{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=computable+general+equilibrium+%28CGE%29+modelling","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"climstra-000181","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/climstra-000181","title":"Can China afford to commit to effective carbon pricing policies?","publisher":{"name":"Climate Strategies","organization":"climate-strategies"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2011-08","source_url":"https://climatestrategies.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/cs-china-competitiveness-iddri-final.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The paper assesses how different carbon tax rates (10 and 100 yuan/tCO2) affect various Chinese industrial sectors. It finds that while a low carbon price is a safe starting point, a higher price of 100 yuan/tCO2 would significantly impact energy-intensive sectors like ferrous metals and electricity, potentially reducing GDP by 1.1% unless revenue is redistributed to stimulate consumption. The study highlights the electricity sector as the primary driver for CO2 emission reductions and suggests that targeted carbon pricing for energy-intensive sectors could be more efficient than a nationwide policy.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"A low carbon price of 10 yuan/tCO2 (approximately 1 euro/tCO2) is considered a \"safe starting point\" for introducing carbon pricing in China due to its minimal impact on industrial competitiveness.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Under a high carbon price of 100 yuan/tCO2, nine industrial sectors would be significantly affected based on European Commission carbon leakage criteria, representing 13% of China's total GDP and 36.9% of its total gross export value.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The ferrous metal production sector is identified as the most affected manufacturing sector under a 100 yuan/tCO2 tax, with a carbon cost to value-added (CtV) ratio of 16.7%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A carbon tax of 100 yuan/tCO2 is projected to have significant macroeconomic negative impacts, including a 1.1% reduction in GDP, a 1.13% decrease in household and government consumption, and a 1.66% drop in employment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The electricity and heat supply sectors are the largest contributors to CO2 emission reductions; under one scenario, they account for 476 million tons of the total 655 million ton reduction (an 11.15% decrease relative to baseline).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Redistributing carbon tax revenue to stimulate consumption (Scenario S3) is the most effective option, resulting in positive GDP growth (0.21%) and positive employment growth (1.07%), aligning with China's 12th Five Year Plan targets.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The model indicates that carbon pricing could help China's strategy to curb the expansion of energy-intensive sectors, as the output of energy supply sectors shrinks considerably (e.g., coal mining by -11.4%).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"climstra-000181#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["carbon price","carbon tax","emission trading","carbon leakage","greenhouse gas emissions","low-carbon economy"],"geography_discussed":["European Union","United States"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["static analysis","computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling"]}]}