{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["public health impact analysis"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'public health impact analysis' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=public+health+impact+analysis","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"eninnova-000167","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/eninnova-000167","title":"UPDATED INFLATION REDUCTION ACT MODELING USING THE ENERGY POLICY SIMULATOR","publisher":{"name":"Energy Innovation","organization":"energy-innovation"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2022-08-23","source_url":"https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/Updated-Inflation-Reduction-Act-Modeling-Using-the-Energy-Policy-Simulator.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is projected to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 37% to 43% below 2005 levels by 2030, significantly closing the gap toward the U.S. Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC). While oil and gas leasing provisions may increase global emissions by 17 to 29 MMT CO2e, these are heavily offset by other IRA provisions. The legislation is expected to create up to 1.3 million jobs, prevent up to 4,500 premature deaths from air pollution, and increase U.S. GDP by 0.65% to 0.77% by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The IRA is projected to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 37% to 43% below 2005 levels by 2030, compared to a 25% reduction under a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The IRA is estimated to close between 49% and 71% of the emissions gap between the BAU scenario and the U.S. NDC goal of 50% to 52% below 2005 levels by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The share of clean electricity generation in the U.S. is projected to increase from 49% in the BAU scenario to between 72% and 85% by 2030 under IRA scenarios, with cumulative solar and wind capacity reaching 795 GW to 1,053 GW.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Oil and gas leasing provisions in the IRA could increase global emissions by 17 to 29 MMT CO2e by 2030, but these are offset by other provisions at a ratio of at least 28 tons of avoided emissions for every one ton generated by leasing.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Methane Emissions Reduction Program (MERP) is projected to reduce emissions by 29 MMT CO2e by 2030, though its impact is limited because only 39% of emitters are covered by the program's reporting thresholds.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The IRA is expected to provide significant public health benefits by 2030, including avoiding 2,900 to 4,500 premature deaths and 76,000 to 119,000 asthma attacks annually.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The legislation could create between 1.2 million and 1.3 million net new jobs by 2030, primarily in the service, manufacturing, trade, and construction sectors.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The IRA is projected to increase U.S. GDP by 0.65% to 0.77% in 2030 and result in annual household energy savings of $79 to $80 per year by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Industrial carbon capture potential is projected to increase by 17 to 19 MMT by 2030 relative to 77 MMT under BAU, with growth concentrated in natural gas processing and the chemicals and refining industries.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"eninnova-000167#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["greenhouse gas emissions","renewable electricity","solar energy","wind power","electric vehicle","methane emissions","energy efficiency","nuclear power","climate finance","environmental justice","public health","job creation"],"geography_discussed":["World","North America"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy impact modeling","economic assessment","public health impact analysis"]},{"id":"ucs-000901","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ucs-000901","title":"New York Clean Trucks Program","publisher":{"name":"Union of Concerned Scientists","organization":"union-of-concerned-scientists"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2021","source_url":"https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-12/ny-clean-trucks-report.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report analyzes the transition of New York's medium- and heavy-duty (M/HD) vehicle fleet to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) under three scenarios: the Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Rule, the ACT Rule plus the NOx Omnibus Rule, and a highly ambitious '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario. The findings indicate that while ZEVs have higher initial purchase costs, they achieve lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030. The most aggressive scenario is projected to generate over $36 billion in cumulative net societal benefits by 2050, including significant reductions in premature deaths and greenhouse gas emissions. The transition is expected to have positive macroeconomic effects on the U.S., including net job gains and GDP growth, while potentially lowering electricity rates for New York residents and businesses due to increased utility net revenue.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario, which aims for virtually all new trucks to be ZEVs by 2040 and a nearly carbon-free grid by 2050, results in the highest cumulative net societal benefits, exceeding $36 billion through 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Adopting the ACT Rule alone is projected to provide cumulative net societal benefits of over $19 billion by 2050, including the avoidance of 237 premature deaths and 231 hospital visits.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Zero-emission medium- and heavy-duty vehicles are projected to reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030, as falling purchase costs are offset by fuel and maintenance savings.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The transition to ZEVs is expected to produce positive national macroeconomic effects; under the most aggressive scenario, net national job gains are projected at 2,940 in 2035 and 1,051 in 2040, with new jobs paying more than twice the average wage of replaced jobs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Increased electricity sales for M/HD EV charging could lower distribution rates for New York customers; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, this could reduce average residential and commercial rates by up to 2.5% by 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario is projected to reduce annual fleet NOx and PM emissions by 96% and 84% respectively compared to the baseline by 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Significant infrastructure investment is required to support the transition; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, annual fleet investments in depot charging would average $133 million and public charging investments would average $102 million between 2025 and 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000901#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["zero-emissions vehicle","greenhouse gas emissions","particulates","electric vehicle charging network","sustainable energy","climate finance","economic development"],"geography_discussed":["United States","California"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["economic impact analysis","environmental impact assessment","public health impact analysis","policy scenario modeling"]},{"id":"ciel-000916","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ciel-000916","title":"ХУВАНЦАР БА ЭРҮҮЛ МЭНД","publisher":{"name":"Center for International Environmental Law","organization":"center-for-international-environmental-law"},"document_type":"report","language":"ru","date_published":"2019-02","source_url":"https://www.ciel.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Хуванцар-ба-Эрүүл-мэнд-15.08.2024.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report details how plastic pollution constitutes a global public health crisis, affecting humans at every stage of the plastic life cycle. It examines the toxic emissions from fracking and petrochemical refining, the leaching of endocrine disruptors from packaging, and the health risks associated with microplastics and incineration. The document emphasizes that current fragmented regulatory approaches are insufficient and calls for a global reduction in plastic production to protect human rights and health.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Plastic production relies almost entirely on fossil fuels, with over 99% derived from them. The extraction process, particularly hydraulic fracturing (fracking), releases over 170 chemicals known to cause cancer, impair neurological systems, and disrupt reproductive development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Communities living near petrochemical plants, termed 'fenceline communities', face disproportionate risks. In Houston's Manchester/Harrisburg neighborhood, 97% of residents are people of color, and cancer is the second leading cause of death, with high rates of lung and esophageal cancers.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Plastic products leach hundreds of toxic chemicals, including bisphenol A (BPA) and phthalates, into food and water. These substances act as endocrine disruptors, linked to obesity, diabetes, and reproductive issues.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Microplastics have been detected in human stool, drinking water (both tap and bottled), and various food sources. Bottled water often contains higher concentrations of microplastics than tap water, with some brands showing significantly higher densities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The incineration of plastic waste, including 'waste-to-energy' and pyrolysis, releases hazardous pollutants such as dioxins, furans, and heavy metals (mercury, lead, cadmium) into the air, soil, and water.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Agricultural soils are heavily contaminated with microplastics, often through the use of sewage sludge as fertilizer. These plastics can persist in the soil for over 100 years and may transfer toxic additives like PBDEs into the food chain via organisms like earthworms.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report argues that current fragmented efforts to solve plastic pollution are insufficient because they do not address the entire life cycle. A global, coordinated approach to reduce overall plastic production and consumption is required.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ciel-000916#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["plastic pollution","petrochemical product","hydraulic fracturing","incineration","environmental justice","circular economy","air pollution","water pollution"],"geography_discussed":["Texas","Pennsylvania","People's Republic of China","European Union"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["life cycle assessment","public health impact analysis","environmental risk assessment"]}]}