operating capacity and 65% of capacity under development where the technology is known.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"China, Japan, and India are the leading producers of steel. China alone accounts for 51% (1,023 mtpa) of the capacity tracked in the Global Steel Plant Tracker.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Global steelmaking capacity is approximately 25% higher than actual production, creating an opportunity to retire older, polluting plants without disrupting supply. Overcapacity as a percentage of production in 2020 was 26.6% for EU27+UK, 23.7% for Japan, 20.0% for the US, and between 13.5% and 20.0% for China.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The industry faces a stranded asset risk of 47–70 billion USD for carbon-intensive plants currently under development if low-emissions technologies reach commercial scale as projected.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"More than 75% of global steel capacity is now subject to net-zero or low-emissions commitments from countries or companies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Decarbonization requires shifting capacity to electric arc furnaces (EAF), outfitting remaining BF-BOFs with best available technology (BAT), and scaling novel technologies like hydrogen-DRI and CCUS.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Green hydrogen-based DRI is a key net-zero option, but no commercial-scale plants are currently operating. A pilot project, HYBRIT, began in Sweden in August 2020 with a goal of a 1 Mt H2 / year plant by 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Carbon capture, use, and storage (CCUS) is an available technology for natural gas-based DRI, with the Emirates Steel plant in Abu Dhabi operating a project since 2016 capable of capturing 800 ttpa CO2.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"gem-000247#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["iron and steel industry","decarbonization","green hydrogen","stranded asset","carbon price","sustainable procurement"],"geography_discussed":["People's Republic of China","India","Japan","European Union","United States","South Korea","Sweden","United Arab Emirates"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["capacity assessment","technological roadmap analysis","financial risk assessment","policy review"]}]}