{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["employment impact assessment"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'employment impact assessment' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":5,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=employment+impact+assessment","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"iisd-002658","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-002658","title":"Circular Economy Proxy Measures: Indicators on job effects for a closed-loop economy","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2020-11","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2020-12/circular-economy-proxy-measures.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report investigates how transitioning to a closed-loop economy affects employment, concluding that circular economy proxy measures are generally more labour-intensive than fossil-fuel-related jobs and can decouple economic activity from greenhouse gas emissions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Material efficiency can create between 9 million and 25 million jobs worldwide through the profitability of innovative technologies, changes in labour productivity, and the import of foreign value added.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Europe, achieving a 70 per cent recycling target could result in 322,000 direct jobs, 160,900 indirect jobs, and 80,400 induced jobs, totaling 563,000 net new jobs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Industrial ecology acts as an enabler for the circular economy by creating industrial networks that reduce waste, though there is a noted gap in studies that quantify its specific job creation potential.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Energy efficiency is highly labour-intensive, particularly in manufacturing, engineering, and construction; ambitious programs in Europe could increase employment by 0.7 million to 4.2 million jobs by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Renewable energy technologies generally have higher labour intensity than fossil fuels, with an average potential of 0.65 jobs/GWh, which increases to 0.80 jobs/GWh when combined with energy efficiency, compared to 0.15 jobs/GWh for fossil fuels.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Green procurement serves as an enabler of the circular economy by using government purchasing power to shift business models toward sustainability, supporting local job creation and decent working conditions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The transition to material efficiency may cause job losses in raw material extraction in non-OECD countries and BRICS nations, suggesting that 40 per cent of proceeds from developed countries should be reinvested into just transition policies in at-risk regions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In the United Kingdom, a 'Transformation' scenario for material efficiency could create 517,000 gross jobs and 102,000 net jobs, with the highest growth in elementary sectors like waste and recycling.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002658#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["circular economy","energy efficiency","renewable energy","green job","just transition","greenhouse gas emissions","Resource productivity","photovoltaics","wind power","bioenergy","hydropower"],"geography_discussed":["World","United Kingdom","Germany","United States","Canada","People's Republic of China","Brazil","India","Russia","South Africa","Mexico","Guatemala","South Korea","Denmark","Chile","Dominican Republic","Flemish Region"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["literature review","macroeconomic modelling","employment impact assessment"]},{"id":"iisd-002811","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/iisd-002811","title":"Estimating Employment Effects of the Circular Economy","publisher":{"name":"International Institute for Sustainable Development","organization":"international-institute-for-sustainable-development"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"en","date_published":"2018-09","source_url":"https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/employment-effects-circular-economy.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document examines the transition from a linear to a circular economy, highlighting its potential to create jobs and increase GDP. It synthesizes projections from various international bodies, noting that while Europe has extensive data suggesting net job gains in recycling and services, Canada's 'environmental and clean technology' sector employs approximately 274,000 people as of 2016, though its growth lags behind the broader economy.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The circular economy is defined as a shift from a linear \"take, make, waste\" model to a \"closed-loop\" system that emphasizes zero-waste, resource efficiency, and the decoupling of resource use from waste.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Global employment projections by the ILO suggest that a circular economy scenario would increase worldwide employment by 0.1 per cent by 2030 compared to business-as-usual, with specific growth of roughly 50 million jobs in services and 45 million in waste management.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Europe, the circular economy is projected to have positive economic impacts, including a potential 0.5 per cent increase in GDP and a net addition of 700,000 jobs by shifting labor toward repair services and recycling plants, particularly in central and eastern European member countries.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"National-level estimates for potential job creation in a circular economy include 500,000 in France, 400,000 in Spain, 200,000 in the Netherlands, 150,000 in the Czech Republic, 100,000 in Sweden, and 75,000 in Finland.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The ILO projects a net creation of 18 million green jobs by 2030, noting that while most sectors grow, petroleum refinery and crude petroleum extraction are expected to see losses of 1 million or more jobs each.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Canada, the 'environmental and clean technology' sector employed approximately 274,000 people in 2016 (1.5 per cent of the economy), with an average annual compensation of CAD 92,000, which is significantly higher than the economy-wide average of CAD 59,900.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Canadian employment in the environmental and clean technology sector grew by 4.5 per cent between 2007 and 2016, which is slower than the 8.4 per cent growth seen in the total economy over the same period.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"iisd-002811#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["circular economy","green job","resource efficiency","waste management","renewable energy","energy efficiency","recycling"],"geography_discussed":["United Kingdom","Sweden","Netherlands","Finland","France","Spain","Czech Republic","London","Amsterdam","Seoul","Rio de Janeiro","World"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["employment impact assessment","economic projection","sectoral analysis"]},{"id":"wwfza-000219","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/wwfza-000219","title":"Planning for employment effects of climate change in the chemicals and chemical products sub-sector","publisher":{"name":"WWF South Africa","organization":"wwf-south-africa"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2018","source_url":"https://wwfafrica.awsassets.panda.org/downloads/wwf_2018_planning_for_employment_effects_of_cc_in_chemical_sector.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document analyzes how biophysical climate impacts and international trade shifts threaten employment in South Africa's chemicals sub-sector, while identifying job creation potential through mitigation and adaptation interventions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"By 2030, climate change is estimated to cause 3,000 job losses in South Africa's chemicals and chemical products sub-sector due to biophysical impacts, with an additional 11,400 losses resulting from changes in international trade.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Biophysical risks to employment include extreme weather affecting raw material availability (oil, natural gas, water, metals, and minerals), increased production costs from rising temperatures, and disruptions to supply chains caused by floods and droughts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"International trade poses a significant risk because the sub-sector exports carbon-intensive products; if trading partners reduce imports to lower their own carbon footprints, South African exports and production will decline.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The impact of international trade on jobs varies by scenario: a 'no emissions trading' scenario predicts a decrease of 10,000 to 11,400 jobs by 2030, whereas allowing for emissions trading reduces this to 174 job losses by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Mitigation and adaptation interventions are expected to create new employment: mitigation efforts are projected to create 650 jobs, while adaptation interventions are expected to create 3,825 jobs by 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Specific mitigation job opportunities include renovating plants for energy efficiency (254 jobs) and the construction and operation of combined heat and power facilities (176 jobs).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Increased demand for specific chemical products used to cope with climate change could drive employment growth, specifically in water treatment chemicals, healthcare pharmaceuticals, greener chemicals, and fire retardants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Barriers to re-employment for displaced workers include inadequate skills and training, limited willingness or means to relocate, lack of support for entrepreneurship, and low awareness of new opportunities.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000219#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["carbon dioxide emissions","climate change adaptation","climate change mitigation","carbon capture and storage","Emissions trading","carbon tax","energy efficiency","water efficiency","just transition","international trade"],"geography_discussed":["Limpopo","Mpumalanga","Gauteng","North West","Free State","KwaZulu-Natal","Eastern Cape","Northern Cape","Western Cape","Richards Bay","Durban","Secunda","Johannesburg","Sasolburg","Gqeberha","Cape Town"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["employment impact assessment","scenario analysis"]},{"id":"saiia-002040","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/saiia-002040","title":"Green hydrogen and TVET skills’ role in South Africa’s just transition","publisher":{"name":"South African Institute of International Affairs","organization":"south-african-institute-of-international-affairs"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://saiia.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Workstream-2-Green-hydrogen-and-TVET-skills-role-in-South-Africas-just-transition_UCT.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report investigates the impact of a transition to a green hydrogen economy on TVET-level employment in South Africa, contrasting domestic development with international export opportunities. It identifies key sectors for skill development—including chemicals, electrical machinery, and PGM mining—and argues that while GHE jobs are expected to grow significantly after 2030, the TVET system must address structural gaps and develop specialized curricula in fuel cell and electrolyser manufacturing to support a just transition for workers in coal and refining.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Global Net-Zero pathways could put approximately 1,800 TVET-level jobs in South African coal mining at risk due to declining international demand for coal.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The phase-out of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles threatens TVET employment in the refining and automotive sectors, potentially risking 2,000 TVET-certified refinery jobs and 5,000 TVET-certified automotive jobs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A rapid global transition to Net-Zero by 2050 could lead to an eight-fold increase in platinum demand, potentially adding between 3,300 and 7,650 TVET jobs in PGM mining by 2050.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Exporting green hydrogen-based products (including fuel cells and electrolysers) could significantly increase TVET employment, potentially adding between 9,000 and 15,000 TVET jobs by 2045 in GHE sectors, excluding PGM mining and iron and steel.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The timing of job growth in GHE sectors generally follows 2030, creating a gap for workers in the petrochemical sector who may face output decreases before 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Power generation and the iron and steel sectors are identified as critical for cushioning TVET job losses from coal mining before 2030.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The TVET system currently lacks the ability to fully supply the specialized technical skills needed for green hydrogen, requiring the development of new courses in fuel cell component manufacturing and hydrogen safety.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"saiia-002040#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["green hydrogen","just transition","fuel cell","carbon neutrality","renewable energy","decarbonization","Green steel","petrochemical product"],"geography_discussed":["United Kingdom","Germany","India","European Union","United States","Norway","Netherlands","Sweden","France"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["employment impact assessment","skills gap analysis","economic modelling","policy recommendation"]},{"id":"wwfza-000147","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/wwfza-000147","title":"EXPLORING ALTERNATIVE OPTIONS FOR COAL TRUCKERS IN A BIOMASS SUPPLY CHAIN","publisher":{"name":"WWF South Africa","organization":"wwf-south-africa"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"en","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://wwfafrica.awsassets.panda.org/downloads/wwf_coal_truck_infographic.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document outlines job creation potential for coal truckers transitioning to biomass supply chains in South Africa, highlighting that lignocellulosic biomass offers the highest employment potential, with 3,076 driver jobs possible in coal regions alone.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000147#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The lignocellulosic biomass and syncrude supply chain presents the highest employment potential for truckers, with the ability to create 3,076 driver jobs specifically within coal regions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000147#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Nationally, the lignocellulosic biomass supply chain could create 6,400 trucking jobs, of which nearly half (3,076) would be located in coal regions.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000147#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Beyond new driver roles, the transition to biomass supply chains is expected to preserve most existing employment related to truck refuelling and maintenance.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000147#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The document analyses four specific biomass-to-SAF supply chain options for job transfers: Solaris tobacco, A-molasses, industrial off-gas ethanol, and lignocellulosic biomass.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"wwfza-000147#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["biomass","Sustainable Aviation Fuel","just transition","job creation","biofuel","supply chain"],"geography_discussed":["Johannesburg","Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality","eThekwini Metropolitan Municipality","Cape Town","Gqeberha","Buffalo City Metropolitan Municipality"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["employment impact assessment"]}]}