{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["negative binomial regression"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'negative binomial regression' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":3,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=negative+binomial+regression","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"prio-001377","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/prio-001377","title":"Famine Mortality, Rational Political Inactivity, and International Food Aid","publisher":{"name":"Peace Research Institute Oslo","organization":"peace-research-institute-oslo"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2008-05","source_url":"https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/1e524d78-350f-47f3-a29e-77093f23ba52/Famine Mortality Rational Political Inactivity and International Food Aid.pdf?inline=true","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The authors argue that famine mortality is a result of a political support maximization calculus where governments weigh the costs of action against the costs of inaction. While democracies generally have lower famine mortality than autocracies, the study finds that both regime types can experience famine deaths. The research demonstrates that international food aid is most effective at reducing mortality when a large share of the population is affected, and that democratic governments respond more elastically to this combination than autocratic ones, which are more likely to divert aid to a small elite.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Governmental inaction during a famine can be a rational outcome of a political support maximization calculus, occurring when the political costs of taking action exceed the costs of remaining inactive.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Contrary to Amartya Sen's claim that functioning multiparty democracies prevent substantial famine mortality, the authors argue that famine mortality is possible in democracies, although it is likely to be lower than in autocracies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Democratic governments are more likely to implement policies that benefit all affected people, whereas autocratic governments tend to use targeted transfers to protect a small elite, leaving the broader population vulnerable.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"International food aid reduces the political trade-off for governments by allowing them to gain support from affected populations without incurring immediate economic costs for unaffected citizens.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Autocratic regimes are more prone to misusing international food aid, often diverting it to the military or government officials or selling it on black markets for the benefit of the elite.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Empirical analysis of 130 developing countries from 1972 to 2000 shows that the life-saving effect of international food aid is stronger when a larger share of the total population is affected by the famine.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Democratic governments respond more elastically to the simultaneous availability of international food aid and a high proportion of affected citizens compared to autocratic governments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The study identifies that civil wars tend to increase famine mortality, while higher per capita income and higher population density significantly reduce the number of famine deaths.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001377#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["food security","developing country"],"geography_discussed":["India","Sudan","North Korea","Bihar"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["political theory","cross-national time-series analysis","negative binomial regression","Monte Carlo study"]},{"id":"prio-001287","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/prio-001287","title":"Climate change, natural disasters and post-disaster unrest in India","publisher":{"name":"Peace Research Institute Oslo","organization":"peace-research-institute-oslo"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/5d79953d-09a1-4f7c-a1c6-c08d93f88da8/Climate Change Natural Disasters and Post-Disaster Unrest in India.pdf?inline=true","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study finds that climate-related natural disasters in India have a conditional and generally weak relationship with violent conflict. While disasters can increase the risk of politically motivated violence in areas with low literacy (low development), they are associated with an increased risk of riots in areas with higher literacy. However, the author concludes that these statistical relations are not substantively large enough to suggest that post-disaster violence is a major problem in India, as the direct damages from disasters likely dwarf the damages from ensuing unrest.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Climate-related natural disasters can increase the risk of riots and politically motivated violence, but this effect is conditioned by the level of development, proxied by literacy rates.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"For riots, the risk increases as the level of development (literacy) increases, contradicting the hypothesis that violence is highest at low levels of development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"For politically motivated violence, the risk is highest in populations with low literacy levels and decreases as development increases.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Among different types of disasters, floods show a stronger link to the occurrence of riots than other climate-related events.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Storms have a positive and statistically significant relationship with politically motivated violence, though the practical impact on the frequency of events is small.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The overall statistical significance of the findings does not translate into substantively large changes in predicted violence rates.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The author argues that the direct human and property damages caused by natural disasters in India are likely far greater than the damages caused by any subsequent post-disaster unrest.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The study observes a real increase in climate-related disasters in India over the analyzed period, while geological disasters remained stable, suggesting the increase is not merely due to better reporting.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001287#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","natural disaster","flood","drought","landslide","wildfire"],"geography_discussed":["Australia","Bangladesh","Indonesia","Sri Lanka","Pakistan","Nepal"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["quantitative","multivariate analysis","negative binomial regression"]},{"id":"prio-001410","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/prio-001410","title":"Gender Gap or Gender Bias in Peace Research?","publisher":{"name":"Peace Research Institute Oslo","organization":"peace-research-institute-oslo"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/8d21b889-e6d6-42c8-98ac-7bba12514af3/Gender Gap or Gender Bias in Peace Research Publication Patterns for Journal of Peace Research 1983-2008.pdf?inline=true","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study analyzes data from the Journal of Peace Research (JPR) from 1983 to 2008 to examine the gender gap in academic publishing. While the authors find a clear but declining gender gap in the number of submissions and published articles, they find no evidence of significant gender bias in the acceptance process or in citation counts. The results suggest that the observed productivity gap is not driven by editorial bias, and that co-authorship positively influences both publication success and citation impact regardless of gender.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001410#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"There is a significant gender gap in the authorship of the Journal of Peace Research, though it has decreased over time. Female authorship rose from below 10% in the 1980s to approximately 20% in the 1990s, and was approaching 40% by 2008.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001410#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The gender gap in publications appears to mirror a similar gap in submissions, suggesting that the disparity is a reflection of the broader profession rather than editorial bias.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001410#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The study found no evidence that the transition from a single-blind to a double-blind review policy significantly altered the submission-acceptance ratio for women.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001410#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Articles with at least one female author are slightly more likely to be published than those with only male authors, but this is largely attributed to the positive effect of co-authorship rather than gender itself.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001410#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Gender is not a significant determinant of citation rates for articles published in the journal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001410#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Co-authorship and specific article types have a stronger influence on citations than author gender; specifically, co-authored articles and 'Special Data Features' receive significantly more citations.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001410#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":[],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["quantitative analysis","logistic regression","negative binomial regression"]}]}