{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["modeling study"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'modeling study' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=modeling+study","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"sei-000723","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-000723","title":"Global potential increase in crop production by vapour shift and water harvesting","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2009-10-09","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/publications/global-potential-increase-crop-production-vapour-shift-water-harvesting/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study finds that a moderate water management scenario—reducing evaporation by 25% and collecting 25% of runoff—could increase global crop production by 19%. While such strategies could buffer the projected 9% decline in global crop production caused by climate change by 2050, the study concludes that water available on current cropland will be insufficient for a population of 9–10 billion, even when combining water management with the benefits of rising atmospheric CO2.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000723#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"A moderate water management scenario involving a 25% reduction in evaporation and a 25% collection of runoff could increase global crop production by 19%, a result similar to the 17% increase attributed to current irrigation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000723#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate change is projected to reduce global crop production by 9% by 2050, but this loss could be offset by either a 50% vapour shift level or a 25% water harvesting level.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000723#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Even with the combination of a moderate water management scenario and the beneficial effects of increased atmospheric CO2 (supported by fertilizer use), current cropland water availability will not be enough to support a global population of 9–10 billion.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000723#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","agricultural irrigation"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["modeling study"]}]}