{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["seasonal forecasting"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'seasonal forecasting' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":5,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=seasonal+forecasting","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"climcent-000215","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climcent-000215","title":"Warming U.S. Cities Face Higher Cooling Demand and Energy Bills","publisher":{"name":"Climate Central","organization":"climate-central"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"en","date_published":"2026-08","source_url":"https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings/july-2026","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"July 2026 was tied for the warmest July on record globally and was the all-time warmest July for the contiguous U.S. This extreme heat, driven by human-caused climate change and a strengthening El Niño, has led to a significant increase in cooling degree days—a proxy for energy demand—across most major U.S. cities. The report also details widespread drought affecting at least 70% of the contiguous U.S. and record-low sea-ice extents in both the Arctic and Antarctic.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"July 2026 tied with 2024 as the warmest July on record globally for combined land and ocean temperatures, with the Northern Hemisphere experiencing its warmest July on record.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The contiguous U.S. experienced its all-time warmest July on record in 2026, surpassing a previous record from 1936. The Southwest and West regions saw their warmest start to the year on record.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Cooling demand, measured in cooling degree days, has increased since 1970 in 97% of analyzed major U.S. cities. For the contiguous U.S., July 2026 tied for the sixth-highest count of cooling degree days on record.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"As of August 13, 2026, at least 70% of the contiguous U.S. faced abnormally dry or drought conditions, with 45 states reporting moderate or worse drought.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A strengthening El Niño is contributing to record temperatures, with a 69% chance of it becoming a record-breaking strong event. Global temperature anomalies are projected to peak around February 2027 at approximately 1.7°C above the 1850-1900 baseline.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Human-caused climate change is identified as a key driver of summertime warming trends in 91% of analyzed U.S. cities. In July 2026, 185 of 192 analyzed U.S. cities showed warming since 1970.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Other climate indicators for July 2026 include a carbon dioxide level of 429.1 ppm at Mauna Loa, and sea-ice extents that ranked sixth-lowest in the Arctic and fifth-lowest in the Antarctic.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000215#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["energy demand","air conditioning","drought","extreme heat","extreme event attribution","precipitation"],"geography_discussed":["Africa","Asia","North America","Salt Lake City","New York","Albany","Schodack","San Juan","Honolulu","West Palm Beach","Puerto Rico"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["climate monitoring","attribution analysis","seasonal forecasting"]},{"id":"climcent-000053","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climcent-000053","title":"Fastest-Warming U.S. States and Cities","publisher":{"name":"Climate Central","organization":"climate-central"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"en","date_published":"2026-04","source_url":"https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings/april-2026","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"April 2026 was the fourth-warmest month globally on record, with the contiguous U.S. experiencing its third-warmest April. The report highlights severe drought in the Southeast U.S., record-low Western snowpack, and a persistent marine heat wave off the coasts of California and Mexico. Using the Climate Shift Index (CSI), the analysis attributes springtime warming trends in 98% of analyzed U.S. cities to human-caused climate change, with exceptional warmth noted in Honolulu and San Juan. Forecasts indicate a high probability of a strong El Niño developing later in 2026, potentially driving global temperature anomalies above 1.8°C relative to pre-industrial levels by early 2027.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"April 2026 was the fourth-warmest month on record globally for combined land and ocean temperatures, and the contiguous U.S. experienced its third-warmest April on record.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Eight U.S. states recorded their warmest April on record: Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia. West Virginia's anomaly was particularly high, surpassing its 1896 record by 1.5°F and reaching 8.1°F above the twentieth-century average.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Severe drought is affecting the contiguous U.S., with at least 75% of the area experiencing abnormally dry or drought conditions as of May 7, 2026. The Southeast U.S. is seeing the largest extent of severe or worse drought on record since 2000.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Water storage in the Western U.S. snowpack reached a record low for April 1, with snow water equivalent remaining below 50% of the 1991-2020 median in most basins from Washington to New Mexico.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Analysis using the Climate Shift Index (CSI) indicates that human-caused climate change drove springtime warming trends in 98% of analyzed U.S. cities. Honolulu, Hawaii, and San Juan, Puerto Rico, experienced the most days with CSI 5, signifying exceptional climate-driven warmth.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A persistent marine heat wave off the coasts of California and Mexico continued in April, with 30% to 45% of the affected area experiencing conditions at least six times more likely due to human-caused climate change.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Global temperature forecasts project anomalies above 1.8°C relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline by early 2027, largely driven by the expected development of a strong El Niño in the tropical Pacific later in 2026.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Increased temperatures in the U.S. have led to record-high cooling degree days in the Northwest, South, Southwest, and West climate regions from January to April 2026, increasing energy demand for air conditioning.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000053#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","drought","marine heatwave","El Niño southern oscillation","carbon dioxide","energy demand","extreme event attribution","sea surface temperature"],"geography_discussed":["Hawaii","Alaska","West Virginia","California","Mexico","Puerto Rico","Canada","British Columbia","Peru","Chile"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["climate monitoring","attribution analysis","seasonal forecasting"]},{"id":"climcent-000054","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climcent-000054","title":"Record Snow Drought Limits Western Water Supplies","publisher":{"name":"Climate Central","organization":"climate-central"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"en","date_published":"2026-03","source_url":"https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings/march-2026","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"March 2026 was the warmest March on record for the contiguous U.S., characterized by a historic snow drought in the West and extreme heat that increased cooling energy demand. Globally, the month was the second-warmest on record, with Arctic sea-ice reaching a near-record low maximum. In the U.S., severe drought affected 77% of the contiguous region, while Hawaii experienced record-breaking precipitation due to Kona lows.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"March 2026 was the warmest March on record for the contiguous U.S., with an average temperature 9.4°F above the 20th-century average, marking the first time a monthly anomaly exceeded +9°F.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The western U.S. experienced a historic snow drought, with the amount of water stored in the snowpack reaching its lowest record for April 1. Snow water equivalent is below 50% of the 1991-2020 normal in most watershed basins from Oregon to New Mexico.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Widespread drought conditions affected at least 77% of the contiguous U.S. as of April 7, 2026. The period from January to March 2026 was the driest on record for the contiguous U.S., with some areas in Arizona, California, Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico, and Texas receiving less than 10% of their average precipitation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Human-caused climate change is identified as the primary driver of spring warming trends in 98% of 241 major U.S. cities from 1970 to 2025. In March 2026, 111 of 192 analyzed cities in the contiguous U.S. had at least one week of temperatures made at least twice as likely by human-caused climate change.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Hawaii experienced record-breaking precipitation in March 2026 due to Kona lows, with statewide precipitation averaging 22.27 inches, surpassing the previous 2006 record of 18.77 inches.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Global temperatures in March 2026 were the second-warmest on record for combined land and ocean, tied with 2024. Arctic sea-ice reached its 2026 maximum on March 15 at 5.52 million square miles, which was statistically tied for the lowest on record since 1978/1979.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Extreme March heat led to record cooling degree days in the Northwest, Southwest, and West U.S. regions. Arizona recorded 228 degree-days Fahrenheit in March 2026, nearly doubling its previous record of 116°Df from 2004.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000054#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["drought","precipitation","extreme event attribution","energy demand"],"geography_discussed":["Arctic","Antarctic","Hawaii","Alaska","Arizona","California","Colorado","New Mexico","Nevada","Puerto Rico"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["climate monitoring","attribution analysis","seasonal forecasting"]},{"id":"climcent-000096","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climcent-000096","title":"Climate Central’s Monthly Briefing Highlights from February 2026","publisher":{"name":"Climate Central","organization":"climate-central"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"en","date_published":"2026-02","source_url":"https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings/february-2026","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"February 2026 was the fifth-warmest month globally on record, with the contiguous U.S. experiencing its second-warmest winter in 132 years. A critical 'snow drought' affected the western U.S., where snow-covered areas in January were only 34% of normal, threatening water supplies for agriculture and energy. Climate Central's analysis indicates that human-driven climate change significantly influenced winter temperatures, particularly in the Southwest, and is the primary cause of spring warming in 98% of 241 examined U.S. cities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"February 2026 was the fifth-warmest month on record globally for combined land and ocean temperatures, with ocean areas specifically ranking as the second-warmest on record for that month.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The contiguous United States experienced its second-warmest winter on record for the period of December, January, and February 2025-2026, with nine states recording their warmest winter ever.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A historic snow drought occurred across the western United States, with January 2026 snow-covered areas reaching a record low of 34% of normal and snow cover duration by the end of February being 63% below normal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Water security in the western U.S. is threatened as snow water equivalent (SWE) is below 50% of the 1991-2020 normal in most watershed basins from Oregon to New Mexico, with record lows in Colorado and near-record lows in Arizona, New Mexico, Oregon, and Utah.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Human-driven climate change is identified as the primary cause of spring warming in 98% of 241 U.S. cities analyzed between 1970 and 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate Central's Climate Shift Index (CSI) analysis shows that more than one in six people globally experienced temperatures with a strong climate change influence every day from December 2025 to February 2026.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Forecasts suggest global temperatures will likely rise well above 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 preindustrial baseline by the end of 2026, potentially influenced by the development of El Niño conditions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000096#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["extreme event attribution","drought","water-supply management"],"geography_discussed":["Arizona","Colorado","New Mexico","Oregon","Utah","Puerto Rico","Colorado River Basin","Phoenix","Salt Lake City","Tucson"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["climate monitoring","attribution analysis","seasonal forecasting"]},{"id":"climcent-000201","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climcent-000201","title":"2025 Winter Package","publisher":{"name":"Climate Central","organization":"climate-central"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"en","date_published":"2025-10-01","source_url":"https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings/october-2025","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The October 2025 briefing reports that global temperatures remained exceptionally high, with the month ranking as the third warmest on record. In the U.S., warming fall temperatures have delayed the first freeze in 88% of analyzed cities, while significant drought persists across 67% of the contiguous U.S. despite localized heavy rainfall in Southern California.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000201#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"October 2025 was the third warmest October globally on record, following 2023 and 2024. Both the Arctic and Antarctic Circles set new October record high temperatures, with some areas exceeding the 1991-2020 baseline by more than 7°C.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000201#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Global temperatures in 2025 have remained consistently high, with every month through October ranking among the top three warmest on record. The last 12 months were approximately 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000201#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In the United States, warming temperatures in September, October, and November have led to a delayed first freeze in 88% of the cities analyzed by Climate Central since 1970. Additionally, winters in 239 U.S. cities have warmed by an average of 3.9°F since 1970.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000201#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"As of early November, more than 67% of the contiguous U.S. is experiencing abnormally dry conditions, with over 44% in at least moderate drought. While conditions improved in the Ohio Valley, they worsened in Texas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000201#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"La Niña-like conditions are present in the central Pacific Ocean, though 21st-century La Niña years are now warmer than El Niño years from a few decades ago due to human-caused warming.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climcent-000201#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","sea surface temperature","La Niña","drought","extreme event attribution"],"geography_discussed":["Arctic","Antarctic","Minnesota","Texas","Fairbanks","Southern California","Los Angeles","Phoenix"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["climate monitoring","attribution analysis","seasonal forecasting"]}]}