{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["fixed-effects model"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'fixed-effects model' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=fixed-effects+model","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"clipolin-000455","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/clipolin-000455","title":"Deforestation Slowdown in the Brazilian Amazon: Prices or Policies?","publisher":{"name":"Climate Policy Initiative","organization":"climate-policy-initiative"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2015-03","source_url":"https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Deforestation-Slowdown-in-the-Brazilian-Amazon-Prices-or-Policies-Technical-Paper.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study finds that while agricultural prices drive deforestation, conservation policies implemented in 2004 and 2008 significantly curbed forest loss. Counterfactual simulations estimate that these policies avoided approximately 73,000 square kilometers of deforestation from 2005 to 2009, equivalent to 2.7 billion tonnes of stored carbon dioxide. The analysis indicates that the deforestation slowdown did not result in a major downturn for the local agricultural sector or municipal GDP per capita.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Conservation policies introduced in 2004 and 2008 were effective in reducing deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, avoiding approximately 73,000 square kilometers of forest clearings between 2005 and 2009.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The avoided deforestation is estimated to be equivalent to a store of 2.7 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide, with a calculated monetary value of USD 13.2 billion based on a price of 5 USD/tCO2.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Agricultural output prices are significant drivers of deforestation; specifically, a one standard deviation increase in the crop price index leads to a 0.31 standard deviation increase in municipal deforestation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Crop prices exhibit a specific timing relationship with deforestation, where clearings are positively associated with price variations occurring before the sowing season (specifically January through September of the previous year).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Cattle prices show a complex dynamic: current price variations are negatively associated with deforestation, while lagged prices are positively associated, consistent with cattle ranching cycles.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The 2004 and 2008 policy turning points—including the PPCDAm, the creation of protected areas, and conditional rural credit—reduced deforestation more significantly in municipalities with tighter land constraints.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The reduction in deforestation did not cause a significant negative impact on local development, with no negative effects found on population trends or municipal GDP per capita.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The agricultural sector did not experience a major downturn during the deforestation slowdown, although the 2004 policy turning point was associated with a 2.1 percentage point decline in the ratio of sowed to municipal area.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clipolin-000455#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["deforestation","carbon dioxide emissions","carbon sink","land-use change","agricultural production"],"geography_discussed":["Amazonas","Mato Grosso","Pará","Rondônia","Brazil"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["counterfactual simulation","fixed-effects model","cost-benefit analysis","panel data analysis"]}]}