{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["simulation modelling"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'simulation modelling' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=simulation+modelling","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"iisd-003456","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-003456","title":"An Application of the Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) Methodology","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2020-06","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/savi-sardinia-italy-wetlands-en.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report demonstrates that the S’Ena Arrubia and Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni wetlands provide substantial economic value through ecosystem services and the support of local aquaculture, tourism, and agriculture. It finds that a 'continued degradation' scenario would lead to significant losses in labour income and ecosystem service value, while a circular business model for reusing livestock manure could generate net benefits of EUR 81.3 million for S’Ena Arrubia and EUR 124.2 million for Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni. The analysis argues that the cost of maintaining these wetlands is far lower than the cost of replacing their functions with built infrastructure.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The S’Ena Arrubia and Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni wetlands are projected to generate cumulative ecosystem services worth EUR 306 million between 2020 and 2060, with an additional EUR 171 million potentially captured if no further degradation occurs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Continued degradation of the wetlands is expected to cause significant losses in annual average labour income for the aquaculture industry, specifically 36% for S’Ena Arrubia and 48% for Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni over the next 40 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Replacing the ecosystem services of these two wetlands with built infrastructure would cost EUR 92 million between 2020 and 2060, which is significantly higher than the annual maintenance cost of approximately EUR 740,000.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Implementing a circular business model to reuse livestock manure for biogas, compost, and pellets would generate net benefits of EUR 81.3 million in S’Ena Arrubia and EUR 124.2 million in Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni after accounting for production facility costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The reuse of livestock manure as fertilizer would lead to avoided costs for farmers by replacing 50% of chemical fertilizers, saving nearly EUR 6 million for S’Ena Arrubia and EUR 14 million for Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a disparity between the economic value of ecosystem services provided by the wetlands and the direct payments farmers receive; in the Province of Arborea, farmers receive EUR 300–800/ha/year, while the services provided by S’Ena Arrubia and Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni were valued at EUR 120/ha/year and EUR 234/ha/year respectively in 2020.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Wetland quality is projected to decrease by approximately 60% for S’Ena Arrubia and 80% for Corru S’Ittiri-Marceddì-San Giovanni by 2060 under the continued degradation scenario, primarily driven by soil erosion and nitrogen concentration.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-003456#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["ecosystem service","nature-based solutions","carbon sequestration","circular economy","biogas","sustainable agriculture","aquaculture","coastal erosion","climate change adaptation"],"geography_discussed":["Province of Arborea","Switzerland","United Kingdom","Netherlands"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic valuation","scenario analysis","cost-benefit analysis","simulation modelling"]},{"id":"sei-000495","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-000495","title":"Stakeholder Agency and Charcoal in Kenya","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2020-02-11","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/publications/stakeholder-agency-charcoal-kenya/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study examines the sustainability of charcoal production in Kitui County, Kenya, to address the growing urban demand for fuel in East Africa. By employing stakeholder workshops, informant interviews, and agent-based modelling, the research integrates local perspectives and data to assess policy performance. The interdisciplinary methodology allowed for the analysis of micro-interactions, financial flows, biomass extraction, and issues related to agency and corruption.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000495#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The study utilized an interdisciplinary methodology that integrated policy research with simulation modelling, specifically incorporating local data and perspectives directly into the models.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000495#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The research methods enabled a critical examination of stakeholder behavior, specifically regarding corruption and agency, while allowing stakeholders to evaluate policy performance in terms of biomass extraction and financial flows.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000495#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":[],"geography_discussed":["East Africa"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","simulation modelling"]},{"id":"ruralele-000003","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ruralele-000003","title":"Reiner Lemoine Institut GmbH – The potential for hybrid PV systems (Africa)","publisher":{"name":"Alliance for Renewable Electrification","organization":"alliance-for-renewable-electrification"},"document_type":"case study","language":"en","date_published":"2016-04-02","source_url":"https://renewelec.org/case-study/reiner-lemoine-institut-gmbh-potential-hybrid-pv-systems-africa/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The Reiner Lemoine Institut (RLI) developed a methodology combining GIS-based data analysis and simulation models to evaluate the viability of hybrid power systems in Africa. The analysis indicates that integrating PV and battery storage into existing diesel grids can significantly lower production costs, outperforming diesel-only systems across nearly the entire continent. In most cases, renewables provide 35% to 40% of the energy, with higher shares in remote areas where fuel transportation costs are high.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ruralele-000003#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Hybridising diesel-based off-grid systems with PV and storage can significantly reduce power-generation costs for producers. Based on current world market diesel prices, these renewable-based hybrid systems are more economical than diesel-only systems across nearly the entire African continent.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ruralele-000003#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In the majority of hybrid systems, the combined share of PV and battery storage ranges from 35% to 40%. This percentage increases in very remote areas where the additional costs of transporting fuel are high.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ruralele-000003#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The RLI utilizes a methodology that integrates GIS-based data analysis with a simulation model to identify the most attractive areas for rural electrification and diesel substitution. The model uses site-specific parameters such as load demand, fuel transportation costs, and PV potential, alongside general cost parameters and diesel base prices.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ruralele-000003#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["battery energy storage system","rural electrification"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic potential assessment","simulation modelling"]}]}