{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["climate impact assessment"]},"warnings":[]},"total":{"value":24,"relation":"eq"},"page":2,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=climate+impact+assessment&page=2","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"ucs-000319","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ucs-000319","title":"A Resurgence We Cant Afford","publisher":{"name":"Union of Concerned Scientists","organization":"union-of-concerned-scientists"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"en","date_published":"2015-11","source_url":"https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2015/11/california-water-supply-shift.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"California is facing a critical water supply shift as climate change depletes traditional snowmelt-fed reservoirs, leading to an increased reliance on groundwater. The document highlights that snow is melting up to 30 days earlier than in the mid-twentieth century and that the state's surface-water storage is not designed for a future of rain-dominant precipitation. This has led to the over-pumping of aquifers, particularly in the Central Valley. To address this, the document advocates for the implementation of the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) of 2014, which requires local agencies to develop sustainability plans by 2020. The authors propose capturing floodwaters to recharge aquifers, which would simultaneously reduce flooding risks and provide a buffer against future droughts.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Climate change is significantly altering California's traditional water sources, with snowpack reaching a 500-year low and melting as many as 30 days earlier than in the mid-twentieth century. This shift means less water is available during hotter months when demand is highest.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The state's existing surface-water storage system is inadequate for future climate projections because it was designed for snowmelt rather than the expected increase in rain-dominant precipitation.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"California has increased its reliance on groundwater, which now provides between 30 and 50 percent of the state's water supply, but this has led to severe overdrafting of aquifers, especially in the Central Valley.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Global warming is increasing the risk of extreme weather events in the region, including an 80 percent probability that the Southwest will experience a 'megadrought' lasting over 20 years between 2050 and 2099.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Climate change may paradoxically increase both water shortages and flooding; parched land during droughts prevents rainwater infiltration, leading to violent runoff and floods that existing dams cannot effectively store.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) of 2014 establishes the first statewide requirement for groundwater management, mandating the creation of local groundwater sustainability agencies (GSAs) by 2017 and sustainability plans by 2020.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Sustainable groundwater management, including redesigning urban storm-water capture and rural recharge infrastructure, can mitigate both floods and droughts while reducing the energy intensity of pumping.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000319#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["drought","flood","climate change adaptation","water security","groundwater recharge"],"geography_discussed":["Central Valley","Sierra Nevada","Southwest"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","climate impact assessment"]},{"id":"sgr-000163","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sgr-000163","title":"Could one Trident submarine cause ‘nuclear winter’?","publisher":{"name":"Scientists for Global Responsibility","organization":"scientists-for-global-responsibility"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2008","source_url":"https://www.sgr.org.uk/sites/default/files/2019-04/NL35_NuclearWinterTrident.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The paper examines the climatic risks of nuclear war, updating the 'nuclear winter' concept with modern climate modelling. It argues that even a regional conflict or the deployment of a single UK Trident submarine could cause significant global cooling, disrupt agriculture, and lead to mass starvation. The author concludes that any arsenal exceeding 5MT poses a global climatic threat and calls for the cessation of the UK's Trident replacement programme.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sgr-000163#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Modern climate simulations indicate that large-scale nuclear conflicts would cause an average global cooling of 3.5-8ºC, a temperature drop comparable to an Ice Age, with the maximum cooling lasting three to four years and a full recovery taking approximately seven years.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sgr-000163#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A large-scale nuclear conflict would severely impact key crop-growing regions; in Iowa and Ukraine, simulations show temperatures below freezing for two years and a halving of the growing season, respectively, alongside a 50-70% reduction in rainfall.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sgr-000163#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A 'regional conflict' involving 100 Hiroshima-sized nuclear weapons (1.5MT total) could inject 5Tg of soot into the atmosphere, resulting in global cooling for ten years peaking at 1.3ºC.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sgr-000163#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"A single UK Trident submarine, carrying 48 warheads of 100kT each, could devastate an area 192 times that of Hiroshima. Depending on the model used, it could inject between 9.6Tg and 38.4Tg of soot into the atmosphere, potentially causing a global average cooling of 1.5-3ºC for at least five years and shortening growing seasons by 10-30 days.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sgr-000163#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The author asserts that any nuclear arsenal exceeding approximately 5MT (roughly 50 Trident warheads) should be viewed as a global threat due to potential climatic impacts. The five official nuclear powers (USA, Russia, China, France, and the UK), and possibly Israel, India, and Pakistan, possess arsenals exceeding this level.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sgr-000163#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate modeling","food security"],"geography_discussed":["United Kingdom","Iowa","Ukraine","Australia","New Zealand","Africa","South America","India","North America"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["climate impact assessment","policy analysis"]},{"id":"clibonds-000603","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/clibonds-000603","title":"ガス火力発電によるメタン排出量の真実：日本の概況","publisher":{"name":"Climate Bonds Initiative","organization":"climate-bonds-initiative"},"document_type":"briefing","language":"ja","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://www.climatebonds.net/files/documents/publications/c1263190-1359-4206-8127-5e46536fad45.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document asserts that methane emissions from the natural gas supply chain are significantly underestimated, potentially making gas power more harmful to the climate than coal if leakage rates exceed 3%. For Japan, which imports over 90% of its gas as LNG, this creates both climate risks and energy security vulnerabilities. The briefing advocates for a transition away from gas through policies such as phasing out fossil fuel subsidies, prioritizing grid infrastructure for electrification and renewables, simplifying permitting for renewables, and implementing Carbon Contracts for Difference (CfD).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"clibonds-000603#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[],"climate_tags":["methane emissions","natural gas","coal power","liquefied natural gas","energy security","fossil fuel subsidy","electrification","renewable energy","nuclear power"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy briefing","climate impact assessment"]},{"id":"trendas-000035","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/trendas-000035","title":"Bali, Surga yang Beranjak Hilang","publisher":{"name":"Trend Asia","organization":"trend-asia"},"document_type":"report","language":"id","date_published":null,"source_url":"https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/260624_Bali-Surga-yang-Beranjak-Hilang.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The report critiques the Indonesian government's strategy of using natural gas as a 'bridge' fuel, specifically focusing on planned gas infrastructure in Bali, including a Floating Storage Regasification Unit (FSRU) and several gas power plants (PLTG). It argues that gas is not a clean energy source due to methane leaks and carbon emissions, which contribute to the extreme weather and water crises already affecting Bali. The document highlights social and environmental damages from existing gas projects, such as the PLTGU Pemaron, and argues that Bali's significant renewable energy potential—estimated up to 26 GW—should be prioritized over fossil fuels to achieve true energy independence and climate resilience.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The Indonesian government plans to add approximately 10.3 GW of gas-fired power capacity by 2034, with projects distributed across Sumatra, Java, Sulawesi, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Maluku, and Papua.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"In Bali, planned gas infrastructure includes a Floating Storage Regasification Unit (FSRU) near Sidakarya and Sanur, and several gas power plants (PLTG), with a total projected gas capacity of 1.55 GW divided between North and South Bali.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Bali possesses substantial renewable energy potential estimated at 26 GW from water, sun, wind, and ocean currents, yet the actual utilization of renewable energy was only 1.48% in 2024, far below the 2025 target of 11.15%.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Methane, a primary component of natural gas, is a potent greenhouse gas that is 82.5 times more powerful than CO2 over a 20-year period, creating an 'instant heat pressure' that risks triggering irreversible climate tipping points like permafrost melting.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The PLTGU Pemaron in Bali has caused environmental and health issues, including a 2011 fuel leak that polluted the sea and current noise levels reaching 80 decibels, which causes chronic sleep deprivation and stress for residents.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Gas projects often lead to the marginalization of local communities; for example, the PLTGU Jawa Satu Power in Karawang displaced farmers and fishermen, providing only temporary construction jobs rather than sustainable employment.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-6","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Bali is experiencing intensifying climate impacts, including extreme rainfall during the dry season in 2025, severe flooding in Denpasar causing 100 billion IDR in losses and 18 deaths, and critical water shortages.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-7","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The report identifies a lack of 'meaningful participation' in Bali's energy projects, noting that the Terminal LNG Sidakarya and PLTGU Pemaron projects suffered from non-transparent AMDAL processes and discrepancies with spatial planning (RTRW).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-8","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"An illustration of a 450 MW PLTGU operating for 20 years suggests a total emission impact of 42.52 million tons of CO2e, combining combustion emissions (23.1 million tons of CO2) and methane leaks during distribution (19.4 million tons of CO2e).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"trendas-000035#insight-9","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["natural gas","energy transition","methane emissions","renewable energy","climate crisis","greenhouse gas","solar energy","wind power","hydropower","marine energy","environmental impact assessment","climate justice","human rights","energy independence","carbon budget"],"geography_discussed":["United States","Bangladesh","Pakistan","Karawang","Teluk Bintuni","Banggai"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","environmental impact assessment","human rights analysis","climate impact assessment"]}]}