{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["multinomial logit regression"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'multinomial logit regression' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=multinomial+logit+regression","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"prio-001838","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/prio-001838","title":"Understanding strategic choice: The determinants of civil war and non-violent campaign in self-determination disputes","publisher":{"name":"Peace Research Institute Oslo","organization":"peace-research-institute-oslo"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/6dec6e77-338e-4429-91ac-9f2282d47bf0/Understanding strategic choice The determinants of civil war and nonviolent campaign in self-determination disputes.pdf?inline=true","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The research examines why self-determination groups adopt different strategies to achieve greater self-rule. By analyzing 146 groups across 77 states from 1960 to 2005, the author finds that while some factors like economic discrimination and independence demands increase the likelihood of both non-violent and violent irregular politics, others—such as group size and internal fragmentation—differentially drive groups toward either civil war or non-violent campaigns.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Civil war is more likely than conventional politics when self-determination groups are larger, internally fragmented, have kin in adjoining states, are excluded from political power, face economic discrimination, demand independence, and operate in states with lower economic development.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Non-violent campaigns are more likely than conventional politics when groups are smaller, less geographically concentrated, excluded from political power, face economic discrimination, demand independence, and operate in non-democracies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Democracy reduces the likelihood of non-violent campaigns relative to conventional politics, suggesting that democratic states provide more efficient institutional channels for groups to pursue their agendas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Demands for total independence make both civil war and non-violent campaigns more likely than conventional politics, as independence is rarely achieved through institutional means.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Economic discrimination significantly increases the probability of both non-violent campaigns and civil war compared to relying on conventional politics.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Internal fragmentation within a self-determination group increases the likelihood of civil war due to credibility problems in bargaining with the state, but it does not have a statistically significant effect on the likelihood of non-violent campaigns.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The presence of kin in an adjoining state increases the likelihood of civil war but has no significant effect on the likelihood of non-violent campaigns.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"prio-001838#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":[],"geography_discussed":["Russia","Ethiopia","People's Republic of China","India","Yugoslavia","Indonesia","Israel","United Kingdom","Turkey"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["empirical analysis","multinomial logit regression","comparative study"]}]}