{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["Delphi survey"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'Delphi survey' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":1,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=Delphi+survey","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"sei-000314","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/sei-000314","title":"Navigating the Winds of Change","publisher":{"name":"Stockholm Environment Institute","organization":"stockholm-environment-institute"},"document_type":"research paper","language":"en","date_published":"2026-03-27","source_url":"https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-the-winds-of-change/","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The study uses a mixed-methods approach, including a global Delphi survey and scenario stress-testing, to identify 'weak signals' of change that could trigger systemic disruption. The authors argue that moving beyond linear extrapolations of mega-trends toward anticipatory governance and strategic foresight is essential for maintaining planetary health and economic resilience in an era of converging crises.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000314#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Traditional planning methods that rely on linear extrapolations from established global mega-trends are insufficient for addressing the intersecting and converging crises of the 21st century.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000314#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The study's methodology—utilizing a Delphi survey of 790 participants across 132 countries and a 10,000-run bootstrap test—indicates that anticipatory governance can be improved by focusing on high-centrality weak signals and institutionalizing continuous scanning to prevent cascading risks in technological, economic, and planetary-health systems.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000314#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Strategic foresight and informed anticipation are presented as critical imperatives for achieving a resilient future and a global common good amidst disruptions such as climate change, pandemics, geopolitical upheaval, and the rise of Artificial Intelligence.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"sei-000314#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["climate change","planetary health"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["mixed-methods","Delphi survey","scenario stress-testing"]}]}