{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["geospatial modeling"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'geospatial modeling' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":4,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=geospatial+modeling","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"drawdown-000042","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/drawdown-000042","title":"A Drawdown Roadmap for Food, Agriculture, and Land Use in Southeast Asia","publisher":{"name":"Project Drawdown","organization":"project-drawdown"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2025","source_url":"https://drawdown.org/sites/default/files/pdfs/A%20Drawdown%20Roadmap%20for%20Food%20Agriculture%20and%20Land%20Use%20in%20SE%20Asia_Final%20Report.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report identifies opportunities to reduce direct emissions from the food, agriculture, and land use (FALU) sector in Southeast Asia by 1.9 billion tons of CO2-eq per year. It highlights that FALU is responsible for 54% of the region's total greenhouse gas emissions, with deforestation and peatland degradation acting as the primary drivers. The analysis emphasizes 'hotspots' where targeted interventions—such as protecting 20% of carbon-dense forests or improving rice cultivation on 20% of farms—can yield disproportionately high emissions savings. Key solutions include legal forest protection, non-continuous flooding in rice paddies, and improved nitrogen fertilizer management. The report also discusses indirect solutions like shifting diets toward the EAT-Lancet planetary health diet and reducing food loss and waste, while detailing co-benefits such as improved air quality, water security, and enhanced farmer incomes.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The food, agriculture, and land use (FALU) sector is a dominant source of emissions in Southeast Asia, accounting for 54% of the region's total greenhouse gas emissions, which is significantly higher than the global average of 22%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"There is a total potential to reduce direct FALU emissions in Southeast Asia by 1.9 billion tons of CO2-eq per year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Deforestation is the largest regional emissions source, resulting in 1.2 billion tons of CO2-eq annually between 2001 and 2023, with an average annual forest loss of 1.8 million hectares.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Peatland protection offers the highest emissions savings per hectare in the region, saving 2,010 tons of CO2-eq per hectare, which is three times the savings of forests on mineral soils.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Improved rice production, specifically through non-continuous flooding and nutrient management, could reduce regional emissions by 64 million tons of CO2-eq without reducing yields.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Targeted interventions in 20% of specific areas can achieve high percentages of total potential savings: 83% for forest protection on mineral soils, 64% for improved rice cultivation, and 80% for improved nutrient management.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Indonesia, preventing deforestation is the most significant lever, as protecting forests could reduce national FALU emissions by 62%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Vietnam's rice fields are among the highest-emitting in the world, contributing 10% of global rice methane emissions despite producing only 5% of global rice calories.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Reducing food loss and waste (FLW) in Southeast Asia, where average annual emissions are 563 million tons, can significantly lower emissions and reduce pressure to expand agricultural land.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Shifting the entire Southeast Asian population to the EAT-Lancet planetary health diet would reduce emissions by 105 million tons of CO2-eq per year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"drawdown-000042#insight-10","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["deforestation","peatland","carbon sink","nature-based solutions","methane emissions"],"geography_discussed":["Thailand","Philippines","Cambodia","Laos","Malaysia","Myanmar","Brunei","Singapore","Timor-Leste","Kalimantan","Sumatra"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["quantitative comparative analysis","geospatial modeling","cost-benefit analysis"]},{"id":"seforall-000171","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/seforall-000171","title":"MADAGASCAR Integrated Energy Access Planning – COLD CHAINS REPORT","publisher":{"name":"Sustainable Energy for All","organization":"sustainable-energy-for-all"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2024-06","source_url":"https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2024-07/report-madagascar-iep_coldchains-en.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report evaluates Madagascar's cold chain infrastructure, focusing on medical vaccines and four agricultural value chains: potatoes, tomatoes, fisheries, and dairy. It identifies significant gaps in electricity access and road infrastructure that lead to high post-harvest losses and inequitable vaccine coverage. The analysis proposes electrification scenarios for healthcare facilities and investment roadmaps for agricultural cooling, emphasizing the high return on investment for fisheries and dairy.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Vaccine coverage in Madagascar is inequitable and has declined due to COVID-19, with DPT-3 coverage estimated at 70% for the first dose and BCG at 51%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Approximately 20% of basic health centres (CSBs) lack functioning cold chain equipment (CCE), creating a gap in immunization services across all 23 regions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"While most existing medical CCE is relatively new and functional, 34% of the Ministry of Health's inventory is non-functional, indicating a lack of a clear decommissioning process.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Achieving universal electrification of healthcare facilities and medical cold chain integrity by 2030 is estimated to require a total investment of USD 28.5 million.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Coordination between CCE procurement and facility electrification could save approximately USD 2.9 million by replacing expensive solar direct-drive (SDD) units with standard electric CCE.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Post-harvest losses at the farm level for potatoes and tomatoes are estimated at 60%, primarily due to difficulties transporting products to markets from isolated areas.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The fisheries sector faces extreme post-harvest losses, estimated at 80%, with crab mortality reaching 40-50% during the rainy season.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Investment in the fisheries cold chain offers the fastest return on investment (ROI), estimated at 2 years, followed by dairy at 3 years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A fully developed cold chain for the four analyzed agricultural value chains (Scenario 1) would require a capital expenditure (CAPEX) of approximately USD 2.7 billion, dominated by fisheries costs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A more manageable 20% development target for the agricultural cold chain (Scenario 2) would require a CAPEX of USD 545.8 million.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-10","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Poor road infrastructure and seasonal precipitation are critical barriers, sometimes requiring medical teams to walk for a week to deliver vaccines via cold-boxes and canoes.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000171#insight-11","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["energy access","solar energy","Post-harvest losses","agriculture","Mini-grids","renewable energy","food security"],"geography_discussed":["Antananarivo","Vakinankaratra","Itasy","Anamalanga","Matsiatra Ambony"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["geospatial modeling","cost-benefit analysis","scenario analysis","gap analysis"]},{"id":"sei-000617","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-000617","title":"Potential environmental benefits of woodfuel transitions in Haiti: geospatial scenarios to 2027","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2018-03-01","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/publications/potential-environmental-benefits-woodfuel-transitions-haiti-geospatial-scenarios-2027/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study finds that while woodfuel demand contributes to moderate degradation in Haiti, it is less severe than typically portrayed, though a business-as-usual scenario predicts a 4%±1% decline in above-ground woody biomass by 2027.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000617#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Woodfuels provide nearly 80% of Haiti's primary energy supply, and while the country is often seen as a prime example of woodfuel-driven deforestation, there is little empirical evidence that demand directly causes deforestation, though it may contribute to degradation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000617#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Under a business-as-usual scenario from 2017 to 2027, Haiti's regenerative capacity for woody biomass cannot meet increasing demand, potentially leading to a 4%±1% decline in above-ground woody biomass stocks, an annual loss of 302±29 kton of wood, and emissions of 555±54 kton CO2yr-1.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000617#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The authors conclude that current woodfuel demand causes moderate degradation that is not as severe as commonly depicted, but aggressive interventions to reduce this demand could slow or reverse degradation and allow woody biomass to recover in certain regions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000617#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["deforestation","land degradation","carbon dioxide emissions","energy transition"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["geospatial modeling","scenario analysis"]},{"id":"seforall-000214","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/seforall-000214","title":"CLEAN COOKING","publisher":{"name":"Sustainable Energy for All","organization":"sustainable-energy-for-all"},"document_type":"report","language":"fr","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2024-09/summary-madagascar-cleancooking_fr.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report assesses the current state of cooking energy in Madagascar, where over 80% of rural households rely on wood and over 60% of urban households use charcoal. It models a 'Base Scenario' aligned with national policy and a 'Universal Access Scenario' aligned with SDG7, estimating the fuel production potential for bioethanol, biogas, and pellets. The analysis highlights that while bio-fuels have significant potential without impacting food security, the primary barrier to adoption is the cost of fuel, which represents 97.1% of transition costs. Transitioning to clean cooking could reduce residential energy consumption by up to 65% and prevent thousands of deaths from indoor air pollution by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"As of 2020, clean cooking adoption in Madagascar was very low, with less than 12% of the population using clean cooking technologies or improved stoves, and only 1% of households and 4% of institutions using modern energy solutions such as LPG, electricity, or alternative biofuels.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The reliance on traditional fuels has severe consequences, including 21,000 annual deaths due to indoor air pollution and a projection that 25% of forests will disappear by 2030, with a portion of this loss driven by household and institutional use of wood and charcoal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report models two paths to 2030: a Base Scenario targeting 50% household access to improved stoves and 2.5 million households adopting clean cooking, and a Universal Access Scenario aiming for a complete transition to modern energy cooking services for all households and institutions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Biofuels have high production potential in Madagascar without threatening food security; even under the Universal Access Scenario, the biomass required for bioethanol, biogas, and pellets would only use 19.11%, 4.81%, and 6.55% of their respective total potentials.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The financial gap for the transition is substantial, with the Universal Access Scenario requiring $8.6 billion to fund the affordability gap compared to the base case. Fuel costs are the dominant barrier, accounting for 97.1% of the transition cost from the user's perspective.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Transitioning to clean cooking would significantly reduce the domestic workload for women, decreasing the average time spent cooking from 3.30 hours per day in 2023 to 2.66 hours in the Base Scenario and 1.77 hours in the Universal Access Scenario by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The transition is projected to have major health benefits, potentially avoiding 8,022 child deaths and 49,183 adult deaths under the Universal Access Scenario by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"seforall-000214#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["clean cooking","ethanol fuel","biogas","deforestation","greenhouse gas emissions","energy transition","household air pollution"],"geography_discussed":["Antananarivo"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["geospatial modeling","scenario analysis","cost-benefit analysis"]}]}