{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["scenario simulation"]},"warnings":[]},"total":{"value":10,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=scenario+simulation","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"issafri-000013","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/issafri-000013","title":"DR Congo","publisher":{"name":"Institute for Security Studies","organization":"institute-for-security-studies"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05-31","source_url":"https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/countries/dr-congo/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report examines the Democratic Republic of the Congo's current development path and simulates eight sectoral scenarios to identify pathways toward inclusive growth by 2043. It highlights the country's extreme poverty and dependence on commodity exports, while projecting that a combined policy push across manufacturing, governance, and agriculture could significantly increase GDP and reduce poverty.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"DR Congo is characterized by extreme poverty and high population growth; in 2022, approximately 72.3% of the population (71.8 million people) lived on less than US$2.15 a day, and the country had an annual population increase of 3.2%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, specifically minerals and hydrocarbons, making it vulnerable to global price shocks. The hydrocarbon sector has averaged around 42% of GDP over the last 15 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"DR Congo possesses immense untapped agricultural potential with 80 million hectares of arable land, yet only 10% is currently cultivated, leaving the country as a net food importer.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Energy access is critically low and unevenly distributed, with only 21.2% of the population having electricity access in 2022, and rural access at only 1%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Governance is a major constraint to development, with the country's governance effectiveness index being 28.5% below the average for low-income African countries in 2022, exacerbated by endemic corruption in the extractive sector.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The informal sector is a significant economic feature and constraint, accounting for approximately 41.8% of GDP in 2022 and 88.6% of total employment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Under a 'Combined scenario' involving all eight sectoral interventions, DR Congo's GDP could grow to US$449.8 billion by 2043, compared to US$259.8 billion on the 'Current Path' forecast.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Manufacturing scenario is projected to have the most significant positive impact on GDP per capita and the reduction of extreme poverty by 2043.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) could shift DR Congo from a structural trade deficit to a trade surplus between 2029 and 2035, driven by the materials sector.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report identifies a massive hydroelectric potential of 100 GW (13% of the world's total), but only a small fraction is exploited due to inefficiency and lack of maintenance at the Inga I and II dams.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000013#insight-10","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["hydroelectricity","solar energy","wind power","energy transition","carbon dioxide emissions","deforestation","biomass","mining","agriculture","governance","infrastructure","industrial manufacturing"],"geography_discussed":["Africa","Kinshasa","Brazil"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["socio-economic analysis","scenario simulation","development forecasting"]},{"id":"issafri-000153","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/issafri-000153","title":"DR Congo: Conclusion","publisher":{"name":"Institute for Security Studies","organization":"institute-for-security-studies"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05-31","source_url":"https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=CD&topic=05-conclusion","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report identifies chronic poverty, political instability, and ineffective governance as primary barriers to development in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. It warns that the country is on a 'Current Path' that will fail to meet most 2030 SDG targets. To reverse this, the document recommends targeted investments in climate-resilient agricultural infrastructure, renewable energy for electricity supply, economic diversification through downstream beneficiation, and the strengthening of governance institutions to manage natural wealth and combat corruption.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000153#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The Democratic Republic of the Congo is currently facing severe development obstacles, including chronic poverty, underdevelopment, and political instability. The 'Current Path' analysis indicates the country will likely fail to meet most 2030 SDG targets, following a failure to achieve any MDGs by 2015.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000153#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Key systemic factors hindering progress include a lack of industrialisation, infrastructure shortages, low agricultural productivity, limited export diversification, and poor quality of human capital.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000153#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To improve food security and agricultural productivity, the report recommends investing in productivity-enhancing technologies, drought-resistant seedlings, and climate-resilient infrastructure, such as rural roads and solar power for irrigation and cooling.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000153#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Addressing the infrastructure deficit is critical for private sector growth; the report suggests utilizing renewable energy for mini-grid and off-grid electricity solutions and rehabilitating existing assets, including the Congo River.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000153#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Improving governance is central to harnessing natural wealth and increasing domestic revenue. Recommendations include publishing all new mining contracts and audits of state-owned enterprises, ensuring parliamentary access to security agency spending, and confirming judicial independence to fight corruption.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000153#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","solar energy","renewable energy"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy recommendations","scenario simulation","development assessment"]},{"id":"sei-001918","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-001918","title":"New WEAP PlugIn calculates water stress, disaggregated by sub-basin","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"en","date_published":"2023-12","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/sei2023.062-weap-plugin-water-stress-corrected.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The Stockholm Environment Institute and the FAO have developed a WEAP PlugIn that allows for the calculation of water stress at the sub-basin level rather than just on a country-wide basis. By disaggregating data, water resource managers can better visualize spatial variations in water stress and test the impact of different management strategies, such as reducing canal losses or accounting for population growth. The tool uses the Flow Duration Curve (FDC) Shift method to incorporate environmental flow requirements into its calculations. The briefing demonstrates the tool's application using the Senegal River basin and lists recommendations for its implementation in other basins.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"A new PlugIn for the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) software, developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), enables the calculation of water stress by catchment area to provide detailed insights at the sub-basin level.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The tool calculates water stress based on SDG Indicator 6.4.2, which compares total freshwater withdrawals (TFWW) against total renewable freshwater resources (TRWR) after subtracting environmental flow requirements (EFR).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To standardize calculations where minimum environmental flows are not established, the PlugIn utilizes the Flow Duration Curve (FDC) Shift method, which adjusts requirements based on the ecological management class of the river.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Application of the tool to the Senegal River basin demonstrates that water stress varies significantly by sub-basin; for example, in 2021, water stress was below 10% in the upstream Bakoye, Kolombine, Faleme and Karakoro basins, but exceeded 70% in the lower portions of the Senegal River below Bakel.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Simulations in the Senegal River basin indicate that reducing canal losses from an average of 35% to 15% leads to a clear decrease in water stress.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The tool can project the impact of future uncertainties; for the Senegal River basin, a high population growth scenario (4% per year) is projected to increase water stress and decrease water demand satisfaction, particularly for Dakar.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Based on testing in Algeria, Rwanda, and the Senegal River basin, the developers recommend that models for disaggregated water stress should cover entire basins, include all significant external water supplies and demands, and avoid selecting small catchments unless they are major freshwater sources.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-001918#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["water management","water scarcity","climate change"],"geography_discussed":["Senegal River basin","Senegal","Mauritania","Mali","Guinea","Dakar","Algeria","Rwanda"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["tool description","case study","scenario simulation"]},{"id":"issafri-000239","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/issafri-000239","title":"Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040","publisher":{"name":"Institute for Security Studies","organization":"institute-for-security-studies"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2023-06-08","source_url":"https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=13-combined","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report simulates the 'Algerian Dream' scenario for Algeria by 2040, projecting significant economic growth, reduced poverty, and improved food security compared to a 'Current Path'. Key outcomes include a larger economy, lower import dependence for food, and a reduced informal sector driven by diversification away from hydrocarbons and improved governance.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000239#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Under the 'Algerian Dream' scenario, Algeria's economy is projected to be €103.2 billion larger by 2040 than under the 'Current Path', with per capita income increasing by nearly 18.5%, making citizens approximately US$2,652 wealthier.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000239#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The scenario predicts a substantial improvement in food security, with import dependence as a percentage of net demand falling to roughly 27.4% by 2040, a reduction of over 17 percentage points relative to the Current Path.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000239#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Extreme poverty is expected to decline significantly by 2040, with the poverty rate dropping to 0.08% of the population compared to 1% in the Current Path, representing over 500,000 fewer people living in poverty.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000239#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The scenario projects a reduction in inequality and the size of the informal economy; the Gini coefficient index improves by 12.6% (from 0.246 to 0.215), and the informal sector's share of GDP drops to approximately 8.5% from over 16.5%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000239#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The formalization of the economy and the expansion of the revenue base are attributed to greater economic freedom, good governance, and a strategy of diversifying the economy away from hydrocarbons.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000239#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["economic diversity","food security","agricultural productivity","governance","poverty reduction"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["scenario simulation","socio-economic forecasting"]},{"id":"issafri-000142","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/issafri-000142","title":"DEVELOPMENT PATHWAYS FOR THE DRC TO 2050","publisher":{"name":"Institute for Security Studies","organization":"institute-for-security-studies"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2022-06-24","source_url":"https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/drc&topic=12-conclusion","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report identifies systemic corruption, poor governance, and a reliance on volatile commodity markets as primary barriers to development in the DR Congo. It argues that a minerals-led growth model is unsustainable and recommends a transition toward economic diversification, focusing on agricultural productivity, infrastructure development, and human capital investment. Key policy priorities include strengthening the judiciary, publishing mining contracts, and improving female education to manage rapid population growth.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000142#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The DR Congo's history is marked by economic and political instability and conflict, primarily driven by weak institutions, systemic corruption, and poor governance. This has led to widespread poverty, with the current GDP per capita being only 40% of its 1960 independence value.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000142#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A development strategy based solely on the mining sector is considered unsustainable due to global commodity market volatility. The report argues that the country must diversify its growth sources, specifically targeting the agricultural sector and manufacturing through foreign direct investment (FDI) to achieve structural economic transformation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000142#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To harness natural wealth and improve living standards, the government must prioritize good governance and institutional strength. Specific recommendations include publishing all new mining contracts, auditing state-owned enterprises, providing Parliament with full access to security agency spending, and ensuring judicial independence.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000142#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Critical infrastructure and human capital deficits hinder progress. The report suggests the full re-opening of the Congo River, expanding ICT infrastructure, and improving the quality of education—specifically in sciences and engineering—alongside the rollout of free primary education.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000142#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Rapid population growth is identified as a constraint to economic development. The report recommends policies to improve female education and increase the use of modern family-planning methods to mitigate this growth.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000142#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To ensure food security and combat malnutrition, the government needs to increase cultivated land and invest in agricultural technologies that make production more resilient to climate shocks, while rehabilitating rural road networks.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000142#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["economic diversity","natural resource management","agricultural productivity","food security","governance","mining industry"],"geography_discussed":["Norway","Canada","Australia","People's Republic of China"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["scenario simulation","policy analysis"]},{"id":"iisd-002032","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-002032","title":"Évaluation des actifs durables (SAVi) du parc éolien de Taïba N’Diaye au Sénégal","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"report","language":"fr","date_published":"2019-06","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/savi-senegal-ndiaye-wind-farm-fr.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report evaluates the Taïba N’Diaye wind farm in Senegal, comparing it to coal and heavy fuel oil (HFO) power generation. Using the SAVi methodology, it finds that while coal appears cheaper in conventional financial analyses, the wind farm is the most beneficial option when accounting for climate risks and external effects. The wind farm minimizes environmental impacts, maximizes socio-economic benefits such as job creation, and achieves a lower integrated Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) than the fossil fuel alternatives.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The Taïba N’Diaye wind farm is designed to inject 158.7 MW of electricity into the Senegalese grid using 48 turbines installed on 49.5 hectares of former agricultural land in the Thiès region.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Conventional cost-benefit analysis (Scenario 0) suggests coal is the cheapest option with an LCOE of 33,452 francs CFA/MWh, compared to 43,337 francs CFA/MWh for wind and 145,659 francs CFA/MWh for heavy fuel oil (HFO).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"When integrating climate risks and external effects (Scenario 2), the wind farm becomes the most affordable option with an LCOE of 43,266 francs CFA/MWh, while coal's LCOE rises to 52,998 francs CFA/MWh due to negative externalities like the social cost of carbon.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The wind farm generates significantly more employment than fossil fuel alternatives, providing at least 66 full-time equivalent (FTE) jobs per year, compared to 15 for HFO and 11 for coal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Choosing the wind farm over HFO or coal could avoid the emission of 2.1 to 6 million tonnes of CO2eq between 2019 and 2042.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In a holistic financial analysis (Scenario 2), the wind farm's Net Present Value (NPV) of 157.38 million USD surpasses that of coal (129.64 million USD), making it the more attractive sustainable investment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Heavy fuel oil (HFO) is deemed financially non-viable across all scenarios, with a life-cycle NPV of approximately -1 billion USD due to high fuel costs and combustion inefficiency.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"External effects for coal and HFO are two to three times higher than those for wind, with the social cost of carbon being a primary driver of these costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002032#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal power","carbon tax","climate risk","job creation","land use","greenhouse gas emissions"],"geography_discussed":["Tivaouane"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["cost-benefit analysis","financial analysis","scenario simulation","system dynamics"]},{"id":"iisd-002005","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-002005","title":"Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) of the Contournement de Rabat, Morocco: A focus on road infrastructure","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2019-03","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/savi-contournement-morocco-en.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report evaluates the 41.1 km Rabat bypass road project using the SAVi tool, simulating six risk scenarios and four externalities. It finds that the project is not financially viable based on its own revenues across all scenarios, with negative net present value and insufficient internal rate of return. However, the inclusion of externalities—specifically the value of time saved and the cost of accidents—significantly improves key financial indicators, demonstrating that traditional financial analyses underestimate the project's broader socio-economic value and the risks associated with reduced maintenance or climate change.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002005#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The Rabat bypass project is not financially viable when relying solely on its own revenues under any of the six risk scenarios modelled, exhibiting negative net present value (NPV), an insufficient internal rate of return (IRR), and credit ratios below lender requirements.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002005#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Externalities have a material financial impact on the project, with their value reaching between 13 per cent and 19 per cent of capital and operating and management (O&M) costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002005#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The value of time saved and the cost of accidents are the most significant externalities. For example, the cumulative cost of accidents is highest in the 'Reduced Maintenance Expenditure' scenario (EUR 236 million) and the 'Increase in Heavy Vehicle Traffic' scenario (EUR 226.8 million).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002005#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Reducing maintenance expenditure leads to higher overall costs when externalities are considered; the economic and social costs of increased accidents are significantly higher than the savings from lower maintenance spending.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002005#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate change causes cumulative negative effects on the project's financial indicators, as demonstrated in Scenario 6, where 2 km of road is damaged every 10 years, leading to additional operational CAPEX of EUR 7.3 million and decreased value of time saved.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002005#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Conventional economic assessments underestimate risks; while the baseline scenario appears balanced in a conventional CBA, it barely breaks even when the full cost of accidents is included, and other risk scenarios show negative results relative to the baseline.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002005#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","project finance"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["integrated cost-benefit analysis","financial viability analysis","scenario simulation"]},{"id":"iisd-002020","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-002020","title":"An Application of the Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) Methodology to Pelly's Lake and Stephenfield Reservoir, Manitoba, Canada","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/savi-pellys-lake-stephenfield-canada-brochure-en.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The SAVi assessment demonstrates that natural and nature-based infrastructure in Manitoba provide high economic value and cost-effective alternatives to built assets. For Stephenfield Reservoir, the cumulative discounted value of agriculture-related services is CAD 6.07 billion by 2050, while replacing it with grey infrastructure would require CAD 5.3 million in capital costs. Pelly's Lake provides cumulative discounted ecosystem services valued at approximately CAD 60 million between 2019 and 2050, primarily driven by nutrient removal and carbon sequestration.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002020#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Stephenfield Reservoir provides highly cost-effective irrigation and water storage services, with a cumulative discounted value of CAD 6.07 billion by 2050 against operating and management costs of CAD 256,000.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002020#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Replacing Stephenfield Reservoir with grey infrastructure would be significantly more expensive, requiring CAD 5.3 million in capital costs and approximately CAD 300,000 in annual maintenance, compared to the current reservoir maintenance cost of CAD 256,000.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002020#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Pelly's Lake provides ecosystem and infrastructure services with a cumulative discounted valuation of approximately CAD 60 million from 2019 to 2050, with the highest values attributed to nutrient removal and carbon sequestration.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002020#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Under climate change scenarios, the value of flood protection provided by Pelly's Lake increases significantly, with the discounted value rising by 43.22% compared to the baseline.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002020#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["ecosystem service","carbon sequestration","climate change adaptation","green infrastructure","agricultural irrigation"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic valuation","comparative analysis","scenario simulation"]},{"id":"iisd-002024","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-002024","title":"Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) of Senegal’s Saloum Delta","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2020-08/savi-saloum-delta-senegal-brochure.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report applies the SAVi simulation service to the Saloum Delta in Senegal, quantifying the monetary value of its wetlands and mangroves. It assesses the economic trade-offs between business-as-usual trends, infrastructure development (roads and oil extraction), and conservation efforts (organic agriculture, mangrove reforestation, and solar cookstoves). The analysis provides a baseline for policy-makers and investors to design conservation finance solutions and sustainable development strategies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002024#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The economic value of the Saloum Delta's ecosystem services is estimated at CFA 964 billion (EUR 1.5 billion) over 10 years, increasing to CFA 3,589 billion (EUR 5.4 billion) over 40 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002024#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Labour income directly generated from the Delta's ecosystem is valued at CFA 1,973 billion (EUR 3 billion) over 10 years, rising to CFA 9,729 billion (EUR 14.8 billion) over 40 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002024#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Simulations indicate that under prevailing trends, the quality of the wetland will decrease over time if no action is taken, though organic agriculture and mangrove reforestation can reduce this overall degradation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002024#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Oil extraction is projected to generate significant revenues but causes a high negative impact on ecosystem services, with a simulated loss of value for these services totaling CFA 297,112 million.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002024#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Mangrove reforestation of 1,000 hectares per year over 10 years is estimated to increase the performance of ecosystem services by more than CFA 257,000 million (EUR 391 million).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002024#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The adoption of solar-powered cookstoves by 30% of households by 2030 is identified as highly effective for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, with an avoided social cost of carbon exceeding CFA 33,000 million (EUR 50 million).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002024#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["ecosystem service","climate change","coastal erosion","carbon sequestration","greenhouse gas emissions","organic agriculture","carbon offset"],"geography_discussed":["Fatick"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic valuation","cost-benefit analysis","scenario simulation"]},{"id":"iisd-002029","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-002029","title":"Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) Assessment of the N’Diaye Wind Farm, Senegal","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/savi-senegal-ndiaye-wind-farm-brochure-en.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The SAVi assessment of the N’Diaye wind farm in Senegal demonstrates that while coal-fired power may appear more financially attractive under traditional business-as-usual scenarios, the wind farm provides superior societal value and lower costs when climate risks and externalities are integrated. The wind project is estimated to generate 158.7 MW of electricity and create significantly more employment (66 FTE/year) with substantially lower life cycle emissions (0.1 million tonnes of CO2) compared to coal (6.1 million tonnes) and HFO (2.2 million tonnes). When accounting for climate risks and externalities, the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for the wind farm is CFA 43,266 per MWh, making it more affordable than coal (CFA 52,998 per MWh) and HFO (CFA 155,728 per MWh).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002029#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The N’Diaye wind farm project, which will generate 158.7 MW of electricity, creates more employment and produces fewer life cycle emissions than fossil fuel alternatives. It generates 66 full-time equivalent (FTE) jobs per year and 0.1 million tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions, whereas HFO-fired generation produces 15 FTE jobs and 2.2 million tonnes of emissions, and coal produces 11 FTE jobs and 6.1 million tonnes of emissions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002029#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"When integrating climate risks and externalities, the wind farm's levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is lower than both coal and HFO options. The wind farm's LCOE is CFA 43,266 per MWh (USD 74 per MWh), while coal increases to CFA 52,998 per MWh (USD 91 per MWh) and HFO is the least attractive at CFA 155,728 per MWh (USD 267 per MWh).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002029#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Traditional financial assessments (Scenario 0) favor coal-fired generation due to lower capital expenditures, resulting in a higher internal rate of return (IRR) of 23.53% compared to 12.17% for the wind farm. However, when climate risks and externalities are included (Scenario 2), the net present value (NPV) of the wind farm project outperforms coal-fired generation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002029#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The social cost of carbon is identified as a primary driver of the increased LCOE for coal-fired electricity generation, having a larger impact than other climate risks.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002029#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["coal-fired power station","carbon tax","climate risk","green infrastructure","project finance"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["cost-benefit analysis","scenario simulation","comparative analysis"]}]}