{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["environmental impact projection"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'environmental impact projection' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":2,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=environmental+impact+projection","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"issafri-000019","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/issafri-000019","title":"Cabo Verde Development Futures","publisher":{"name":"Institute for Security Studies","organization":"institute-for-security-studies"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2026-05-28","source_url":"https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/countries/cape-verde/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report projects that Cape Verde will experience significant urbanisation and economic growth by 2043, with GDP per capita rising to US$10,839 under the Current Path. While the country has high human development and political stability, it faces challenges including a high dependency on food imports (90% of food consumed is imported) and vulnerability to climate-induced flooding. The analysis explores several scenarios, finding that 'Free Trade' and 'Manufacturing/Transfers' have the highest potential to increase GDP per capita, while a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario could reduce extreme poverty to 3.6% of the population but would increase carbon emissions to 0.47 million tons by 2043. Energy projections suggest a transition toward renewables, with a goal for them to constitute 50% of total energy production by 2043.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Under the Current Path forecast, Cape Verde is projected to see rapid urbanisation, with 73.5% of the population residing in urban areas by 2043, driven by rural droughts and the expansion of the tourism sector.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Cape Verde maintains a high level of food import dependency, with 90% of all food consumed being imported; by 2043, demand is projected to outstrip domestic production by 0.31 million metric tons.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The economy is heavily reliant on tourism, which directly accounted for 35% of GDP in 2015, making the country vulnerable to external shocks such as the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused a 14.8% GDP contraction in 2020.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Energy production is currently dominated by coal (60% in 2019), but it is projected that renewable energies will constitute 50% of total energy production by 2043.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Carbon emissions are projected to increase across all analyzed scenarios, with the Free Trade scenario causing the highest increase, resulting in 0.41 million additional tons of carbon by 2043.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, which integrates multiple policy pushes, is projected to increase GDP per capita by US$4,824 and reduce the extreme poverty rate to 3.6% (23,000 people) by 2043.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Cape Verde has already achieved a demographic dividend, with a working-age population to dependant ratio of 1.99 in 2019, significantly higher than the lower middle-income African average of 1.32.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The country is highly vulnerable to climate change, having been ranked as the eighth most endangered nation in 2011 due to flooding.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"issafri-000019#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["renewable energy","solar energy","wind power","carbon dioxide emissions","climate change","flood","drought","energy transition","food security"],"geography_discussed":["Africa","Senegal","The Gambia","Mauritania","Santiago","Praia","Santo Antão","São Nicolau"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["socioeconomic forecasting","scenario analysis","poverty assessment","environmental impact projection"]},{"id":"ucs-000961","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ucs-000961","title":"Purchasing Power","publisher":{"name":"Union of Concerned Scientists","organization":"union-of-concerned-scientists"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2017-11","source_url":"https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/11/purchasing-power-appendices-ucs-2017.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document details the positive outcomes of institutional food procurement policies, showing that local sourcing increases regional economic output and job creation. It highlights environmental benefits, such as reduced greenhouse gas emissions and water use through meat reduction, and projects significant health improvements—including lower sodium intake and reduced risks of type 2 diabetes and colorectal cancer—for students and adults in Los Angeles County. Additionally, it analyzes the increasing availability of antibiotic-free chicken in the US supply chain and compares the cost of procuring such meat against the high medical costs of treating antibiotic-resistant infections.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000961#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Local food procurement by institutions generates significant economic multipliers. In Vermont, a one-dollar increase in local purchasing by hospitals generates between $0.78 and $1.27 in the local economy, while in Oregon, school district spending on local foods can lead to an overall increase of $2.10 to $2.40 to the economy.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000961#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Reducing meat in institutional menus significantly lowers environmental footprints. Four hospitals in the San Francisco Bay Area reduced meat purchases by 28%, resulting in a total of over 1,000 tons of CO2-equivalent greenhouse gas emissions saved annually. Similarly, the Oakland Unified School District reduced its carbon footprint by 14% and saved 42 million gallons of water per year by reducing meat purchases by 30%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000961#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Los Angeles Unified School District (LAUSD) achieved a 22% annual reduction in its carbon footprint and a 22.88% reduction in annual water use between the 2012-2013 and 2014-2015 periods, saving 8.99 million kg of CO2 and 1.16 billion gallons of water.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000961#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["greenhouse gas emissions","carbon footprint","sustainable procurement","public health"],"geography_discussed":["World","Vermont","Oregon","Minnesota","Colorado","San Francisco","Oakland","Sacramento"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["literature review","economic impact analysis","health impact assessment","environmental impact projection"]}]}