{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["foresight scenario exercise"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'foresight scenario exercise' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=foresight+scenario+exercise","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"sei-000125","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-000125","title":"Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2020-09-09","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study developed four regional socio-economic scenarios for the Caribbean and national storylines for four island states, linking them to global Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). When applied to hotel water demand in Barbados using RCP 4.5, the analysis revealed a 17% difference between the highest and lowest estimated water demand based on varying socio-economic conditions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000125#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The researchers developed four regional exploratory socio-economic scenarios for the Caribbean and national storylines for four island states, linking these to global Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000125#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Applying these scenarios to the Barbados tourism sector using RCP 4.5 showed that socio-economic factors significantly impact water demand, with a 17% variance between the highest and lowest estimates.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000125#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["tourism industry"],"geography_discussed":["Barbados"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["foresight scenario exercise"]}]}