{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["macro-econometric time series analysis"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'macro-econometric time series analysis' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=macro-econometric+time+series+analysis","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"clipolin-001330","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/clipolin-001330","title":"An Assessment of India’s Energy Choices","publisher":{"name":"Climate Policy Initiative","organization":"climate-policy-initiative"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2018-05","source_url":"https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/What-it-Means-for-the-Economy-Jobs-and-Energy-Security_Technical-Report-1.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report analyzes the relationship between renewable energy (RE) and macroeconomic factors in India, finding that RE growth is positively associated with GDP, interest rates (call rates), and remunerative tariffs, while negatively correlated with fiscal deficits, energy imports, and unemployment. Using an ARDL model, the authors project three scenarios (business as usual, optimistic, and pessimistic) for RE capacity through 2042. They conclude that India's target of 175 GW by 2022 is overly ambitious and likely to be achieved between 2027 and 2033. The report also estimates that an optimistic scenario could add up to 4.52 million jobs by 2042 and improve India's Energy Security Index (ESI) from 0.41 to 0.58.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Renewable energy (RE) penetration in India is positively associated with GDP, call rates, and RE-to-fossil fuel tariffs, while it is negatively associated with fiscal deficits, net energy imports, population, population energy access, and unemployment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Government of India's target of 175 GW of renewable energy by 2022 is unlikely to be met on time; the report projects achievement in 2027-28 (optimistic), 2029-30 (business as usual), or 2032-33 (pessimistic).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Under an optimistic scenario, India's renewable energy capacity could reach 615 GW by 2042, with energy generation reaching 115.83 MTOE.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Renewable energy expansion has significant job creation potential, with cumulative employment reaching 4.52 million by 2042 under the optimistic scenario, 3.985 million under business as usual, and 2.054 million under the pessimistic scenario.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"India's Energy Security Index (ESI), which currently stands at 0.41, is projected to rise across all scenarios, reaching a moderate value of 0.58 by 2042 in the optimistic scenario.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Higher interest rates (call rates) are found to be pro-cyclical with RE generation, suggesting that the higher return on capital investment outweighs the increased cost of capital at a macro level.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Increased renewable energy generation is correlated with a decrease in the fiscal deficit, as RE penetration reduces the share of fossil energy generation and the associated financial support or subsidies.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report identifies several barriers to RE growth in India, including a shift from feed-in-tariffs to auction-based purchases, inadequate grid infrastructure, evacuation constraints, and payment delays by distribution companies (DISCOMS).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-001330#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["renewable energy","solar energy","wind power","bioenergy","energy security","climate finance","employment","energy infrastructure","feed-in tariff","energy access"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["macro-econometric time series analysis","scenario forecasting","index construction"]}]}