{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["electricity market modelling"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'electricity market modelling' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=electricity+market+modelling","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"catf-001150","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/catf-001150","title":"POWER SYSTEM EXPANSION POLAND","publisher":{"name":"Clean Air Task Force","organization":"clean-air-task-force"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2023-12-15","source_url":"https://cdn.catf.us/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/21085850/Power-System-Expansion-Poland-Study.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study investigates the transition of Poland's power system to a 99% reduction in emissions by 2050. The 'base' scenario identifies onshore wind as the dominant generation source, complemented by nuclear power, gas plants with carbon capture and storage (CCS), and hydrogen storage. The analysis emphasizes that a technology-inclusive approach is essential for competitiveness, as scenarios excluding nuclear and CCS result in significantly higher electricity prices and system costs. Key recommendations include maximizing onshore wind deployment, advancing a nuclear fleet exceeding 8 GW, and establishing CO2 transport and storage infrastructure by 2035.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The 'base' scenario for a decarbonized Polish power system in 2050 relies heavily on onshore wind, which would require a long-term build rate of approximately 3 GW/year, peaking at 7 GW/year in the early 2040s to reach an installed capacity of 73 GW.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Nuclear power is projected to play a substantial role in the 2050 base scenario, with an installed capacity of approximately 8 GW contributing over 15% of annual power production.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Dispatchable power in the 2050 base scenario is provided by a mix of gas power plants (approximately 23 GW capacity, 10% of generation), including combined-cycle plants with CCS (7% of dispatchable generation), and hydrogen-fuelled plants (close to 4 GW capacity).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The study finds that a technology-inclusive policy is a prerequisite for competitiveness; the 'VRE -- no nucl. no CCS' scenario, which excludes nuclear and CCS and assumes stagnating renewable costs, results in an average electricity price of 141 €/MWh, compared to 53 €/MWh in the base scenario.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Nuclear power reduces the system's reliance on transmission infrastructure, land use, and critical minerals compared to other decarbonization pathways.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The analysis suggests a rapid phase-out of coal power by 2035, which differs from current Polish energy policy that favors a more gradual transition.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Retrofitting coal power plant sites with nuclear power (repowering) is identified as a pivotal opportunity to speed up decarbonization, potentially reducing upfront overnight capital costs by 28% to 35% compared to greenfield projects.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"To achieve full decarbonization (maximum 2 Mt annual direct emissions) by 2050, the model indicates a required CO2 price of approximately 230 €/tCO2, though this varies by scenario.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"catf-001150#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["decarbonization","offshore wind power","photovoltaics","nuclear power","carbon capture and storage","Coal phase-out","Demand flexibility","electric power transmission","critical minerals","land use"],"geography_discussed":["European Union","Germany","Latvia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["capacity expansion optimization","electricity market modelling","geospatial analysis","scenario analysis"]}]}