{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["load forecasting"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'load forecasting' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":2,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=load+forecasting","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"rmi-000201","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/rmi-000201","title":"EV Loads Are Coming — Here’s How They’ll Affect the Grid","publisher":{"name":"RMI","organization":"rmi"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025-04-28","source_url":"https://rmi.org/resources/ev-loads-are-coming-heres-how-theyll-affect-the-grid/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"RMI's GridUp tool analyzes EV load growth in New York State, specifically within the service territories of Consolidated Edison and National Grid. The analysis indicates that unmanaged EV charging could overload several substation banks by 2035, but managed charging could reduce the EV contribution to system peak load by approximately 33 percent, potentially deferring costly infrastructure investments.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000201#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"EV charging demand is expected to be concentrated in specific 'pockets', particularly in Erie, Onondaga, Albany, and Saratoga counties, with high demand likely in warehouse districts, ports, and transit centers due to fleet activity.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000201#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In an unmanaged charging scenario for National Grid's New York service territory, 7 out of 779 substation banks are projected to see EV load growth exceed 50 percent of available capacity by 2030. By 2035, 14 substation banks may be overloaded by EV loads taking up 100 percent of existing headroom, with four potentially overloaded by more than 200 percent.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000201#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Managed charging can significantly mitigate grid stress; in the National Grid service territory, it is estimated to reduce the EV contribution to the system peak by approximately 33 percent.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000201#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To manage EV load growth and protect customer affordability, utilities should combine proactive distribution system investments with demand-side strategies, including time-of-use rates, incentives, non-wires alternatives, and flexible service connections.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000201#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["electric vehicle","energy infrastructure","demand-side management","Building electrification"],"geography_discussed":["Erie County","Onondaga County","Albany","Saratoga County","United States"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["case study","load forecasting","infrastructure assessment"]},{"id":"rmi-000771","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/rmi-000771","title":"DEVELOPING THE SAINT LUCIA ENERGY ROADMAP","publisher":{"name":"RMI","organization":"rmi"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2016-10","source_url":"https://rmi.org/app/uploads/2017/03/Islands_Saint_lucia_Energy_Roadmap_Report_2016.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The National Energy Transition Strategy (NETS) for Saint Lucia identifies an optimal energy portfolio consisting of solar, wind, energy storage, energy efficiency, and existing diesel generation. This combination is projected to reduce diesel expenditures by 42% and carbon emissions by 40% by 2025. The report emphasizes that utility ownership generally leads to lower customer rates and that energy efficiency is the most cost-effective resource for minimizing system costs. While geothermal energy offers significant base-load potential, its viability depends on concessional financing and successful exploration. The strategy also highlights the need for regulatory reform, specifically decoupling utility revenues from sales to incentivize energy efficiency and avoiding 'rate shock' associated with certain independent power producer (IPP) arrangements.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The most economically optimal energy system for Saint Lucia is a combination of solar, wind, energy storage, energy efficiency, and existing diesel generation, which is expected to lower diesel spending by 42% and carbon emissions by 40% by 2025.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Energy efficiency is identified as the cheapest method to achieve a least-cost energy solution, with the potential to avoid 11% of annual electricity sales by 2024 at a levelized cost of $0.03 per kWh saved.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The analysis indicates that higher levels of utility ownership of energy assets result in lower electricity rates for customers compared to models with more independent power producers.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Diesel generation must remain part of the energy mix to ensure grid stability and meet reserve requirements, although its volume will decrease as renewables are integrated.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Geothermal energy could potentially allow Saint Lucia to exceed 75% renewable energy penetration if it can be secured at an economically advantageous price point through concessional financing.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The integration of variable renewable energy sources will likely necessitate the use of electricity storage to maintain system stability and provide ancillary services like frequency regulation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Current utility revenue models, which are based on the volume of kilowatt-hours sold, create a disincentive for LUCELEC to pursue energy efficiency; the report suggests decoupling sales from revenues to resolve this.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The introduction of large independent power producers under current policy risks causing 'rate shock,' where customer rates initially drop and then increase sharply to return the utility to its allowable rate-of-return band.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"rmi-000771#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["photovoltaics","wind power","geothermal energy","energy storage","energy efficiency","natural gas","power purchase agreement","Utility business model","Grid balancing","carbon dioxide emissions","Nationally Determined Contributions","climate change mitigation"],"geography_discussed":["Caribbean"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["techno-economic analysis","policy assessment","load forecasting","grid integration study"]}]}